Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed positive momentum during this past week. The benchmark Index closed the week up 5,336 points or 3%WoW at 181,430. Market participation remained thin with average daily traded volume falling by 29%WoW to 934 million shares.
This,
coupled with Iran-Oman talks aimed at restoring the Strait of Hormuz to its
pre-conflict position, drove oil prices below US$80/bbl levels, before settling
slightly up at US$82/ bbl on Friday. Moreover, robust financial results from
the banking sector bolstered sentiments.
Trade
deficit for July 2026 reported at US$3.9 billion remained down 15%MoM led by
higher exports. The positive sentiments were partially tempered by
uncertainties surrounding the Red Sea passageway, and higher-than-anticipated
CPI of 9.2%YoY for the month, although inflation came in single digits after 4
months.
Petroleum
offtakes rose 23%YoY for July 2026 to 1.5 million tons as compared to the same
period last year due to rains and floods, resulting in a lower base, along with
tighter enforcement curbing fuel smuggling from Iran.
Cement
sector offtakes grew 6%YoY to 4.5 million tons during the month, supported by improved
construction activity.
Other major
news flow during the week included: 1) Turkey, Saudi Arabia & Pakistan
signed joint defence agreement, 2) OPEC plus raised September oil output by
188,000 bpd, 3) GoP raised PKR882 billion through T-bills auction, 4) GoP also
raised PKR474 billion via PIBs sale, and 5) foreign exchange reserves held by
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) rose to US$17.0 billion as of Jul 31, 2026.
Top performing
sectors included: Jute, Textile Spinning, and Property, while laggards included:
Synthetic & Rayon, Leasing Companies, and Sugar & Allied Industries.
Buying by
Mutual Funds amounted to US$13.2 million. Net sellers were Banks with US$11.2 million.
Top
performing scrips were: GADT, POWER, CNERGY, NPL, and BOP, while laggards included:
MEHT, IBFL, PGLC, KTML, and SHFA.
AKD
Securities, expects market to improve on strengthening economic indicators amid
easing geopolitical tensions, along with favorable financial results for the
quarter ended June26.
Additionally,
a potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices towards
pre-conflict levels, further supporting sentiment. Market continues to trade at
attractive valuations.
According to
the brokerage house, the benchmark Index is likely to reach 263,800 by end December
2026.
Top picks of
the brokerage house include OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK,
FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

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