US President Joe Biden’s campaign is intensely trying
to quell speculation that he may drop out of the 2024 race following his
lackluster debate performance last week.
Most top Democrats have voiced support for Biden continuing
in the race, while members of his family, including first lady Jill Biden, have
declared they also want him to remain a candidate, casting doubt on the
potential for replacing Biden.
But if Biden were to step aside, several prominent Democrats
could be waiting in the wings as possible successors.
Here are the top possible Biden replacements:
Kamala
Harris
If Biden were to decide against seeking reelection, Vice
President Kamala Harris would be the most obvious choice to
replace him. Harris has defended Biden and emphasized his ability to
serve another term in recent days, as have most other top Democrats who could
be considered.
Serving in the country’s second-highest office has given her
some amount of executive governing experience, and Biden choosing her as his
running mate already made her one of the top possible candidates for the 2028
nomination.
With the presidential primaries concluded, Harris is also
the only possible contender who could claim some past electoral mandate for the
nomination, with the country having indirectly elected her as first-in-line to
the presidency four years ago and Democratic voters backing Biden this year
with the knowledge that she is the running mate.
But Harris has some vulnerabilities. Her favorability rating
has often been even lower than Biden’s, though she has improved somewhat in the
past couple months and has a higher net approval rating than Biden, according
to FiveThirtyEight.
She also could be dogged with criticisms of the Biden
administration’s policies like immigration, on which she was spearheading
an initiative.
Still, Democrats could take a hit by passing over the first
female Black vice president as its nominee when having the chance because Black
voters will be a key constituency. A poll last month showed Harris
would perform better with Black voters than Biden.
Gavin
Newsom
If Harris were to be passed over, the California Gov. Gavin
Newsom would almost certainly be at or near the top of many Democratic
delegates’ list to be the nominee.
Newsom has become one of the most prominent Democrats in the
country over the past few years, in part because of his defense of Biden and
his sparring with prominent Republicans, most notably Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
Despite ongoing speculation of Newsom having presidential
ambitions, he has repeatedly denied interest in running for president in 2024.
Following Biden’s debate, he appeared in the spin room to argue against
ditching Biden just because of one performance and called talk of Biden
being replaced “unhelpful and unnecessary” in a fundraising pitch for the
president on Friday.
But if Biden were to step aside, Newsom would very likely
receive significant calls to throw his hat in the ring.
He would be able to run on a record as a two-term governor
of one of the largest economies in the world and tout many accomplishments
during his tenure for the left in the solidly blue state. He also has overcome
an attempt to recall him and is seen as a top possibility to run in 2028.
Gretchen
Whitmer
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer first came to
office in 2018, boosted by the slogan “Fix the Damn Roads,” which put
a pragmatic focus on repairing the state’s infrastructure. Since then, she has
become a rising liberal star in the Democratic Party.
Her easy reelection victory in 2022 brought with it
Democratic majorities in the state House and Senate, marking the first time in
decades that Democrats had a trifecta of power in Michigan. She was also
reelected alongside the passage of a ballot measure enshrining abortion rights
in the state constitution, an initiative she championed.
Whitmer has been able to notch key victories, including the
repeal of the state’s decades-old abortion ban and a “right-to-work”
law to prop up unions.
Still, Whitmer has been among the clearest of the rumored
choices that she is not angling to replace Biden and is fully behind him.
Politico reported the Whitmer called Biden campaign
chair Jen O’Malley Dillon on Friday to make clear she was not responsible for
her name being floated as a possible replacement and is willing to help Biden
with the campaign. She appeared in an ad supporting the Biden-Harris
ticket that she posted Sunday on her account on the social platform X.
Pete
Buttigieg
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg was
relatively unknown when he first began his run for president in 2020 but gained
traction and popularity as “Mayor Pete,” having served as the mayor of South
Bend, Ind.
Buttigieg became a close advocate for Biden throughout 2020,
culminating in his selection as Transportation secretary, making him the first
openly gay Cabinet secretary. His success has raised speculation that he may
try for another presidential run down the line.
In particular, he had a high-profile moment in 2021 as
Congress passed and Biden signed the bipartisan infrastructure law into
effect.
Buttigieg’s youth would also be a sharp contrast to Biden
despite having less experience than some other rumored possibilities. But he
struggled in 2020 with rallying minority, and especially Black support, and
could face controversy over the administration’s handling of the East
Palestine, Ohio, train derailment.
Josh
Shapiro
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro gradually rose to higher
office in his home state before being elected state attorney general and
eventually governor in 2022. He has developed a reputation over his career as a
more moderate Democrat but was elected after running on key liberal issues,
like protecting abortion rights and raising the minimum wage.
His ability to comfortably win the governorship in the
battleground by almost 15 points, as well as his youthful energy, has sparked
rumors he could be a future face of the party, possibly running for the Oval
Office in four years.
But he would also likely get some attention this year if
Biden were to end his presidential bid. He has been one of Biden’s top
surrogates and called on his fellow Democrats to put in the work
necessary to get Biden elected, saying “hand-wringing” and “fretting” are not
the answer.
“Democrats, stop worrying and start working. We all have the
responsibility here to do our part,” Shapiro said during a Friday interview on
MSNBC.
JB
Pritzker
As the governor of Illinois, JB Pritzker is already set to
receive some attention next month as the host governor of the Democratic
National Convention in Chicago. This, along with his rising national profile,
could yield some support for his name to be placed in contention for the
nomination.
Pritzker is in his second term as the head of the strongly
Democratic-leaning state and has been an ardent defender of Biden throughout
the 2024 campaign. Also one of Biden’s top surrogates, he defended the
incumbent following special counsel Robert Hur’s report on Biden’s handling of
classified documents and pushed back against Democrats planning to
vote for anyone other than Biden in November.
Pritzker also received attention after his abortion-rights
group announced a US$500,000 investment into efforts to enshrine abortion
rights into the Florida state constitution.
But as with other Biden surrogates rumored as future
presidential candidates, Pritzker has remained behind Biden.
As the debate was wrapping up on Thursday, Pritzker
argued on X the choice was “clear” in picking Biden over Trump, saying, “Voters
face a stark choice in November. A president with the experience to fight for
hardworking families across the country vs a 34-count convicted felon who cares
only about himself.”
Andy
Beshear
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear pulled off an impressive
reelection victory in his ruby-red state last year, improving his margin by a
few points over his first election in 2019.
That thrust his name into the national conversation as
someone who may have a future in the party, even though he will be term-limited
in the next election. The governor is widely popular, only in his mid-40s and
managed to win statewide as a Democrat twice in a state that hasn’t voted for a
Democrat in a presidential election since the 1990s.
Beshear addressed the possibility of Biden being
replaced Monday, telling reporters he will support Biden as long as the
president remains the Democratic nominee.
“The debate performance was rough. It was a very bad night
for the president, but he is still the candidate. Only he can make decisions
about his future candidacy. So as long as he continues to be in the race, I
support him,” he said.
When pressed on whether he could replace Biden, Beshear said
talk of serving is “flattering” but is a “reflection of all the good things
going on in Kentucky.”
Courtesy: The Hill
