Afghanistan: One year of Taliban rule, but no recognition by international community

Taliban marked the first anniversary of their rule in Afghanistan on Wednesday. This reminds humiliating defeat of US-led forces who invaded Afghanistan following September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States. 

Two of the most regrettable points are: 1) United States has not allowed the world to recognize Taliban government and 2) to continue its tyranny United States has not released foreign reserves of Afghan central bank as yet.

"The experience of the past 20 years can be a good guide... Any kind of pressure and threats on Afghans in the last 20 years has failed and just increased the crisis," Taliban said in a statement.

The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan - the name the Taliban give their government - is the "legitimate government of the country and the representative of the brave Afghan nation", the statement said.

No country has recognized Taliban, who took over Afghanistan with a speed and ease that took the world by surprise, following which President Ashraf Ghani fled the country and his government collapsed. The US led forces left two weeks later in chaos.

Taliban statement called on the international community to allow Afghans to have an independent Islamic government that has a positive interaction with the world.

The international community has pressed Taliban on human rights, particularly those of girls and women whose access to school and work has been limited. It has also urged Taliban to stopping harassing critics, activists and journalists.

The Taliban say they are discussing the matter of girls' education and deny cracking down on dissent.

Fireworks lit up Kabul sky on Tuesday night on the first anniversary of the withdrawal of foreign troops which Taliban are marking as "Freedom Day". 

Wednesday was also a public holiday, with small celebrations across Kabul including parades by Taliban forces.

Gorbachev winning Nobel Prize for ending Cold War dies

Mikhail Gorbachev, who ended the Cold War without bloodshed and also earned Nobel Prize but failed in preventing the collapse of the Soviet Union, died at the age of 91 in Moscow.

Gorbachev, the last Soviet president, forged arms reduction deals with the United States and partnerships with Western powers to remove the Iron Curtain that had divided Europe since World War II and bring about the reunification of Germany.

His internal reforms helped weaken the Soviet Union to the point where it fell apart, a moment that President Vladimir Putin has called the ‘greatest geopolitical catastrophe’ of the twentieth century.

Putin expressed his deepest condolences, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told Interfax. "Tomorrow he will send a telegram of condolences to his family and friends," he said.

Putin said in 2018 he would reverse the Soviet Union's disintegration if he could, news agencies reported.

World leaders were quick to pay tribute. European Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen said Gorbachev, who was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 1990, had opened the way for a free Europe.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, citing Putin's invasion of Ukraine, said Gorbachev's "tireless commitment to opening up Soviet society remains an example to us all".

There was no immediate reaction from the White House or the US State Department. Former US Secretary of State James Baker described Gorbachev as "a giant who steered his great nation towards democracy".

After decades of Cold War tension and confrontation, Gorbachev brought the Soviet Union closer to the West than at any point since World War Two.

"He gave freedom to hundreds of millions of people in Russia and around it, and also half of Europe," said former Russian liberal opposition leader Grigory Yavlinsky. "Few leaders in history have had such a decisive influence on their time."

But Gorbachev saw his legacy wrecked late in life, as the invasion of Ukraine brought Western sanctions crashing down on Moscow, and politicians in both Russia and the West began to speak of a new Cold War.

"Gorbachev died in a symbolic way when his life's work, freedom, was effectively destroyed by Putin," said Andrei Kolesnikov, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

He will be buried in Moscow's Novodevichy Cemetery next to his wife Raisa, who died in 1999, said Tass, citing the foundation that the ex-Soviet leader set up once he left office.

"We are all orphans now. But not everyone realizes it," said Alexei Venediktov, head of a liberal media radio outlet that closed down after coming under pressure over its coverage of the Ukraine war.

When pro-democracy protests rocked Soviet bloc nations in communist Eastern Europe in 1989, Gorbachev refrained from using force - unlike previous Kremlin leaders who had sent tanks to crush uprisings in Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968.

But the protests fuelled aspirations for autonomy in the 15 republics of the Soviet Union, which disintegrated over the next two years in chaotic fashion.

Gorbachev - who was briefly deposed in an August 1991 coup by party hardliners - struggled vainly to prevent that collapse.

"The era of Gorbachev is the era of perestroika, the era of hope, the era of our entry into a missile-free world ... but there was one miscalculation: we did not know our country well," said Vladimir Shevchenko, who headed Gorbachev's protocol office when he was Soviet leader.

"Our union fell apart, that was a tragedy and his tragedy," RIA news agency cited him as saying.

On becoming general secretary of the Soviet Communist Party in 1985, aged just 54, he had set out to revitalize the system by introducing limited political and economic freedoms, but his reforms spun out of control.

"He was a good man - he was a decent man. I think his tragedy is in a sense that he was too decent for the country he was leading," said Gorbachev biographer William Taubman, a professor emeritus at Amherst College in Massachusetts.

Gorbachev's policy of glasnost - free speech - allowed previously unthinkable criticism of the party and the state, but also emboldened nationalists who began to press for independence in the Baltic republics of Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia and elsewhere.

Many Russians never forgave Gorbachev for the turbulence that his reforms unleashed, considering the subsequent plunge in their living standards too high a price to pay for democracy.

Vladimir Rogov, a Russian-appointed official in a part of Ukraine now occupied by pro-Moscow forces, said Gorbachev had "deliberately led the (Soviet) Union to its demise" and called him a traitor.

"He gave us all freedom - but we don't know what to do with it," liberal economist Ruslan Grinberg told the armed forces news outlet Zvezda after visiting Gorbachev in hospital in June.

 

Canada invokes pipeline treaty with United States

Canada has invoked a 1977 pipeline treaty with the United States for the second time in less than a year. This is to prevent a shutdown of Enbridge-Line 5 pipeline in Wisconsin, said Canadian Foreign Minister Melanie Joly on Monday.

The Bad River Band, a Native American tribe in northern Wisconsin, wants the 1953 pipeline shut down and removed from its reservation because of the risk of a leak and expired easements, which are land use agreements between Enbridge and the tribe.

In May, Enbridge filed a motion in a US district court saying federal law prohibits attempts to stop the pipeline's operations. The motion sought to dismiss some of Bad River Band's claims.

The company said in a statement on Monday that it remains open to resolving this matter amicably and was pursuing permits to re-route Line 5 around the Bad River Reservation.

Joly said Canada has raised serious concerns that a possible shut down of the Line 5 pipeline will cause a widespread and significant economic and energy disruption.

"This would impact energy prices, such as propane for heating homes and the price of gas at the pump. At a time when global inflation is making it hard on families to make ends meet, these are unacceptable outcomes," Joly said in a statement.

The pipeline is a critical part of Enbridge's Mainline network, which delivers the bulk of Canadian oil exports to the United States. Line 5 carries 540,000 barrels per day from Superior, Wisconsin, to Sarnia, Ontario.

Joly said Canada was worried about the domino effects the shutdown would have on jobs.

"The shutdown could have a major impact on a number of communities on both sides of the border that depend on the wellbeing of businesses along the supply chain," she said.

The 1977 pipeline treaty governs the free flow of oil between Canada and the United States, and last year Canada invoked it for the first time ever to start negotiations with the United States to resolve a dispute with Michigan State, which wants to shut down Line 5 on environmental grounds.

This month, a US judge sided with Enbridge in ruling that a federal court should hear a suit by the State of Michigan seeking to force shutdown of the pipeline underneath the Straits of Mackinac in the Great Lakes. 

 

Japan pledges US$30 billion for Africa to counter Chinese influence

Japan plans to infuse US$30 billion in aid and investment from its public and private sectors into Africa over the next three years as it seeks to counter China’s growing influence.

Speaking via video link at the eighth Tokyo International Conference on African Development (TICAD), Prime Minister Fumio Kishida stressed Japan will grow together with Africa.

This is an increase from the US$20 billion that Japan promised African countries in 2019 and we essentially achieved it over the last three years, Kishida said.

The pledge is seen as an effort by Tokyo to differentiate itself from China, which has been criticized by the US and some Western nations for burdening African countries with loans.

Japan launched the TICAD in 1993, to revive interest in the continent and find raw materials for its industries and markets for its products. About a decade later, China began holding a rival event, the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, at a time when Japan was turning inward as it sought to rebuild its struggling economy.

Japan has over time shifted the focus of its engagement with Africa from aid to private-sector-led investment.

Japan’s total trade with the continent is just a small fraction of Africa’s trade with China, according to the Japan External Trade Organization. In 2020, Africa’s exports to Japan were US$8.6 billion, while African imports from Japan were about US$7.9 billion.

As against this, China’s total two-way trade with the continent reached US$254 billion last year.

President Xi Jinping last year pledged US$40 billion in loans and investment for Africa and promised to grow imports from the continent to US$300 billion in three years.

Except during the triennial TICAD meetings, Japan is almost invisible in Africa, Seifudein Adem, a global affairs professor at Doshisha University in Kyoto, Japan, said while Africa, too, is invisible in Japan.

Adem added, “China is also ahead in disseminating its ideas and values in Africa. While the global pandemic has widened the gap between Africa and Japan, the trend started earlier.”

He said Japan’s relative power has declined over the last three decades, as has its diplomatic and economic interest in Africa. However, the re-emergence of China as a global hegemon seems to be marginally stimulating Japan’s engagement with Africa and will continue to do so”, Adem noted.

At TICAD-8 in Tunis, which was attended by hundreds of heads of state and diplomats, Kishida, who spoke via video link, announced that Tokyo will help African countries with debt restructuring and extend loans worth around US$5 billion in coordination with the African Development Bank to promote sustainable African development.

This includes a special, newly created loan of up to US$1 billion for the purpose of advancing reforms that result in sound debt management and helping a resilient and sustainable Africa, the prime minister said.

Kishida also announced a further US$4 billion to promote Japan’s Green Growth Initiative. He also promised to contribute over US$1 billion to the Global Fund to help fight the spread of Covid-19 and other infectious diseases in Africa.

Kishida said Tokyo would work to ensure grain shipments to Africa amid a global shortage at a time when the international order is under threat after Russia invaded Ukraine.

Japan has aligned itself with the other Group of Seven countries in sanctioning Russia. However, the continent is divided over Moscow’s war in Ukraine, with many countries taking a neutral stance while others oppose sanctions, which Russia has blamed for food shortages in Africa.

Adem of Doshisha University said Japan’s approach to African development is distinct with its emphasis on transparency and the high quality of its projects.

 “But, from Japan’s point of view, the growing influence of China in Africa in the last two decades has made them all the more important to try to offset China’s unassailable competitive advantage,” Adem, the author of a forthcoming book on lessons for Africa from Japan and China, said.

However, he said Kishida has been more cautious in his diplomacy so far compared with previous leaders. Perhaps gone are the days of bold initiatives of the late Shinzo Abe, a friend of Africa, he said.

But Jonathan Berkshire Miller, a senior fellow at the Japan Institute of International Affairs, said: “Tokyo’s advantage will be to provide high-quality infrastructure, in line with the G20 priorities, and also enable African SMEs (small and medium-sized enterprises) through public-private partnerships.”

He said Japan has been making strides for decades on this through its TICAD process and evolving its assistance to the continent.

Miller said Japan views Africa in dynamic terms. However, Africa is changing and Japan is also realizing that its relations with the continent also need to balance the growing economic and geopolitical dimensions. Eventually, Japan would be advised to look more closely at building pre-existing partnerships with India and others in the region.

He said TICAD this year is of even more critical importance for African states to take ownership of partnerships and infrastructure cooperation. As the inflationary pressures and economic headwinds continue in recent months, the focus should be on partnership-based ventures that don’t saddle African states with unwieldy debt, Miller said.

Iran gas revenues increase 64% in a year

The Managing Director of National Iranian Gas Company (NIGC) has said the country’s gas revenues have increased by 64% since the current government took office last August, IRNA reported.

“An 11% increase in gas exports to Turkey and the continuation of negotiations to increase exports, the collection of about US$1.6 billion of Iran's gas dues from Iraq, and a 138% increase in gas swaps are among other measures taken to promote energy diplomacy in the 13th government,” Majid Chegeni said on Sunday.

Speaking at a ceremony for inaugurating several gas projects on the occasion of Government Week, Chegeni noted that over the past year Iran has reached a new record in gas condensate exports and the country has been established as a major player in the region’s gas market.

According to the official, the Islamic Republic’s natural gas refining capacity has also reached 1.030 billion cubic meters in the past 12 months and 530 kilometers of new gas pipelines have also been constructed to transfer fuel to seven power plants.

Operating the largest natural gas network in West Asia, NIGC continues to expand this network into the country’s most remote areas so that currently over 95 percent of the Iranian population enjoys natural gas through this huge network.

With a total length of over 36,000 kilometers, Iran’s gas network is also among the world’s most modern networks and it enjoys the most modern and updated measuring, transmission, and pressure boosting instruments and equipment.

This vast network of pipelines is growing bigger and bigger every year as NIGC tries to increase the coverage of the national network to nearly 100 percent.

According to NIGC data, Iran is currently producing over 810 mcm of natural gas daily which is mostly used within the country by the domestic sectors as well as fuel for the power plants. A small portion is also exported to neighboring countries like Iraq and Turkey.

Pakistan: Crucial IMF Board Meeting Today

Reportedly, Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is scheduled to meet Today (Monday) to consider a bailout package for Pakistan.

If the Board approves the deal, the IMF will immediately disburse about US$1.2 billion to Pakistan and may provide up to $4 billion over the remainder of the current fiscal year, which began on July 01, 2022.

“The board is likely to approve the disbursement of the 8th and 9th tranche (over US$1.2 billion) on Monday.” “Not doing so will send a negative signal, particularly during the floods.”

Pakistan, could also request emergency help from the IMF’s Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI), which may bring additional funds of up to US$500 million.

In April 2020, the Board approved the disbursement of US$1.386 billion to Pakistan under the RFI to address the economic impact of the Covid-19 shock.

Also, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Sunday that in recent weeks Pakistan has tied up at least US$37 billion in international loans and investments, pulling the country away from the kind of financial collapse seen in Sri Lanka”.

Both WSJ and Voice of America (VOA), a semi-official broadcasting service, confirmed that the Board is meeting on Monday to consider Pakistan’s request.

The VOA reported that in the last six weeks Pakistan has secured loans, financing, deferred oil payments and investment commitments close to US$12 billion from China, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE to avoid a default. But such commitments will become available only after the IMF Board approves the package.

The VOA quoted experts as telling, “Pakistan’s economy is broad and deep and its geostrategic position strong enough for it to avoid default.”

Tamanna Salikuddin, Director of South Asia programs at the United States Institute of Peace, told VOA that despite differences Washington still supports the loans through the IMF because a crisis on Afghanistan’s border is not something that the US wants to see.

She identified “Counterterrorism, nuclear security and stability” as being the main factors for continued US interest in Pakistan.

Salikuddin noted that “Geostrategic importance (often) leads Pakistan to make irresponsible economic policies as the leadership perhaps believes the country is too big to fail.”

The WSJ noted that the IMF had asked the country to first arrange additional funds to cover the rest of its external funding shortfall for the fiscal year, pointing out that Islamabad appears to have met that target.

Among allies, “China led the way, providing more than $10 billion, mostly by rolling over existing loans,” the report added.

In an interview to WSJ, Finance Minister Miftah Ismail said Saudi Arabia was rolling over a US$3 billion loan and was providing at least US$1.2 billion worth of oil on a deferred payment basis. Riyadh would also invest US$1 billion in Pakistan.

The UAE will invest a similar amount in Pakistan’s commercial sector, and it is rolling over a $2.5 billion loan. Last week, Qatar announced it would invest US$3 billion in the country.

But the WSJ report warned that the scale of the flooding from heavier-than-usual monsoon rains means that the country will need more financing than it had planned for.

It goes without saying that the opposition and government forces in Pakistan also need to end fighting each other over everything if they want to stabilize the economy.

 

Iran, Russia and China targets of US disinformation campaign

Recent studies have uncovered material that appears to be the part of the ongoing disinformation campaigns of the United States. These are aimed at maligning Iran, Russia, and China by using bogus accounts to spread pro-Western narratives.

In a study conducted by researchers from the Stanford Internet Observatory and research company Graphika, it was found that pro-US covert influence operations utilized deceptive techniques to sway public opinion in West Asia and Central Asia for over five years.

The accounts running the activities posted articles in at least seven languages, including Farsi, Russian, Arabic, and Urdu, and frequently pretended to be news organizations or to be persons who weren't real.

Some of the accounts posted links to websites maintained by the US military as well as news pieces from media organizations financed by Washington, such as Voice of America and Radio Free Europe.

The country of origin of the accounts, according to Meta, which owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, was the United States, while according to Twitter; the presumptive countries of origin for the accounts were the United States and Britain.

The study also stated that in July and August, when the fraudulent pro-US influence campaign was being promoted, Twitter and Meta erased hundreds of phony accounts.

The Russian social media networks VKontakte and Odnoklassniki, Google's YouTube, and Telegram were all utilized in the activities.

According to YouTube, multiple channels that were promoting US foreign policy in Arabic, Farsi, and Russian, as well as channels connected to a US consulting business, were removed. Based on the researchers, the accounts used regionally specific language and message.

Between November 2020 and June 2022, a total of 21 Twitter accounts, six Instagram accounts, five Facebook profiles, and two Facebook pages allegedly targeted Iranian audiences.

It was revealed that several of the aliases had possibly artificial intelligence-generated profile images.

Many made an effort to appear authentic by sprinkling poems and images of Persian cuisine with political messaging.

Numerous posts on Facebook and Instagram also unfairly contrasted chances for Iranian women with those available to women abroad.

In addition, 12 Twitter accounts, 10 Facebook pages, 15 Facebook profiles, and 10 Instagram accounts were made with a Central Asian concentration between June 2020 and March 2022.

These accounts subsequently posted articles that sharply denounced Russia's military campaign in Ukraine and supported anti-Russian demonstrations taking place in Central Asian nations.

Another set of reports honed down on West Asia, praising US efforts in Iraq and using encounters between US troops and Syrian children to support Washington's occupation of Syrian territory and theft of the natural riches of the Arab nation.

The research shows that none of the propaganda tactics were successful in reaching a sizable audience.

Only 19% of the discovered covert accounts had more than 1,000 followers, and the majority of posts and tweets only garnered a handful of likes or retweets.

The study is one of the most thorough evaluations to date of a covert, pro-US influence campaign, according to Shelby Grossman, a member of the research team that published the report.