US President Joe Biden seems to have initiated efforts
to mend its relationship with Abu Dhabi. Lately, some cabinet members led by
Vice President visited to the United Arab Emirates, an oil-rich nation in the
midst of a critical leadership change.
Rejection and perceived disinterest from Washington has led
the UAE to recently act more boldly on the global stage. It abstained from a US-led
resolution at the United Nations that condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Emirati officials have also refused to increase oil production in an effort to
lower gas prices and continue to pursue closer ties with China.
Following the death of Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed al-Nahyan,
the country’s second president, who had officially ruled since 2004, Biden this
week dispatched his most senior cabinet officials led by Vice President Kamala
Harris. She was joined by Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Defense
Secretary Lloyd Austin and CIA Director William Burns.
The visit by the Biden administration’s top brass was one to
express condolences — and congratulations — to the new leader, Crown Prince
Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan. Known as MBZ, he is the late president’s
half-brother.
Harris, in remarks after a meeting said the purpose of the
trip was to reaffirm the shared commitment we have to security and prosperity
in this region and also how the American people have benefited from this
relationship in terms of security and prosperity.” She called the UAE a friend
and partner.
The trip came as US officials attempted to woo the monarchy
amid a long list of strains between Abu Dhabi and Washington. Another issue is
that of a longtime American foe Iran, as the UAE has rejected the Biden
administration’s pursuit of a nuclear deal with Tehran. The tensions stand in
stark contrast to the close ties the UAE held with the former administration.
Abu Dhabi welcomed then-President Trump’s exit
from the Iran nuclear deal. Most notably, the Gulf state benefited from normalizing
relations with Israel through American proposed military sales and Washington
pulling its support from Israeli plans to annex the West Bank.
“MBZ, because he sees himself as a man of vision, and Abu
Dhabi of being a significant and important country, he expects respect and
certainly under Biden, doesn’t think he’s been treated with respect,” said
Simon Henderson, Director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at
The Washington Institute.
“Trump and Jared Kushner the president’s son-in-law and
senior advisor sort of treated him with respect.”
Experts said that the trip by Biden officials signals the
administration knows it has some work to do.
“I think the high level delegation signals that Washington
would like to repair the relationship and it’s really important that they do
that,” said Hussein Ibish, a senior resident scholar at the Arab Gulf
States Institute in Washington.
Mohammed, 61, has been considered the de-facto ruler of the
Emirates for nearly 10 years, since then-President Khalifa suffered a stroke in
2014 and was largely sidelined from power up until his death.
Mohammed has held tremendous sway throughout the region
during his time as crown prince of Abu Dhabi and is described by regional
watchers as having a vision, focused on growing the Emirates wealth, making its
economy an important global player and pushing back against what it views as
the threat of political Islam, in particular in neighboring Iran and Qatar.
Gerald Feierstein, former ambassador to Yemen and a distinguished
senior fellow on US diplomacy at Middle East Institute, said Mohammed’s influence
on the Trump administration’s Abraham Accords — the normalization agreements
between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain — signaled the crown prince’s desire to be
a driver of events of the region more broadly, than just the Gulf.
The UAE
has also garnered greater independence from the US
“For
the Emirates, they consider the US a less reliable security and regional
partner than it has been considered in the past and so they’re willing to craft
their own independent foreign policy,” said Courtney Freer, nonresident
fellow with the Brookings Institution.
Abu Dhabi took issue early on in the Biden administration
with what it viewed as a weak response to threats and attacks the Emirates
faced from Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels, including Biden removing the
Houthi terrorist designation.
Ibish, of the Arab Gulf States Institute, said the
robust US response to support Ukraine following Russia’s invasion underscored
the feeling that Washington was abandoning its security commitments in the
Middle East.
“They look at the firm and united and resolute response to
the invasion of Ukraine and compare it to those missile attacks by the Houthis
and they feel very second best and not particularly looked after,” he said.
That has left leaders in the Emirates looking for help
elsewhere.
“Whatever
Washington wants, MBZ will make his own deal with Iran because they’re
neighbors across the waters of the Gulf. And Dubai in particular, has important
contacts with Iran at least on a commercial level,” Henderson
said.
Also at
issue are negotiations that were reportedly rejected by the UAE to buy 50 F-35
fighter jets from the US amid defense security conditions for the acquisition,
a UAE official told Reuters in December.
A State Department spokesperson, requesting anonymity, told
The Hill. “The administration
remains committed to the sales and are continuing consultations with the UAE to
ensure that we have a clear, mutual understanding with respect to Emirati
obligations and actions before, during, and after delivery.”
Before the Biden administration visit this week, the US had
already started to take steps toward repairing the diplomatic relationship,
Ibish noted, in the form of an apology by Blinken to MBZ last month for the
Biden administration’s delay in responding to Houthi attacks in Abu Dhabi this
year.
“It’s the apology that goes a long way because the response
really did seem insufficient and particularly in the light of the Ukraine
invasion, where the difference of the Western response is very stark,” Ibish
added.
Feierstein added that the Blinken-MBZ meeting in Morocco was
a step in the right direction that cleared away a lot of the underbrush in the
relationship.
“No two
states ever see anything eye to eye, there are always differences in opinion
and of position. But what you do want is a strong institutional link that
allows you to work through those issues,” he added.