Russia’s apparent attack of a US drone in international
airspace on Tuesday quickly sparked concerns, spurring anxiety in Washington
and drumming up fear across the nation of a wider escalation between the two
countries.
The
Biden administration and lawmakers have blasted Russia for what they called an
unprofessional and unsafe maneuver in which two Russian jets damaged a US MQ-9,
forcing it to crash land in the Black Sea Tuesday.
Top American defense officials and experts quickly pointed
out the unusual nature of the incident.
“This is extremely unusual, I’m not aware of an incident
like this that’s occurred over the last year of conflict over there,” Air Force
Secretary Frank Kendall told The Hill.
Intercepts
between US and Russian aircraft are not uncommon, with several cases happening
near Alaskan airspace so far this year. But the drone incident is uncommon and
unfortunate and unsafe, Pentagon press secretary Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder told
reporters at the Pentagon.
While it’s unclear if this was a case of a rogue pilot or
not, the US European Command called the Russian actions dangerous, noting that
they could lead to miscalculation and unintended escalation.
US
aircraft have operated over the Black Sea since before Russia invaded Ukraine,
using the highly advanced MQ-9 spy drone to keep eyes on the region. But
Tuesday’s incident marks the first publicly known case of a Russian warplane
purposely damaging a US aircraft amid the conflict.
Administration officials said the MQ-9 was flying over the
Black Sea on a routine flight before it was flanked by two Russian jets.
The jets flew alongside the drone for 30 to 40 minutes
before one of the jets flew in front of it and dumped fuel. One of the Kremlin
jets then struck the drone’s propeller, forcing it to crash into the Black Sea.
While
there have been a number of close-call incidents with Russian aircraft in the
past, what makes this case unique is it involves an uncrewed US aircraft, a
detail that could keep tensions from blowing up, according to Becca Wasser, a
senior fellow with the Center for a New American Security.
“The incident is deeply concerning given the context in
which it takes place, but the fact that it was an uncrewed platform is likely
to reduce the chances of it boiling over,” she told The Hill.
Wasser pointed to a similar incident in 2019 when Iran shot
down an RQ-4 Global Hawk, which did not result in a direct US military response.
Stephen Twitty, a retired lieutenant general and former
deputy commander of US European Command who is now a distinguished fellow with
the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), said the incident can be
resolved and it was important that Washington not escalate tensions any
further.
“What we cannot do is jump with hotheadedness to take both
of our countries into conflict,” Twitty said. “We cannot let the Russians
provoke us into doing something irrational.
“This is about more than about the United States — this is
about us and 29 other countries,” he continued, and “we need to conduct
ourselves in a manner that does not take NATO or the United States to war.”
Russian
officials seem to have rebuffed efforts from US officials to communicate about
the incident.
At the
Pentagon, Ryder said that Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has not yet spoken to
his Russian counterpart.
The US military in March 2022 created a channel
known as the de-confliction line to communicate directly with the Russian
military to prevent miscalculations and escalation over the war in Ukraine.
But some calls have gone unanswered on Moscow’s side at
critical times.
In November, Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark
Milley attempted to speak with his Russian counterpart following a
missile-caused explosion in NATO ally Poland but was unable to get through.
Neither Austin nor Milley have spoken with their Russian
counterparts since October.
When asked about Tuesday’s drone incident at a press event,
Marine Corps Commandant Gen. David Berger said his biggest worry was a
collision in the early morning hours and the potential roadblocks of trying to
communicate about it to de-escalate.
Still, the State Department intends to reach out to Russian
officials, according to National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said
Tuesday.
Russian ambassador to the US Anatoly Antonov was summoned to
the State Department, where he met with officials to discuss the incident.
US officials are now likely weighing the circumstances over
Russia’s actions as they contemplate their response, with questions over where
the drone was, how it interacted with the Russian jets and how it was brought
down.
Other considerations include whether there was any warning
or communication before the Russians reacted as this can help inform the US
reaction.
“I don’t know the details [of the Russian interception and
drone downing], whether the drone was near something sensitive to them,”
said former US Ambassador to Poland Daniel Fried, now a distinguished
fellow with the Atlantic Council.
Fried said he views the incident as part of the ongoing sour
relationship the US has had with the Kremlin since during the Cold War,
made anew when Russia invaded Ukraine.
But while on the rougher end of the harassment scale, he
views the drone attack as saber rattling.
The drone attack prompted fury in Congress on Tuesday. Sen.
Jack Reed, the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, blasted Russia
as reckless and inept.
“There is no other way to describe Russia’s behavior in this
collision with a US drone over [international] waters,” Reed tweeted.
“This pattern of Russian provocation must end.”
Reed, who praised the professional manner of the US military
response, told reporters on Tuesday they will have to investigate how the
disturbing incident unfolded and determine the sequence of events and how
deliberate of a provocation it was.
Rep. Mike Rogers, the chairman of the House Armed Services
Committee, tweeted the incident was further proof that the threat Russia
poses towards the US and NATO has not receded.
“Putin
and his cronies are attempting to test our resolve – a test that we cannot
afford to fail,” Rogers wrote.
Speaking on the Senate floor, Senate Majority Leader Charles
Schumer called the attack brazen and dangerous.
“I want to tell Mr. Putin, stop this behavior before you are
the cause of an unintended escalation,” Schumer said. “We have seen this
behavior from the Russian military before, and it will not deter the United
States from conducting operations over the Black Sea.”