PSX benchmark index closes almost flat WoW, despite volatility

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed volatility during the week ended on October 16, 2026, due to political uncertainty and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Index declined by 670 points to close at 166,420, down 0.4%WoW.

Brent crude price remained elevated amid continued disruptions to energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and renewed attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure.

On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan recorded a current account deficit (CAD) of US$356 million in September 2026, as compared to a surplus of US$123 million during the same period last year, reflecting some added pressure on the external account.

Remittances by overseas Pakistanis rose 13%YoY in September 2026 to US$3.6 billion.

The GoP raised PKR660 billion through the latest T-Bills auction, with yields remaining broadly stable following the sharp repricing in the previous auction.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) increased to US$21.47 billion as of October 09, 2026.

Passenger car sales declined by 9.8%YoY to 10,939 units in September 2026.

Textile exports grew by 5.2%YoY during 1QFY27, led by growth in ready-made garments, knitwear and cotton yarn.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) FBR collection exceeded Q1 collection target, 2) IMF projected Pakistan’s GDP growth at 3.5% for FY27, while forecasting inflation at 9.9%, 3) Pakistan received first LNG cargo of October, 4) Refineries produced 92,482 tons of LPG in July-August, and 5) RDA attracted US$251 millio in September.

Leasing companies, Woolen, and Jute remained top performing sectors, while laggards included:  Apparel, Technology & Communication, and Transport.

Major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds amounting to US$10.7 million. On the contrary, major net buyers were Banks (US$8.3 million) and Companies with US$6.7 million.

Top performing scrips were: BNWM, AGP, IMAGE, BML, and JDWS, while laggards included: POL, PTC, APL, CPHL, and THCCL.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators. Additionally, easing inflationary pressures would reduce probability of monetary tightening. Moreover, any positive development on Middle East conflict could moderate international oil prices and serve as a key trigger for market as it paves the way for monetary easing.

The market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

Who Really Seeks Control of the Red Sea Gateway?

The United States has repeatedly intervened in conflicts across the Middle East, often justifying its military presence as essential to regional stability and the protection of international trade. Yet an important question remains, do these interventions resolve security crises, or can they also create opportunities to expand American strategic influence? The confrontation involving Saudi Arabia, Yemen’s Houthis and the United States deserves scrutiny from this perspective.

The Houthis intensified attacks on shipping in the Red Sea after the Gaza war erupted in October 2023, declaring their campaign a means of pressuring Israel. Vessels linked to Israel became particular targets, although the attacks and their consequences extended beyond Israeli shipping. International trade was disrupted, seafarers were endangered and the security of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait became a global concern.

However, threatening shipping bound for Israel is not the same as deliberately targeting Saudi Arabia. Each reported attack must be examined on its own evidence, including the identity of the attacker, the intended target and the strategic purpose. Iranian support for the Houthis does not, by itself, establish Iranian direction of every operation.

Washington has presented its military campaign against the Houthis as a response to threats against navigation and regional security. But military intervention can produce consequences beyond its declared objectives. By expanding its operational presence, surveillance and influence over maritime security, the United States can strengthen its position around a gateway connecting the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden and the wider Indian Ocean.

This raises a question that deserves serious investigation, could the escalation of hostilities be creating the strategic conditions for greater American influence over access to one of the world's most important shipping corridors?

The possibility should not be confused with proof that Washington engineered the confrontation or that a US proxy is responsible for attacks attributed to the Houthis. Such allegations require independently verifiable evidence. Nevertheless, the strategic consequences of military operations merit examination regardless of their stated intentions.

I prefer to frame the broader issue as “US-Controlled Entry and Exit” rather than simply a blockade. Control over a maritime gateway need not involve formally closing it. It can also emerge through military deployments, intelligence capabilities, security partnerships and the ability to influence the conditions under which commercial vessels pass.

The central issue, therefore, is not merely whether the Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia or whether American forces can suppress them. It is whether the resulting security arrangements protect freedom of navigation for all nations or gradually concentrate strategic leverage in the hands of an outside power.

The world must distinguish between securing an international waterway and acquiring the power to determine who can use it, on what terms and under whose protection. That distinction may ultimately prove more consequential than the military confrontation itself.

PSX benchmark index declines 0.6%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained volatile during the week ended on October 09, 2026 amid continued attacks on key shipping routes. The benchmark Index declined by 1,066 points or 0.6%WoW to close at 167,089. Market activity also weakened, with average daily trading volume declining by 16.5%WoW to 541 million shares.

Meanwhile, Ukraine’s drone strikes on Russian refineries and concerns over US energy supplies amid Hurricane Isaias kept Brent oil prices above US$100/ bbl, despite improving traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and Trump’s claim that it would refrain from attacking Iran until the midterm elections scheduled for early November 2026.

The IMF reached a Staff-Level Agreement with Pakistan on the 4th review of EFF and 3rd review of RSF, acknowledging the Government’s policies in navigating the Middle East conflict.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) increased to US$21.5 billion as of October 02, 2026.

Pakistan raised PKR352 billion in the latest PIB auction, with yields rising across all tenors.

Banking sector deposits rose 14%YoY to PKR39.2 trillion at end August 2026.

Cement offtakes increased 6%YoY to 4.6 million tons in September 2026, reflecting improved local demand due to recovery in construction activity.

Cotton arrivals increased 5%YoY to 3.2 million bales during the same period.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Makkah defence alliance agrees to 'rapid force deployment' in Saudi Arabia, 2) GoP debt posts marginal decline to date, 3) GoP clears nine bidders for Gepco sale, 4) Bahrain working to 'speed up' approval of Pak-GCC free trade pact, and 5) Pakistan, Qatar agree to review LNG deal.

While the laggards were: Vanaspati & Allied Industries, Leasing companies, and Sugar, Textile spinning, Synthetic & Rayon, and Modarabas emerged top performers.

Major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds with US$17.6 million. On the contrary, net buyers were Individuals (US$11.4 million) and Companies (US$6.5 million).

Top performing scrips were: TGL, PSO, BML, AGP, and FCCL, while laggards included: SSOM, PGLC, CPHL, IMAGE, and PSX.

AKD Securities anticipates the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators. Additionally, easing inflationary pressures would reduce probability of monetary tightening. Any positive development on Middle East conflict could moderate international oil prices and serve as a key trigger for market, paving the way for monetary easing.

The market continues to trade at attractive valuations. The top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX benchmark index down 1.5%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained under pressure during the week ended on Friday, October 02, 2026, as renewed uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict and elevated global energy prices continued to weigh on investor sentiment. The benchmark index witnessed erosion of 2,610 points or 1.5%WoW to close at 168,155.

Oil prices remained elevated for most of the week, touching US$105.3/ bbl, as supply chain concerns and China's suspension of oil product exports outweighed recovering Gulf crude flows.

Brent crude declined to US$99.5/ bbl in the concluding phase of the week amid growing pressure of the US on Europe to release diesel stocks.

September 2026 inflation was recorded at 10.3% as against 11.2% in August 2026 due to disinflationary pressure from food prices.

Trade deficit for September 2026 widened by 6%YoY to US$3.6 billion.

IMF mission formally began policy talks in Islamabad on the fourth EFF review and third RSF review, likely to result in the release of US$1.2 billion in combined disbursements.

FBR collected PKR3.1 trillion in 1QFY27, exceeding the IMF-agreed target by PKR13 billion.

State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) raised PKR853 billion via the T-Bills auction. The cutoff yields increased for all the tenors.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Finance Minister discussed potential US Export-Import Bank financing for Boeing aircraft, refinery upgrades and Reko Diq, 2) foreign exchange reserves held by SBP were reported at US$21.4 billion as of September 25, 2026, 3) SBP's net FX interventions were reported at US$841 million in June 2026, 4) GoP raised PKR46 billion and PKR72 billion in fixed/ variable Hybrid Sukuk auction, and 5) Gop plans to procure at least 25-26 LNG cargoes to meet winter gas demand.

Leading contributors were Vanaspati and Allied Industries, Synthetic and Rayon, and Modarabas, while sectors that lagged the most were Power, Inv. Cos., and Paper and Board.

Major buyers were Companies (US$5.2 million) and Individuals (US$4.5 million). On the contrary, major net selling was recorded by Mutual funds (US$6.1 million) and Brokers worthUS$2.3 million, respectively.

Top performing scrips were: SSOM, ii) BML, and ATRL, while laggards included: PSEL, FHAM, and NPL.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators, with the upcoming IMF review to remain a key near-term catalyst.

A potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices from current elevated levels. The market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

According to AKD Securities, the Index is anticipated to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

 

 

PSX closes the week almost flat

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained volatile during the week ended on September 25, 2026. The benchmark Index gained 372 points or 0.22%WoW to close the week at 170,885 points.

Yemeni Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline forced the closure of a key export route, pushing Brent crude to a 4-month high of US$109.7/bbl. However, oil prices eased during the final two days.

The index recovered on fading concerns over immediate Saudi supply disruptions, outweighing fears of a broader Middle East conflict.

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) kept the policy rate unchanged at 11.50% on Monday, in line with broad market consensus.

The current account deficit narrowed sharply by 70%YoY to US$98 million in August 2926.

Foreign exchange reserves held by SBP hit a record high of US$21.4 billion, pushing the country's import cover past three months for the first time in 5-Years.

Furthermore, yields on 3 and 6-month T-Bills declined in the last auction.

FDI increased by 80%YoY to US$316 billion during August 2026.

Auto industry sales increased by 11%YoY to 17,485 units in August 2026.

IT exports rose 17%YoY to US$394 million.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) GoP presents IMF plan to retire PkR3.6tn gas-sector circular debt, 2) Pakistan eyes to seek an expansion of its 30-billion-yuan swap line with China, 3) Pakistan cotton arrivals rises by 19%YoY to 2.4 million bales as of September 3026, 4) Auto financing in August 2026 reached record high of PKR393 billion, and 5) GoP approves PKR75 billion subsidy for fuel relief scheme.

Leading sectors were: Synthetic and Rayon, Leasing Companies, and Real Estate Investment Trust, while laggards included: Textile Weaving, Paper and Board, and Leathers and Tanneries.

Major buyers were Individuals (US$11.0 million) and Banks (US$2.6 million). On the contrary, major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds (US$12.7 million) and Foreigners (US$3.4 million).

Top performing scrips were: PSEL, IBFL, and CPHL. On the other side, laggards included: GHNI, GAL, and NBP.

Pakistan’s leading brokerage house, AKD Securities expects the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators, with the upcoming IMF review in the next week to remain a key near-term catalyst. A potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices from current elevated levels.

The market continues to trade at attractive valuations. The brokerage house forecasts the benchmark Index to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Our top picks of the brokerage include OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

 

 

PSX benchmark index closes almost flat

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained volatile during the week ended on September 18, 2026. The benchmark Index gained 372 points or 0.22%WoW during the week to close at 170,885 points.

Yemeni Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline forced the closure of a key export route, pushing Brent crude to a 4-month high of US$109.7/ bbl.

Oil prices eased during the final two days, with the index recovering as fading concerns over immediate Saudi supply disruptions ultimately outweighed fears of a broader Middle East conflict.

The GoP reintroduced austerity measures in an effort to conserve fuel.

Pakistan’s central bank kept the policy rate unchanged at 11.50% on Monday, in line with broad market consensus.

Current account deficit narrowed sharply by 70%YoY to US$98 million in August 2026.

Foreign exchange reserves held by SBP forex hit a record high of US$21.4 billion, pushing the country's import cover past three months for the first time in 5-Years.

Yields on 3 and 6 month T-bills declined to 11.38% and 11.70%, respectively, in the latest auction.

FDI increased by 80%YoY to US$316 million during August 2026.

Auto industry sales increased by 11%YoY to 17,485 units in August 2026, while IT exports rose 17%YoY to US$394 million.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) GoP presents IMF plan to retire PKR3.6 trillion gas-sector circular debt, 2) Pakistan eyes to seek an expansion of its 30 billions yuan swap line with China, 3) Pakistan cotton arrivals rose by 19%YoY to 2.4 million bales as of September this year, 4) Auto financing in August 2026 reached record high of PKR393 billion, and 5) GoP approves PKR75 billion subsidy for fuel relief scheme.

Leading sectors were: Synthetic and Rayon, Leasing Companies, and Real Estate Investment Trust.

while the lagged included: Textile Weaving, Paper & Board, and Leathers & Tanneries.

Major buyers were Individuals (US$11.0 million) and Banks (US$2.6 million). Major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds (US$12.7 million) and Foreigners (US$3.4 million).

Top performing scrips of the week were: PSEL, IBFL, and CPHL, while the laggards included: GHNI, GAL, and NBP.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators, with the upcoming IMF review in the next week to remain a key near-term catalyst.

A potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices from current elevated levels, the market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

The brokerage house forecasts the Index to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

Are Houthis Attacking Saudi Oil Tankers - or Is There a Bigger Story?

The reports that Yemen’s Houthis are attacking Saudi oil tankers deserve closer examination. Not because such attacks are impossible, but because the emerging narrative may be more complicated than it appears.

During the height of Israel’s assault on Gaza, the Houthis declared that their maritime campaign was directed primarily against Israeli-owned or Israel-linked vessels and ships carrying goods to and from Israel. Their stated objective was to pressure Israel over Gaza. Against this background, the reported targeting of Saudi tankers represents a significant development.

There is little doubt that Houthi military operations have disrupted commercial shipping in the Red Sea and surrounding waters. But disruption of Saudi shipping does not necessarily mean that every incident represents a deliberate Houthi campaign against Saudi Arabia. The Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb and Suez Canal form one interconnected maritime corridor. Once security deteriorates, vessels of different nationalities become exposed.

This distinction matters because the dominant Western narrative - “Iran-backed Houthis are attacking Saudi oil tankers and installations” - can simplify a complex regional conflict. Attribution should be based on evidence, while the political context surrounding each incident deserves equal attention.

There is another question that cannot simply be dismissed as conspiracy theory, who benefits from heightened insecurity around Saudi Arabia?

A prolonged Houthi threat could encourage Riyadh to deepen its security relationship with Washington, strengthen arguments for a US security umbrella, increase American arms sales to Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states, and potentially create greater pressure for Saudi Arabia to move closer to the Abraham Accords.

None of these possibilities proves that another actor is secretly attacking Saudi ships. Claims about covert operations or CIA-linked groups require evidence and should not be presented as established fact.

Yet history demonstrates that major geopolitical confrontations rarely involve only the actors appearing on the battlefield. Different powers can exploit the same crisis to advance their own strategic interests.

Therefore, the real issue may not simply be whether Houthis are attacking Saudi oil tankers. The more important question is whether Houthi attacks—and the narrative surrounding them—are becoming instruments in a much larger struggle over Saudi Arabia’s security choices, regional alignments and America’s continuing influence in the Gulf.

PSX benchmark index declines 2.7%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained under pressure during the week ended on September 11, 2026. The benchmark Index declined 4,817 points or 2.7%WoW to close at 170,512 level. Market activity also weakened, with average daily trading volume declining by 17.5%WoW to 801 million shares.

Escalating attacks along key shipping routes by both US and Iran and Houthis targeting Saudi energy facilities, raised concerns about energy supplies and pushed global oil prices higher. Domestically, fuel prices also increased.

On a positive note, Moody’s highlighted that Pakistan absorbed the current conflict shock better than the 2022 crisis, supported by improved macroeconomic indicators.

The Workers’ Remittances in August 2026 rose by 17%YoY to US$3.7 billion.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) rose to US$18.3 billion as of September 4, 2026.

The Prime Minister approved the draft auto policy for FY27-31, although IMF approval remains pending.

RDA inflows rose 58%YoY to US$259 million in August 2026.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) IMF review talks scheduled to start on September 22, 2026, 2) Qatari LNG cargo bound for Pakistan cleared Strait of Hormuz, 3) GoP cuts HSD refining margin cap to US$30/ bbl, 4) Pakistan signs cybersecurity cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia, and 5) Pakistan- Australia likely to finalize investment agreement soon.

Major selling was recorded by Foreigners (US$7.2 million) and Mutual Funds (US$5.3 million), while the major buyers were Individuals (US$10.8 million) and Companies (US$5.5 million).

Top performing scrips were: PSEL, AICL, and LCI, while the laggards included: PGLC, SSGC, and CHCC.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators.

Upcoming IMF review and monetary policy announcement to remain key near-term catalysts.

A potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices from current elevated levels.

Market continues to trade at attractive valuations. The brokerage house forecasts the Index to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

 

PSX average daily trading volume declines by 26%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained subdued during this past week, with the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, now in its seventh month, being the primary headwind, following US strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian retaliatory strikes on US air bases in the region. Market activity also weakened, with average daily trading volume declining by 26%WoW to 971 million shares.

Consequently, Brent crude surged to a six-week high of US$97.6/ bbl during the week, while the benchmark Index declined 2,368 points, down 1.3%WoW to close at 175,329.

However, negative sentiments were partially offset by Pakistan’s record US$3 billion dual-tranche Eurobond issuance, which achieved the lowest spreads over US Treasuries in two decades and marked the country’s largest-ever international capital market transaction.

Trade deficit widened 10%YoY to US$3.2 billion in August 2026, although it narrowed 20%MoM despite higher international oil prices.

CPI for August 2026 accelerated to 11.1%YoY (9.2%YoY in June 2026) on higher Transport and Food prices.

FBR surpassed its 2MFY27 revenue target by PKR12 billion, while the government raised PKR657 billion through T-Bill auctions, with yields ranging between 11.39% and 11.99% across tenors.

Cement dispatches edged down 0.7%YoY to 4.0 million tons amid monsoon rains, while petroleum offtakes declined 3%YoY to 1.3 million tons due to transporters strikes.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan to head joint defence secretariat under Makkah Defence Alliance, 2) GoP made record PKR1.2 trillion early repayment of central bank debt, 3) IMF cites Pakistan as model for debt, growth and reform drive, 4) Cotton arrivals rose 27%YoY to 1.7 million bales in August 2026, and 5) foreign exchange reserves held by SBP rose modestly to US$17.1 billion as of August 28, 2026.

Top performing sectors were Textile Composites and Refineries, while the laggards included Banks, Pharmaceuticals, and Technology.

Major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds (US$18.1 million) and Foreigners (US$7.4 million). Net buyers were Individuals with US$16.6 million.

Top performing scrips were: PGLC, THALL, EFERT, TPLRF1, and ILP, while laggards included: PSEL, SCBPL, SRVI, KOHC, and BAHL.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on the back of strengthening economic indicators and a strong fiscal position, while moderating inflation should increase the likelihood of interest rates returning to single digits by year-end.

Additionally, a potential US Iran deal could moderate international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX Benchmark Index Posts Paltry 0.3%WoW Gain

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained range bound during the week ended on August 28, 2026.The benchmark Index posted 0.3%WoW gain to close at 177,697 points. Market activity improved, with the average daily traded volume rising by 24.7%WoW to 1.3 billion shares, as compared to 1.1 billion in the previous week.

Moody’s one-notch upgrade of Pakistan’s sovereign rating to B3 due to improvements in governance, provided a modest boost to investors’ sentiment.

The US-Iran situation remained under control, keeping oil prices below US$90/ bbl on Friday’s close, as Iran continued separate discussions with Oman and Qatar aimed at facilitating the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) rose modestly to US$17.1 billion as of August 21, 2026.

Central bank transferred PKR1.9 trillion in profits to the Federal Government, PKR496 billion higher than the budgeted transfer.

Banking sector deposits rose by 14% YoY to PkR39.1 trillion as of end July 2026.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Saudi team and Prime Minister discuss investment in agriculture, real estate, energy and IT, 2) new SPV established for the privatization of three Discos, 3) Refineries to sign upgrade deals within 10 days, 4) Pakistan received US$763 million loans, grants in July this year, and 5) Government. introduces a performance based rebate on incremental exports.

Top performing sectors were: Textile Composite, FMCG, and Power, while sectors that lagged the most were: OMCs, Inv. Cos., and Technology.

Major net buying was recorded by Mutual Funds (US$6.2 million) and Companies with (US$4.3 million). Major net sellers were Foreigners with US$10.6 million.

Top performing scrips were: AICL, THALL, KTML, POWER, and ABOT, while laggards included: PGLC, SRVI, TRG, NBP, and HMB.

AKD Securities expects market to improve on strengthening economic indicators amid easing geopolitical tensions. A potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX index remains under pressure

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained under pressure during the week ended on August 21, 2026. The benchmark Index closed at 177,167. Total Market capitalization also contracted to US$71.6 billion from US$72.5 billion last week.

The average daily trading volume edged up marginally by 0.3%WoW to 1,053.4 million shares, as compared to 1,050.5 million shares in the previous week.

The dominant driver remained the unresolved US-Iran conflict, now approaching six months since first strikes began on February 28.

Brent crude posted its second consecutive weekly gain, up over 6%WoW to US$94.2/ bbl, with neither side making any effort to restart talks after the 60-day ceasefire expired.

The current account deficit narrowed to US$328 million in July 2026, down 38%YoY, aided by rebound in goods exports and strong remittance flows.

State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) raised PKR518 billion through T-Bills, with yields ranging between 11.47%-11.99% across all tenors.

On the sectoral front, Urea offtakes declined 5%YoY and DAP 10%YoY in July 2026, while IT exports recorded 18%YoY increase to US$417 million.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan scrambles to secure Qatar LNG cargo by August, 25 as spot prices surged, 2) LSM index rose 5%YoY in FY26, 3) Pakistan pushes China B2B deals from MoUs to investments & exports, 4) Circular debt jumps by PKR364 billion in FY26, and 5) Pakistan, Norway agree to enhance ties in various sectors.

Top performing sectors were: Refinery, OMC, and E&P, while Banks, Power, and Textile Composite were the laggards.

Major selling was recorded by Banks and Mutual Funds with US$14.5 million and US$10.6 million, respectively. Major buyers were Individuals with US$17.5 million.

Top performing scrips were: PGLC, ATRL, PSO, INIL, and CNERGY, while laggards included THALL, CHCC, TGL, PABC, and PAEL.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on strengthening economic indicators amid easing geopolitical tensions, along with favorable financial results for June 2026.

Additionally, a potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels.

Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

The brokerage house forecasts the Index to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX benchmark index closes almost flat

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained under pressure during the week ended on August 13, 2026, primarily due to uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran deal and reopening of Strait of Hormuz. The benchmark index dropped by 1,325 points or 0.7%WoW to close at 180,105 on Thursday. However, market participation improved, with average daily traded volume increasing by 13%WoW to 1.1 billion share.

Oil prices remained elevated. Brent crude crossed US$90/ bbl mark during the week, up from last week’s close of US$84/ bbl, before correcting to current level of US$86/bbl.

Healthy corporate results and positive external and macro developments provided some support to investors’ confidence.

On last Friday, Pakistan signed a mutual defence agreement with Turkiye and Saudi Arabia, extending its earlier pact with the Royal Kingdom.

Fiscal deficit for FY26 was record at a low of 2.6% of GDP, while primary surplus at record high 2.9% of GDP, driven by higher tax revenue and lower markup expenses amid declining interest rates. Consequently, GoP’s debt recorded its lowest annual rise in two decades.

Workers’ remittances increased by 13%YoY to US$3.6 billion during July 2026.

On the sectoral front, auto sales increased by 74%YoY, supported by strong demand.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan to open new gateway for global oil suppliers, 2) FBR hints at withdrawing super tax, 3) Cotton crop satisfactory, rice beats target in Punjab, and 4) Minister calls for auto sector revival to meet US$63 billion export target.

Refinery and Oil & Gas Exploration emerged as top performing sectors, while Power, Fertilizer, and Technology remained laggards.

Major selling was recorded by Banks and Insurance companies with net sell of US$11.2 million and US$6.3 million. Individuals absorbed most of the selling with a net buy of US$16.3 million.

 

Top performing scrips were: CNERGY, PSEL, GAL, GHNI, and ATRL. On the flip side, laggards included: AICL, HUBC, BOP, TRG, and PAKT.

AKD Securities expects the market to improve on strengthening economic indicators amid easing geo political tensions, along with favorable financial results for the period ending June 20, 2026.

Additionally, a potential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels, further supporting sentiment. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX benchmark Index closes the week up 3%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed positive momentum during this past week. The benchmark Index closed the week up 5,336 points or 3%WoW at 181,430. Market participation remained thin with average daily traded volume falling by 29%WoW to 934 million shares.

This, coupled with Iran-Oman talks aimed at restoring the Strait of Hormuz to its pre-conflict position, drove oil prices below US$80/bbl levels, before settling slightly up at US$82/ bbl on Friday. Moreover, robust financial results from the banking sector bolstered sentiments.

Trade deficit for July 2026 reported at US$3.9 billion remained down 15%MoM led by higher exports. The positive sentiments were partially tempered by uncertainties surrounding the Red Sea passageway, and higher-than-anticipated CPI of 9.2%YoY for the month, although inflation came in single digits after 4 months.

Petroleum offtakes rose 23%YoY for July 2026 to 1.5 million tons as compared to the same period last year due to rains and floods, resulting in a lower base, along with tighter enforcement curbing fuel smuggling from Iran.

Cement sector offtakes grew 6%YoY to 4.5 million tons during the month, supported by improved construction activity.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Turkey, Saudi Arabia & Pakistan signed joint defence agreement, 2) OPEC plus raised September oil output by 188,000 bpd, 3) GoP raised PKR882 billion through T-bills auction, 4) GoP also raised PKR474 billion via PIBs sale, and 5) foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) rose to US$17.0 billion as of Jul 31, 2026.

Top performing sectors included: Jute, Textile Spinning, and Property, while laggards included: Synthetic & Rayon, Leasing Companies, and Sugar & Allied Industries.

Buying by Mutual Funds amounted to US$13.2 million. Net sellers were Banks with US$11.2 million.

Top performing scrips were: GADT, POWER, CNERGY, NPL, and BOP, while laggards included: MEHT, IBFL, PGLC, KTML, and SHFA.

AKD Securities, expects market to improve on strengthening economic indicators amid easing geopolitical tensions, along with favorable financial results for the quarter ended June26.

Additionally, a po­tential US-Iran deal could moderate international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels, further supporting sentiment. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

According to the brokerage house, the benchmark Index is likely to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX benchmark index up 3.0%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed bullish sentiments on Monday and the benchmark index gained 7,241 points, led by a pause in US-Iran strikes, which raised hopes of a diplomatic solution and caused oil prices to fall below US$85/bbl. However, with no lasting resolution during the week, the market remained under pressure over the next three trading sessions, before rebounding on Friday to close the week up 5,073 points or 3.0%WoW at 176,094 points.

Sentiments were further supported by positive June 2026 financial results announced by major companies. Meanwhile, SBP’s status quo in its first FY27 meeting on Monday had little impact on the market, as the decision was largely in line with expectations. Additionally, market participation strengthened, with average daily trading rising by 48.5%WoW to 1.3 billion shares.

On the macroeconomic front, foreign exchange reserves held by SBP decreased to US$17.0 billion as of July 24, 2026. Saudi Arabia also rolled over its US$5 billion deposits for another 3 years, reducing external debt repayments to US$21.5 billion for FY27.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) ECC approves package of export finance incentives, 2) Dar seeks US partnership to double bilateral trade to US$20 billion, 3) PM Shehbaz Sharif approves amendments to Pakistan Oil Refining Policy, 4) Saudi group eyes US$10 billion investment in Pakistan, and 5) Pakistan, Kuwait agree to expand economic ties.

Active sectors were: Jute, Modarabas, and Refinery, while the lagged included: Close-end Mutual Funds, Miscellaneous, and Textile Weaving.

Major buying was recorded by Mutual Funds of US$14.7 million. While sellers were Individuals with US$11.9 million.

Top performing scrips were: AICL, MLCF, PIBTL, KOHC, and IBFL, while laggards included: HGFA, PIOC, PGLC, YOUW, and TPLRF1.

According to AKD Securities, going forward, any positive progress on US-Iran conflict, along with moderating international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels would remain the key focus.

Favorable financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 would support market sentiment in the near term. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX benchmark index declines 2.7%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained under pressure during the week ended on July 24, 2026. The benchmark index declined by 4,782 points or 2.7%WoW to close at 171,021 points. The average daily trading volume also declined by 3.2%WoW to slightly more than 881 million shares.  

As reported my Western media, Yemen's Houthis declared a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia and claimed strikes on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, putting Bab el-Mandeb flows at risk alongside the existing disruption at the Strait of Hormuz. The US carried out strikes on Iranian military targets on twelfth consecutive night.

Brent peaked above US$101/ bbl before easing to US$97, keeping energy import and inflation concerns at the forefront.

Sentiment found some support from S&P Global upgrade of Pakistan's long-term sovereign credit rating to 'B' with a stable outlook, citing stability and reform implementation.

On the macroeconomic front, yields during the T-Bills auction rose across all tenors.

Banking sector deposits increased 15.2%YoY to PKR40.9 trillion in June 2026.

Urea offtakes rose 2%YoY to 592,000 tons, driven by improving farm economics and availability of subsidies and cheaper financing. As against this, DAP sales declined 58%YoY on higher pricing.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan sought a US$10 billion bilateral exchange stabilization facility from the United States, 2) GoP proposed changes to the Brown field Refining Policy, 3) Pakistan purchased a spot LNG cargo at US$21.88/ mmbtu, the highest since March this year, 4) US unveiled new tariffs on 60 trade partners ranging 10-12% including Pakistan, and 5) OGRA decided to set petroleum prices on daily basis under new pricing mechanism.

Top performing sectors were: Refinery, Insurance, and Textile Spinning, while the lagged included: Jute, Sugar & Allied Industries, and Close-end Mutual Fund.

Major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds and Banks of US$31.0 million, while major buyers were Individuals and Foreigners aggregating to US2$2.5 million.

Company-wise, top performers were: YOUW, CNERYGY, PGLC, ATRL, and NESTLE, while laggards included: SSGC, SNGP, KTML, MLCF, and KOHC.

According to AKD Securities, the US-Iran conflict and international oil prices, along with monetary policy announcement would remain the key focus.

Additionally, favorable financial results for the period ended June 30, 2026 would drive the market sentiments in the near term.

Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

PSX benchmark index down 3.5%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained under pressure during the week ended on Friday, July 17, 2026. The benchmark index closed the week at 175,803, down 6,439 points or 3.5%WoW, with average daily trading volume declining to 911 million shares, down 29%WoW.

During the week market driven by uncertainties surrounding the US-Iran conflict, with the US threatening to strike Iran’s energy facilities.

Re-imposition of the naval blockade of Strait of Hurmuz pushed oil prices above US$86/bbl, the highest level since the MOU was signed between the two countries.

On the macroeconomic front, Current Account posted a deficit of US$139 million in FY26, as against a US$1.8 billion surplus during the same period last year.

Net FDI dropped 34%YoY to US$1.6 billion in FY26.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) decreased by US$1.2 billion to US$17.2 billion as of July 10, 2026, due to debt repayments.

LSM index increased by 6%YoY in 11MFY26.

Auto sales rose 33%YoY for the industry in FY26 to 244,000 units, led by stable prices, lower financing rates, and discount offers by OEMs.

IT exports surged 21%YoY to a record high of US$4.6 billion in FY26.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) HSD/MS price are likely to be increased over the weekend, 2) Electricity generation marginally increased by 1%YoY in FY26, 3) Textile exports inched up to US$17.9 billion in FY26, 4) Largest LNG carrier berthed at Port Qasim, and 5) Pakistan, Saudi Arabia agreed to expand energy cooperation.

Active sectors were: Jute, Refinery, and Technology & Communication, while lagged included: Textile Weaving, Synthetic & Rayon, and Transport.

Major selling was recorded by Mutual Funds amounting to US$37.6 million, while major buyers were Foreigners and Individuals aggregating to US$33.2 million.

Top performing scrips were: PIOC, CNERGY, and TPLRF1, while laggards included: IBFL, KTML, YOU, KEL, and ISL.

According to AKD Securities, any positive progress on US-Iran conflict, along with moderating international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels would remain the key focus.

Additionally, favorable financial results for the period ended June 30, 2026 would support market sentiment in the near term. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

Top picks of the brokerage house include OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

Why Are We Scared of Telling the Truth?

The first casualty of war is often the truth. Yet an equally disturbing reality is that many of us become unwilling participants in this process. We repeat official narratives, avoid uncomfortable questions, and hesitate to challenge the assumptions promoted by powerful states. Whether out of fear, political convenience, or media influence, we often stop asking whether there is another side to the story.

The present conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran offers a striking example. Much of the international discourse has focused on Iran's actions, while comparatively less attention has been given to the timing of the US-Israel military campaign, which began while diplomatic engagement over Iran's nuclear program was still underway. For many observers, this raises legitimate questions about the sincerity of negotiations and the priority given to diplomacy.

Another issue that receives limited discussion is the strategic importance of Iran in the regional balance of power. Many analysts argue that Washington and Tel Aviv view Iran as the principal obstacle to establishing a security order aligned with their interests in the Middle East. Whether one agrees with this assessment or not, it deserves open debate rather than dismissal.

Similarly, public discussion often frames Iran as the principal source of instability in the region, while criticism of Israel's policies receives comparatively less prominence. Across much of the Muslim world, perceptions differ significantly from those commonly reflected in Western political discourse. Ignoring these perspectives does little to promote mutual understanding.

The same applies to the role of the United States. Its military presence across the Arabian Peninsula is generally explained as necessary for regional security. Critics, however, argue that this presence also serves broader strategic objectives, including controlling energy routes and preserving American influence over one of the world's most important oil-producing regions. These competing interpretations should be examined rather than silenced.

Likewise, incidents involving attacks on US military installations in Gulf countries are frequently portrayed as attacks on the host nations themselves. Others contend that these bases are part of a broader geopolitical confrontation between Washington and Tehran. The distinction is important because it shapes how audiences understand the conflict and assign responsibility.

Healthy democracies are built not on unquestioning acceptance of official narratives but on the courage to ask difficult questions. Truth is rarely served by silence, selective reporting, or fear of challenging powerful interests. If meaningful peace is ever to prevail in the Middle East, the international community must be willing to examine every narrative critically, apply consistent standards to all parties, and encourage honest debate rather than suppress uncomfortable questions. Only by overcoming our fear of speaking openly can we hope to move closer to a more balanced understanding of one of the world's most consequential conflicts.

At PSX volatility spikes daily trading 25.7%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) remained volatile during the outgoing week driven by uncertainties surrounding the US-Iran conflict, pushing oil prices to US$80/ bbl before retreating. The benchmark index declined 4,626 points decline on Wednesday, but recovered partially on Friday. The index closed the week at 182,242 points, down 3,130 points or 1.7%WoW. Market activity remained strong, with average daily trading volume up 25.7%WoW to 1.3 billion shares.

On the macroeconomic front, worker remittances for June 2026 increased by 2%YoY to US$3.5 billion, taking FY26 total to a record high of US$41.6 billion, up 9%YoY.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) were reported at US$18.5 billion, as of July 03, 2026.

Yields during first FY27 T-Bills auction fell by 31-40 bps across all tenors.

Cement sales rose 18%YoY in June 2026 to 4.3 million tons, led by domestic dispatches, taking full year FY26 sales to 50.5 million tons, a 4-year high.

Other major news inflow during the week included: 1) Saudi makes biggest oil price cut in decades, 2) GoP buys more LNG as flows through Hormuz fail to recover, 3) IMF forecasts 3.5% growth rate for Pakistan’s economy in FY27, 4) RDA inflows increased to US$2.8 billion in FY26, and 5) Removal of MDR to provide leverage to banks.

Top performing sectors were: Synthetic & Rayon, Refinery, and Leasing Companies, while lagged included: Sugar & Allied Industries, Close-End Mutual Funds, and Transport.

Major buying was recorded by Individuals and Banks aggregated US$24.5 million. Major sellers were Companies and Mutual Funds with flows of US$20.9 million and US$11.3 million, respectively.

Top performing scrips were: IBFL, GHNI, CNERGY, PGLC, and LOTCHEM, while laggards included: MEHT, NPL, TPLRF1, KTML, and SNGP.

According to AKD Securities, going forward, positive progress on US-Iran conflict, along with moderating international oil prices towards pre-conflict levels would remain the key focus.

Additionally, favorable financial results for the period ended June 30, 2026 would support market sentiment in the near term. Market continues to trade at attractive valuations.

The brokerage house forecasts the benchmark Index to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.

Trump and Netanyahu Have Made Iran a Regional Superpower

The greatest irony of the US-Israel military campaign against Iran is that it appears to have produced results opposite to those publicly declared by Washington and Tel Aviv. While Iran has undoubtedly suffered significant human, economic and infrastructure losses, the conflict has also demonstrated an uncomfortable reality - overwhelming military superiority does not always translate into strategic success.

The campaign, which began on February 28, 2026, was widely seen as an effort to weaken Iran's military capabilities, curtail its regional influence and force political concessions. Yet Iran has neither capitulated nor abandoned its strategic objectives. Instead, it has displayed remarkable resilience despite living under US sanctions for nearly half a century. History shows that nations subjected to prolonged external pressure often emerge more self-reliant, strategically patient and politically determined.

Perhaps the most significant consequence of the conflict has been the transformation of regional perceptions. Iran is increasingly viewed not merely as a country capable of surviving sustained military pressure, but as a state able to impose meaningful costs on two of the world's most powerful military forces. Whether one agrees with Tehran's policies or not, that perception alone strengthens its deterrence and elevates its regional standing.

The conflict has also prompted difficult questions about the United States' role in the Middle East. For decades, several regional governments relied on Washington as the ultimate guarantor of their security. Today, many are reassessing the costs and risks of that dependence. If confrontation with Iran places neighbouring states directly in harm's way, outsourcing national security no longer appears as reassuring as it once did.

Arab capitals also face an unavoidable geographical reality. Iran may lack the capability to strike the US mainland directly, but it possesses the means to target American military installations and strategic assets across the Gulf. Even without launching such attacks, the possibility alone has heightened concerns among governments hosting US forces and critical energy infrastructure.

Adding another layer of complexity are reports that Israel has offered to accommodate additional US military deployments on its territory. Whether viewed as strategic cooperation or military consolidation, such developments reinforce the perception that the regional security architecture is becoming increasingly polarized. Some Arab policymakers may also fear that refusing to align with initiatives such as the Abraham Accords could expose them to greater political and military pressure.

The broader geopolitical implications may prove even more consequential. If the United States gradually reduces its military footprint in the Arabian Peninsula, the resulting strategic vacuum is unlikely to remain unfilled. China and Russia have steadily expanded their diplomatic, economic and security engagement across the region and would be well positioned to deepen their influence as regional states diversify their strategic partnerships.

Ironically, a campaign intended to isolate and weaken Iran may instead be remembered for strengthening its regional position. Military conflicts often reshape perceptions more profoundly than they alter borders. In that respect, history may ultimately record that Trump and Netanyahu achieved the opposite of their declared objectives by helping transform Iran into a more influential and formidable regional power.

PSX benchmark index up 3.2%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed positive momentum during the week ended on July 03, 2026. The improved outlook led to a strong rally in Banks. During the week the benchmark index gained 5,801 points and closed the week at 185,372 points, up 3.2%WoW. Despite a positive week, market participation measured by average daily traded volume declined by 32.5%WoW to 1.0 billion shares.

Market witnessed positive momentum, driven by lower-than expected inflation of 11.07%YoY in June 2026, as full year CPI remained in single digits at 7.05%YoY in FY26. This fueled sentiment around a potential policy rate cut later in the year as expectations for FY27 inflation remain subdued.

The aforementioned inflation also led to a decline in yields for 2, 3, 5, and 10-year tenors in Thursday’s PIB auction.

Positive talks in Doha between the US and Iran led to improved traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, though still below pre-war levels, bringing Brent near US$70/ bbl, further supporting investor confidence.

On the macroeconomic front, trade deficit rose to US$39.5 billion for FY26, up 22%YoY, as higher oil prices weighed on imports.

Foreign exchange reserves held by Pakistan at close of the fiscal year were reported at US$18.4 billion, marking a record high year-end level.

OMC sales declined marginally by 1%YoY in FY26 to 16,190,000 tons, led by higher oil prices.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan debt upgraded to ‘overweight’ by Barclays, 2) FBR achieved the revised tax collection target of PKR12,957 billion for FY26, 3) Middle East producers push on with oil/ LNG loadings despite ship attacks, 4) Pakistan eyes formal energy trade with Tehran, and 5) Pakistan and US discussed maritime cooperation.

Top performing sectors were: Jute, Sugar & Allied Industries, and Synthetic & Rayon, while laggards included: Textile Spinning, Leather & Tanneries, and Exchange Traded Funds.

Major buying was recorded by Mutual Funds and Companies of US$23.5 million and US$6.6 million, respectively. Major sellers were Insurance US$20.9 million and Individuals US$4.8 million.

Top performing scrips were: IBFL, TPLRF1, PTC, UBL, and JVDC, while laggards included: KEL, SRVI, MEHT, PABC, and SNGP.

According to AKD Securities, progress on US-Iran deal, along with moderating International oil prices towards pre-conflict levels would remain the key focus.

Additionally, favorable financial results for the period ended June 30, 2026 would support market sentiment in the near term.

The brokerage house forecasts the benchmark Index to reach 263,800 by end December 2026.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, UBL, MEBL, HBL, FFC, ENGROH, PSO, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, ILP and SYS.