Mari Petroleum Company Results Review

Mari Petroleum Company (MARI) held its corporate briefing to discuss FY24 result and future outlook of the company. The key takeaways are:

MARI achieved highest-ever hydrocarbon sales of 39 MMBOE up 18%YoY in FY24.

MARI’s 2C resources increased from 106 MMBOE in FY23 to 112 MMBOE in FY24. Similarly, 2P reserves increased from 577 MMBOE in FY23 to 704 MMBOE in FY24. Ghazij, Shawal, and HRL were the key contributors to the reserves/ resource additions.

MARI’s Reserves to Production (R/P) life is 17 years.

MARI spudded/ delivered a total of 12 wells in FY24, comprising of four exploratory wells (Maiwand X-1, Bolan West-1, Spinwam-1, and Shawal-1); five appraisal wells (4 Ghazij wells (Ghazij-2, 3, 4, & 5) and one Shewa-2; two development wells (Mari-124 and MD-20); and one water disposal well, WDW-3.

The company has also planned drilling for this year, and the CAPEX will be similar to last year.

Phase 1 of the HRL Pressure Enhancement Facilities/ Debottlenecking Project is near completion, with 17 loops completed and 3 loops in progress. Work on the compression stations is also in progress.

Regarding Enhancement Pressure Facilities (EPF) management highlighted that work on SNGPL pipeline has been completed. Pipeline Hydro testing of the remaining section is under process. The commencement of production will depend on the security situation and local dynamics. The expected production will be 70 MMSCFD.

Management highlighted that Mari D&P lease has been renewed for five years until November 2029 with an additional recurring 15% payment of wellhead value.

Mari Mining Company (a wholly owned subsidiary of MARI) was incorporated in July 2023. Currently, MARI holds three mining licenses in Chagai district of Balochistan (MPCL 1, MMC 2).

MARI has also incorporated Mari Technologies Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary company, focusing on Data Centre, Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence and other Petroleum and Mining related Technologies.

The management informed that they will sell the bonus shares at market price, and any difference from the price of PKR448.7/ share will be adjusted from the extra 10% shares of the shareholders held by the company.

The key focus of the company would be: 1) the safe startup of Shewa Early Production Facilities, 2) preparation and execution of Ghazij and Shewa FDPs, 3) completion of offshore evaluation and readiness for the bid round, 4) work streams on carbon capture and green hydrogen, 5) diversification in mining and technologies, and 6) building on technical excellence and enhancing employee experience.

 

Why can’t Pakistan buy oil and gas from Iran?

The United States first imposed sanctions on Iran in 1979 on the pretext of radical students storming its embassy and taking staff hostage. Since then sanctions have remained in force, in fact new sanctions have been imposed over the years.

While the United States continues to play the mantra that Iran is busy in the production of nuclear warheads, it hasn’t come up with any credible proof. Many doubt it is a hoax call like presence of Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan and Iraq busy in the production of weapons of mass destruction (WMD).

The growing perception is that the United States considers Iran a hurdle in the creation of its hegemony in the region, the major source of crude oil.

There is also growing impression among Pakistanis that the successive governments in Pakistan due to the US pressure stopped buying crude oil from Iran and didn’t go ahead on the construction of Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline.

The US administration is fully cognizant of the fact that Pakistan’s GDP growth is being pegged due to looming energy crisis. However, Pakistan is not allowed to buy crude oil and gas from Iran.

It is on record that India has been buying crude oil from Iran and also from Russia, despite imposition of sanction.

It is high time Pakistan should ask the United States to allow it to import crude oil and gas from Iran.

To be honest, the United States has no legal or moral authority to restrict any country from buying Iranian energy products.

Lately, the United States has not only swapped prisoners with Iran, but also allowed transferred US$6 billion to Iran. This was in fact Korean money payable to Iran, against crude oil already purchased.

Is it not the height of hypocrisy that United States has used money which it never owned for the exchange of prisoners, but didn’t release the funds when Iran needed it the most during COVID-19 pandemic?

The time has come Pakistanis should assert themselves and convince the US that buying energy products from Iran bodes well for Pakistan. If India can pay Russia in different currencies, Pakistan should also be allowed to buy energy products from Iran against supply of food.

On may recall that during sanctions on Iraq, the country was allowed to export certain quantity of crude oil and use the proceeds for buying food under “Oil for Food Program”.

Israel, Cyprus and Greece mull energy pacts

The leaders of Israel, Greece and Cyprus on Monday pledged to deepen energy cooperation and explore ways to get East Mediterranean gas to Europe, as well as connect electricity grids.

The eastern Mediterranean has yielded major gas discoveries in the past decade, mostly off Israel and Egypt, with interest rising since Russia's invasion of Ukraine hit flows to Europe.

"We will have to decide soon about how Israel exports its gas and the same decisions have to be made by Cyprus. We are looking at the possibility of cooperating on this," Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told reporters in Nicosia after a tripartite summit with Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and Cyprus' President Nikos Christodoulides.

"Those decisions will be made, I think, in the next three to six months, probably closer to three months," he said.

Earlier this year, Cyprus suggested expediting gas to market by the creation of a short pipeline linking Israel's east Mediterranean gas fields to a liquefaction facility on Cyprus, which could then be shipped to Europe.

"We agree that natural gas and renewable energy is a prime pillar of cooperation in the region, especially in light of the recent geopolitical developments," Christodoulides said. "Especially in Europe, (it) dictates the need for energy diversification and increased interconnectivity," he said.

Netanyahu said Israel was also "eagerly pursuing" being part of a planned subsea electricity link. The European Union-supported EuroAsia Interconnector subsea cable is envisaged to carry up to 2,000 megawatts of electricity to eventually link grids from Israel and Cyprus to Greece.

"We would like to have it connected obviously to Israel, and possibly to the east of Israel," Netanyahu said.

The three countries have built strong bonds over the years, and Netanyahu said one direct example of economic bonding was through food.

"We like your food," he interjected off script as Mitsotakis finished speaking. "We like your dairy products. We like your yoghurt."

Netanyahu said authorities would soon open the country's dairy product market, which now protects local production with high import duties.

"We intend to open the dairy market very soon to Greek and Cypriot—and other—imports. May the best yoghurt win. You have a pretty good chance at winning."

 

Iran successfully tests aircraft engine made by Iranian parts

On Monday, Iranian industrial specialists tested an airplane engine with great success which was made of domestically-made parts.

In honor of International Workers’ Day, President Ebrahim Raisi visited the Iranian energy and infrastructure company MAPNA.

The power component and engine management system of the airplane were put to the test during the visit by the specialists of MAPNA, renowned as the largest Iranian contractor for steam, gas, combined cycle, and renewable power plants.

The reverse engineering process was used by the domestic experts at MAPNA to completely develop and produce the engine and its control system.

The president also went to a display of technical advances in a number of industries, including water industry, oil and gas production, train transportation, aircraft engines, and the production of renewable and thermal energy.

The president also saw the exhibition’s high-tech F-class Iranian gas turbine and the domestic MAP 24 locomotive.

Raisi also went to the MAP24 locomotive, a product made by the MAPNA Group’s experts.

During his visit, the president emphasized the need of satisfying the country’s locomotive needs with a focus on local manufacture, as well as utilizing the capability of this company’s locomotive training center.

Raisi then toured the electric vehicle drive system, which included buses, passenger cars, and freight vehicles developed and manufactured by MAPNA Group.

 

United States: Gas prices plunge to the lowest levels in 30 years

Gas prices in the United States plunged to the lowest levels in 30 years signaling to dial back new well drilling and maximize combustion by power producers.

Front-month futures closed at US$2.45 per million British thermal units on February 09, 2023 in only the second percentile for all months since 1990, after allowing for the increase in core consumer prices.

Working inventories in underground storage were 17 billion cubic feet, above the prior ten-year average on February 03.

But that was a massive turnaround from a deficit of 427 billion cubic feet recorded as recently as September 09, 2022.

Mild weather has played a relatively small role in erasing the earlier deficit and transforming it into a large incipient surplus.

The number of heating degree days across the Lower 48 states so far this winter has been only 5% below the long-term average.

More important has been loss of exports following the explosion at Freeport LNG’s terminal and reduced consumption stemming from high prices through much of 2022.

Freeport’s eventual reopening should provide an outlet for some excess inventory, but with stocks in Europe also very full, exporters will have to compete for price-sensitive customers in Asia.

Slumping futures prices will discourage drilling and incentivize electricity generators to run their gas-fired units for more hours at the expense of coal.

The number of rigs drilling for gas has been essentially unchanged since the start of September - after increasing by more than 50% in the first eight months of 2022.

Discounted futures prices will also boost combustion from the power sector, helping limit the accumulation of inventories this summer.

The summer-winter calendar spread between July 2023 and January 2024 has slumped into a contango of more than US$1.10 per million British thermal units from a backwardation of more than 50 cents in August 2022.

Gas prices are now trading below the cost of coal, once the superior efficiency of gas-fired units is taken into account, which will encourage maximum gas burn this summer.

 

Peeping into the commodities market

After starting the year on weakness, crude oil prices have rebounded, driven by fears regarding China’s subdued demand easing off.

Brent futures rebounded by 7% on China announcing enhanced import quotas for 2023. This signaled that the country would continue to ramp up its demand, whether for inventory replenishment or heightened demand for petroleum products.

The second round of quotas enhancing allowed imports to 108.78 million tons of crude oil for 2023, corresponding to 60.6% of the ceiling, as compared to the earlier quota of 58.4%.

The developments out of China were enough to overshadow the inventory data from the US, where crude oil stocks in the country increased by a mammoth 19 million barrels during the week ended January 06, 2023.

Additionally, the latest CPI reading from the US led to expectations of the pace of rate hikes in the US to slow down. As a knee-jerk reaction, the US$ showed weakness, with the US Dollar Spot Index dropping by 0.9% on Thursday, making the dollar-denominated crude oil futures more attractive for investors trading in other currencies.

Moreover, a slowdown in the rate hike has led to expectations of demand not dropping by as much as earlier anticipated.

Global refining margins have continued to tick upwards amidst drop in refinery utilization due to snow storms in Texas, offsetting demand lows from holiday season resulting in larger than anticipated fuel inventory declines. Overall, snow storm in Texas has halted nearly 2.4 million bpd of refining capacity.

On the European front, shortage of natural gas exacerbated by the conflict in Ukraine, and western sanctions on Russian fuel supplies has resulted in overall power/heating demand turning towards diesel/fuel oil, exacerbating heating oil prices further. On the flipside, stronger-than expected economic data from China may result in refined-product exports from the Asian powerhouse to begin rolling out soon, weighing on margins/cracking spreads in the near term.

Overall, EIA’s January outlook expects combined gasoline, diesel and jet inventories to rise 9% in 2023, led by a 2.8% jump in refining throughput, with weaker economic activity pressuring diesel and gasoline consumption going forward. To note, gasoline/gasoil spreads currently stand at US$12.4/30.5 per barrel.

Richard’s Bay coal prices have continued to decline, currently hovering at US$167/ton compared to December 022/2QFY23 average of US$231/239/ton.

 Lower than anticipated heating demand due to milder winters in Europe and buildup of coal stockpiles in anticipation of winters has resulted in laggard demand for coal, leading to a decline in prices, particularly since mid-December 2022.

Coal prices had risen significantly during the past year amidst the global commodity super-cycle, peaking at US$460/ton in March 2022. Going forward, analysts expect coal prices to trend downwards to hover around US$160/ton in the near term. In the long run, coal prices are expected to settle around US$120/ton, although still higher as compared to pre-COVID averages of US$80/ton.

This may be attributed to delays in green energy conversion plans by developed countries, with several EU countries extending the life of coal plants which previously were scheduled for closure and reopening previously shut plants last year to address the shortage of Russian gas.

 

Even with the winter season beginning to settle (seasonal construction slowdown), scrap has rallied 22% from lows of US$340/ton in November 2022, to currently hovering around US$418/ton as compared to FYTD/ CYTD average of US$377- US$402/ton.

The said rise is majorly attributable to Chinese lockdown pullbacks, evident by 4.3% increase in purchase managers index (PMI) in December 2022 as compared to November 2022 (although still in a contractionary phase below 50).

The decision to move away from restrictions include a reduction in the overall mandatory quarantine period, which has been causing a myriad of problems for the world’s second largest economy. The said rally was not only driven by easing of restrictions but also by the abandoning of zero-COVID policy entirely, as protests against lockdowns have been running rampant in the country’s capital.

Although, the said bull-run may be short lived as routine virus controls, the ongoing property crisis, and the winter pollution curbs are expected to keep the construction/ engineering on the back foot in the near term. On the flipside, demand may pick up from a stimulus package (aimed at the housing sector) to be announced soon by the Chinese government targeting domestic industries and consumer spending.

Overall, Asian scrap demand is unlikely to be on a firm footing in the near term, as rising energy costs and a depressed outlook in Asia/ Europe are expected to dictate the production and procurement decisions of steel companies going forward.

Iran export from Sistan Baluchestan up 32%

The value of non-oil export from Sistan-Baluchestan province, in the southeast of Iran, rose 32% in the first nine months of the current Iranian calendar year (March-December, 2022), as compared to the same period last year, according to a provincial official.

Mojtaba Shojaei, the Director General of the province’s governorate’s office of economic affairs coordination, said 1.165 million tons of products worth US$165 million were exported from Sistan-Baluchestan in the mentioned nine-month period, indicating also 78% growth in terms of weight YoY.

He named cement, clinker, travertine stone, coal coke, coal, dates, gas, vegetables, agricultural poison and agricultural products as the main exported items, and Pakistan, Afghanistan, India, Iraq, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Indonesia as the major export destinations.

The official further announced that 1,157 tons of commodities valued at US$1.184 million were imported to the province in the first nine months of the present year, with 17% rise in value, while 26% drop in weight, year on year.

He named wheat, rice, cattle corn, cattle oats, mango, banana, sesame, potato, live livestock, fabric, tea, car spare parts, light and heavy car tires, cooling devices, spices, and fish as the main imported items, and Russia, Pakistan, France, Germany, India, Brazil, United Arab Emirates, China, Thailand and Afghanistan as the major sources of imports during the first nine months of the current year.

Based on the data released by the Islamic Republic of Iran Customs Administration (IRICA), the value of Iran’s non-oil export rose 19 percent from the beginning of the current Iranian calendar year (March 21, 2022) up to December 31, as compared to the same period of time in the past year.

According to the IRICA data, Iran exported 97.843 million tons of goods valued at US$43.088 billion in the mentioned period, also registering 2% increase in weight

Liquefied natural gas, liquefied propane, methanol, liquefied butane, and film-grade polyethylene were the main exported products in the said time span.

Major export destinations of the Iranian non-oil goods were China, Iraq, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, and India.

The Islamic Republic has also imported 28.18 million tons of non-oil commodities worth $44.337 billion in the first 286 days of the present year, with a 14.7% growth in value and a 10% increase in weight, year on year.

The major items of goods imported into the country in the said period include corn, rice, wheat, soybeans, sunflower seed oil, and cell phones, based on the IRICA data.

The United Arab Emirates was the top exporter to Iran in the mentioned period, followed by China, Turkey, India, and Germany.

Reportedly, the value of Iran’s non-oil trade rose 17% during the mentioned period, as compared to the same time period last year.

Iran traded more than 126 million tons of non-oil products worth over US$88 billion with other countries in the mentioned period.

 

Key Event of Maritime Trade in 2022

As year 2022 draws to a close it is pertinent to look back at some of the biggest stories that have been covered by Seatrade Maritime News over the last 12 months. For the readers interest we have chosen six major themes.

Tanker market boom

A geopolitical Black Swan supercharged the tanker market. The risk of a major confrontation between Russia, Europe and the United States completely redefined oil trade. Assessing the impact of a possible oil embargo on Russia is a near impossible task. But undoubtedly global oil trade and prices were severely impacted.

By the end of October it was an extremely different picture. As the cliché goes, the tanker sector was on fire. Charter hires reached stratospheric levels on the back of longer voyages for crude oil and for refined products, as well as small and large gas carriers.

As the latest phase of sanctions against Russian oil exports came into force in early December things continue to look extremely good for the tanker sector.

Impact of war in Ukraine

Much of what caused the boom in the tanker market has been the war in Ukraine, which of course has impacted more than shipping. But the invasion by Russia also left over a thousand seafarers stranded on vessels at Ukrainian ports.

Over the coming months seafarers were gradually evacuated from stranded vessels. However, a blockade of Ukrainian ports quickly started to have a serious impact on global food markets and prices as the country is major exporter of wheat and grain. Over a period of months much work was done to create an international corridor for grain exports from Ukraine with a humanitarian corridor and was up and running by the end of July.

“Inchcape Shipping Services (ISS) reported the ports of Odessa, Chornomorsk and Pivdennyi opened as of July 27. ‘We can expect the first vessel sailing by the end of the week, as it’s critical to release the vessels which are still blocked in ports,’ said ISS. Once blocked vessels are cleared, activity will continue via convoy, accompanied by a lead vessel.”

The humanitarian corridor has continued to provide a vital lifeline for grain exports, on occasion it has been threatened with closure. Meanwhile the war continues to have other impacts on shipping such as the growing dark fleet of tankers aimed at busting sanctions against Russian oil exports.

P&O Ferries mass firing

Switching gears considerably and at the start of 2022 the name Peter Hebblethwaite would have meant little to most, but he was in few short months to hit global headlines. Peter Hebblethwaite is of course the CEO of P&O Ferries who was to be branded Britain’s most hated boss.

The branding of P&O Ferries boss as the most hated was a result of the mass firing of 800 seafarers over Zoom on March 17. “Video circulated online of the moment P&O notified some of its staff by Zoom call that their employment was ending the same day.”

Somewhat ambitiously P&O Ferries had planned to have its fleet back in service with agency crew within seven to ten days of the mass seafarer sackings. However, the return to service of P&O Ferries did not go remotely to plan and by the end of May it was still struggling to get it all its vessels back into service.

On May 26 it was reported the UK Maritime & Coastguard Agency clearing the Pride of Canterbury in a Port State Control inspection. One vessel in the P&O Ferries fleet still needed a Port State Control inspection before it can return to service. The whole fleet of 10 ships required inspection after P&O Ferries sacked 800 of its seafarers without warning by Zoom call on March 17.

The fleet did all get back into service, but the backlash continued and in October Hebblethwaite was forced to drop off a panel at the annual Interferry conference and in November voted the world’s worst boss by the International Trade Union Confederation.

Container shipping mega-profits

Container shipping enjoyed unprecedented earnings in 2021 and 2022 but as this year has progressed it has become clear that this is not going to last. We started out 2022 reporting that analysts Drewry had upped their annual forecast for container shipping’s EBIT in 2021 to US$150 billion to US$190 billion. As 2022 continued the profits reported by lines were to get even more staggering and in August we reported on the results of Maersk in Q2 just as they were hitting their peak.

Maersk reported an underlying EBIT of US$8.9 billion for the second quarter but behind the 15th consecutive quarter of on-year earnings improvements, there were signs of change. Profitability in the group’s ocean segment rose ‘significantly’ compared to Q2 2021, as softening volumes and short-term rates were comfortably offset by higher contract rates.”

The extent of the plunge in container spot rates to come was to take even the most pessimistic by surprise. In mid-October we reported: “In a research note entitled ‘Fast and furious’ HSBC noted spot rates reported by the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) had fallen by 51% since the end of July – a decline of 7.5% per week. It was also highlighted that spot rates were now well below the levels of contract rates entered into at the start of 2022, especially on the Transpacific trade.

“In fact, at this pace of a 7.5% week-on-week decline, spot rates may hit the average spot rates of 2019 by the end of 2022, a level where we expect capacity discipline to meaningfully emerge, especially when rates go below cash costs.”

As spot rates head back down to 2019 levels this is particularly concerning for container lines as they negotiate long term contracts for 2023, and there can be little doubt that earnings will be considerably impacted.

Decarburization in focus

It's hard to talk about 2022 without mentioning decarburization and emissions. The industry’s ambitions, regulation and IMO targets have gone well beyond their traditional realms of the trade press. Watching the mainstream press trying to cover week-long bureaucratic meetings at the lumbering beast that is the IMO is not something we ever expected to see.

While the focus has more often than not been on regulation it is moves the industry itself is taking in terms of investing in alternative fuels that are the single most concrete actions. Over the last year we’ve seen growing traction around ammonia and methanol as a marine fuel, the latter attracting significant ship orders. However, while ships are on order the availability of green fuels is another matter. In July we covered an interesting story on potential source of cheap sustainable methanol.

In a September episode of the Seatrade Maritime Podcast it talked to Chris Chatterton of the Methanol Institute. Amid all the talk on regulation and targets the most significant change is the coming into force of the IMO’s EEXI and CII regulations, latter for carbon intensity proving particularly controversial.

These were covered in depth by correspondent Paul Bartlett in a November In Focus episode and as Paul commented, “The pressure is already on however, as ship-owners and operators should have drawn up new ship energy efficiency management plans (SEEMP by the end of this year.”

The December meeting of the IMO’s Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC) saw some long-awaited progress on a revision of the IMO’s GHG strategy. IMO Secretary-General Kitack Lim said at the close of the meeting, “It cannot be stressed enough how crucial it is that we keep the momentum and deliver an ambitious and fair, revised IMO GHG Strategy at MEPC 80 next year.”

The return of live events

Moving into the final topic for year-end review without a doubt 2022 was the year the of the in-person event with a huge bounce back in conferences, exhibitions, seminars and cocktail parties.

Winding back to March and CMA Shipping in Connecticut was one of the first larger gatherings followed Singapore Maritime Week in April although the latter was still restricted to some extent by Covid measures.

But revving it up a whole different level was the return of Posidonia in Greece in June. As noted at the time in monthly Maritime in Minutes podcast, “If anyone had any doubts about the appetite for inputs and events post pandemic Posidonia clearly spelled these, the exhibition halls packed with visitors from around the globe. There were huge traffic jams against the venue. And of course, there were the parties.”

It was quickly nicknamed Partydonia and it wasn’t hard to see why. But there was plenty of serious stuff going on as well including for ourselves at the Seatrade Maritime News with a raft of live event coverage as well as recording episodes podcasts with Stealthgas CEO Harry Vafias and Vassilios Demetriades the Shipping Deputy Minister of the Republic of Cyprus.

September saw the massive SMM event in Hamburg back on the calendar.  The event was hugely well attended and had strong theme of decarburization running across both the exhibition and conference content. Our Europe Editor Gary Howard summed up the whole event in a piece entitled Drowning in Decarburization.  It drowned out every other topic at SMM 2022, but most of the maritime industry still awaits direction.

Making Pakistan-Iran Trade Possible

Pakistan Must Opt for Oil for Food was the title of my first blog posted on June 17, 2012. I am tempted once again to talk about the same, as Pakistan continues to suffer from the worst balance of payment crisis. Iran is not only Pakistan’s next door neighbor but has repeatedly assured its capability to meet Pakistan’s energy demand.

The reason I am raising this issue again is that European Union member countries and India are allowed to import oil and gas from Russia, facing sanctions. If those countries are not barred from buying energy products from a “Sanctions Ridden Country” why can’t Pakistan buy energy products from Iran?

For decades the United States is saying “Iran is busy in producing nuclear warheads”. However, it hasn’t come up with any credible proof. Many critics say it is a hoax call. They remind of the similar allegation against Iraq that was busy in production of weapons of mass destruction.

After United States, withdrew from JOCPA during Donald Trump era, the perception is getting credence that the super power considers Iran a hurdle in creation of its hegemony in the region, the major supplier of crude oil and gas.

There is also growing feeling among Pakistanis that due to the US pressure on the ruling junta the country not only stopped buying crude oil from Iran, but also stopped construction of Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline. The people privy to information also says that even supply of wheat and rice to Iran has been put on hold.

 They refer to Iraq which was allowed to export oil under “oil for food program”.

The US is fully aware that Pakistan’s GDP growth being pegged due to looming energy crisis and the country needs low cost energy products immediately. However, Pakistan is not being allowed crude oil and gas from Iran.

The time has come Pakistan should assert itself and convince the US that buying energy products from Iran bodes well for Pakistan. If India can pay Iran in Rupee, Pakistan should be allowed to buy energy products from Iran against supply of wheat and rice.

 

Battle to shift from fossil fuels to metals

According to a Reuters report, the global trade war will shift from fossil fuels to metals and raw materials. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine highlighted the risk of relying on autocratic states for energy. Even if Europe’s gas crisis eases, Western manufacturers’ focus will switch to reducing China’s dominance in materials key to a cleaner economy.

Europe needs to cumulatively spend US$5.3 trillion on clean energy projects by 2050. That requires a six-fold increase in the global production of copper, lithium, graphite, nickel and some rare earths by 2040 show International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates.

Yet China dominates the processing, and to a lesser extent the extraction, of many critical industrial ingredients. It refines 58% of lithium produced globally, 65% of cobalt and over one-third of nickel and copper.

Ostracised Russia is also big in nickel, palladium and cobalt.

Europe, which imports between 75% and 100% of most metals, looks particularly vulnerable.

In response, Western companies can strike deals with suppliers in friendly countries, open mines at home, or boost recycling.

The first approach is the fastest and is underway. In 2022 carmakers have ramped up partnerships with mines and invested directly in mining projects, data from Fitch Solutions shows.

General Motors took a stake in Australia’s Queensland Pacific Metals to secure nickel and cobalt for green SUVs.

Opening new mines at home looks safer but takes longer. Take lithium. Europe doesn’t currently mine an ounce of the key electric-vehicle battery component. And the United States only supplies 2% of global demand. But things are changing.

Sibanye Stillwater is aiming to operate Europe’s first lithium mine in Finland in 2025; France’s Imerys is seeking to extract 34,000 tons of lithium hydroxide annually from a mine opening in 2028. If all European lithium mining projects transpire, they could supply around 40% of its expected demand of 600,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent a year by 2030, says one European miner.

The United States, which only holds 3% of the world’s lithium reserves, has passed legislation to subsidize domestic extraction of crucial materials.

Neither approach is foolproof. Mining in developed markets may mean pushback from environmentally conscious citizens. Critical metals producers could also make life trickier for buyers by forming cartels.

That’s why Western nations’ best option is ultimately to recycle metals from used appliances. Companies like Umicore and Redwood Materials already own the technology to reuse batteries and smartphones.

Europe recycles 17% of the globe’s battery production. But this share will rise to 48% by 2025, Fitch Solutions suggests.

Unfortunately, recycling is costly. But in a polarized world, protecting Western industries and jobs will merit a premium.

 

United States Joins hands with Britain to control energy trade

The United States and Britain announced on Wednesday an energy partnership aimed at sustaining a higher level of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Britain and collaborating on ways to increase energy efficiency.

Britain and other European countries have turned to the United States as they try to reduce their reliance on Russian energy supplies following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine begun in February.

This partnership will bring down prices for British consumers and help end Europe's dependence on Russian energy," British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said in a statement.

The "UK-US Energy Security and Affordability Partnership" will also aim to drive investment in clean energy and exchange ideas on energy efficiency and reducing demand for gas.

Household energy bills have hit record highs this year following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine forcing the UK government to cap costs and subsidize the difference a measure analysts forecast could cost up to 42 billion pounds or US$51 billion over the 18 months the cap is in place.

Western countries are also attempting to cap how much Russia can profit from the rise in energy costs that has followed its invasion of Ukraine.

The G7 - which includes Britain and the United States - has agreed a $60 per barrel price cap on Russian seaborne crude oil.

The United States became the world's largest LNG exporter in the first half of 2022, US Energy Information Administration data showed as the country rapidly increased its export capacity and high prices, particularly in Europe led to higher exports.

Britain said the United States would aim to export 9-10 billion cubic metres of LNG over the next year under the agreement, maintaining the increase in exports seen this year.

Refinitiv Eikon data showed Britain has imported around 11 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas from the United States so far in the first 11 months of 2022, up from 4 bcm in 2021.

Sunak met US President Joe Biden at the G20 in Indonesia last month, where Sunak highlighted the importance of the United States as an economic partner even without a free trade deal. Talks on a free trade agreement are suspended.

On Wednesday, Junior Trade Minister Greg Hands will begin a visit to the United States, where he is announcing a memorandum of understanding on trade with South Carolina, the third such agreement with a US state aimed at boosting trade missions and sharing expertise.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Iran aspires to become a gas hub with Russian support

Iran is currently under sanctions and involved in nuclear deal discussions with the United States and the West. It is also positioning itself to work with China and Russia.

The investment by Gazprom in Iran’s National Iranian Oil Company was announced during a recent visit by Russian President Vladimir Putin to Iran. This creates hope that Russian investment could help Iran become a regional gas hub.

Analyst and energy expert Habibollah Zafarian was quoted in an article at Iran’s Fars News arguing that the country could become a gas hub based on gas trade with neighboring countries. “Iran's gas reserves and privileged geographical location allow the country to play an influential role in the gas trade of the region.” 

Zafarian said “Iran's strategy should be defined in such a way that it buys the surplus gas of the countries of the region as much as possible and exports gas to the requesting countries at a higher price.”

Those like Zafarian, quoted in Iran pro-government media, are part of a push for the Islamic Republic to get out from under the West’s shadow and increase energy independence. 

Iran is well positioned to trade with Qatar, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, which have a surplus of gas, the article said, adding that gas is currently being exported by various countries to Armenia, Turkey, Iraq, Kuwait and the Persian Gulf countries – especially the UAE – and Oman, Pakistan and Afghanistan. 

“Everyone wants to import gas,” Zafarian said. “As a result, there is a great opportunity for Iran to become a regional gas hub with gas trade between exporting and importing countries.” 

Iran wants to take advantage of the war in Ukraine and the global economic crisis to work closely with Qatar and also improve its gas fields and its liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure

“Also, in the recent developments of the gas market, Russia has minimized gas exports to Europe, and America is trying to increase its LNG exports in order to replace a part of Russian gas in the European market,” an expert told Fars News.

Iran can now purchase Russian gas and then export it. There could even be an export pipeline. Gas could be exported to Turkey, Armenia, Georgia and Syria.

"In return, we can also help Russia and buy Qatar gas, which is one of the most serious options to replace Russian gas in the European market, and sell it to our destination markets."  

Clearly Iran is plotting to take advantage of the global crises, openly saying what it wants to do. The regime has been trying to develop north-south rail and transport lines for years so that it can hook up Turkey with southern Iran and also develop links to Central Asia and Pakistan or even India.  

Iran can fulfill Pakistan’s energy needs, says President Raisi

According to Tasnim News Agency, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi expressed the country’s readiness to satisfy Pakistan’s demand for oil, gas and electricity. In a meeting with Pakistani Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, held in Tehran, Raisi hailed the close ties between the two neighbors, saying the people of Iran and Pakistan are like relatives.

“We consider Pakistan’s security to be our own security,” he said, adding, “Some do not like the good relations between the two Muslim, neighboring, friendly and brotherly nations, but the development of relations leads to economic prosperity and more security for the nations of the region.”

There are no restrictions in Tehran for the development of relations with Islamabad, Raisi noted, saying, “We are ready to promote comprehensive cooperation with Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran has the necessary capacity to meet Pakistan’s needs in various fields, including oil, gas and electricity.”

The Iranian president called the fields of energy, transit and cooperation and coordination in the regional issues and crises as important aspects of relations between the two countries, his official website reported.

For his part, Bilawal expressed satisfaction with the visit to Iran, adding, “As much as I am a child of Pakistan, I am also a child of Iran.”

Thanking Iran for exporting electricity to Pakistan, the Foreign Minister said, “We are fully prepared to complete and conclude the previous talks in the fields of security, trade and energy.”

Pakistani Foreign Minister also praised the government of Iran for its assistance in extinguishing the widespread wildfires in Pakistan’s Baluchistan province.

 

50 million barrels crude oil to be released from Strategic Petroleum Reserve

The Department of Energy will release 50 million barrels of oil from the nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the White House announced Tuesday, as the Biden administration seeks ways to control rising costs at the pump.

Of the 50 million barrels, 32 million will eventually be returned to the strategic reserve over the years ahead once fuel prices come down in a bid to ensure the reserve remains stocked, officials said. 

Another 18 million barrels will be released as an acceleration of an oil sale Congress had already authorized.

Tuesday's announcement was made in concert with China, India, Japan, South Korea and the United Kingdom, which will also tap into their own strategic reserves.

The Biden administration had reportedly discussed the strategic reserve option in recent weeks to increase supply as consumers faced higher gas prices amid broader concerns about inflation as the economy rebounds from the coronavirus pandemic.

The Labor Department earlier this month released statistics showing consumer prices grew far faster than expected in October and that annual inflation had hit a 30-year high.

The consumer price index, which tracks inflation for a range of staple goods and services, rose 0.9 percent last month and 6.2 percent in the 12-month period ending in October. The rise in prices was driven largely by a 4.8 percent increase in energy costs for the month, including a 1.6 percent increase in gasoline prices.

In a bid to rein in gas prices as inflation contributed to sinking poll numbers, Biden last week asked the head of the Federal Trade Commission to investigate whether oil companies are illegally increasing prices.

Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), the ranking member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, said on Tuesday that Biden's own policies were to blame for needing to tap into the strategic reserve.

“We are experiencing higher prices because the administration and Democrats in Congress are waging a war on American energy," Barrasso said in a statement, arguing Tuesday's announcement would not fix the problem alone.

"Begging OPEC and Russia to increase production and now using the Strategic Petroleum Reserve are desperate attempts to address a Biden-caused disaster," Barrasso added. "They’re not substitutes for American energy production."

Congress is negotiating a roughly $2 trillion reconciliation package that is the cornerstone of Biden's agenda and features billions of dollars in investments in programs to combat climate change, with investments in renewable energy, electric cars and more.

The White House insisted Tuesday's announcement was not at odds with Biden's goals to shift away from fossil fuels in the years to come.

"Today’s announcement reflects the President’s commitment to do everything in his power to bring down costs for the American people and continue our strong economic recovery," the White House said in a statement.

"At the same time, the Administration remains committed to the President’s ambitious clean energy goals, as reflected in the historic Bipartisan Infrastructure Law signed last week and the House-passed Build Back Better Act that together represent the largest investment in combating climate change in American history and is a critical step towards reaching a net-zero emissions economy by 2050 and reducing our dependence on foreign fossil fuels."

Pakistan oil and gas production declines during Jan-Mar 2021 quarter

Pakistan’s indigenous crude oil production in 3QFY21 declined to 77,139, down 6%YoY barrels per day (bpd) mainly because of sharp fall of 63%YoY in Makori Deep’s production, followed by 23%YoY decline in Mardankhel and 11%YoY in Maramzai’s productions.

These three fields belong to Tal Block (operated by MOL Pakistan) of which production in total has declined by 13%YoY to 17,840 bpd during Jan-Mar 2021 quarter as against 20,597 bpd during Jan-Mar 2020 quarter.

The decline in production from Tal Block was contained to 13% due to 3%YoY increase in oil production from Makori East (which contributes 54% to Tal Block and 12% to country’s production).

On a QoQ basis, Pakistan oil production was up by 2%.

During 9MFY21, Pakistan oil production declined by 6%YoY to 75,924 bpd due to decline in flows from Makori Deep, Mardankhel and Nashpa fields.

Pakistan domestic gas production declined to 3,550 mmcfd, down by 3%YoY during the quarter under review due to lower flows from Qadirpur, Kandhkot, KPD and Maramzai ranging from 7% to 15%YoY.

Mari field’s production increased by 3%YoY and 2%QoQ as it has replaced Kandhkot field volumes to the National Grid. As a result, Kandkot field volumes have come down by 11%YoY and 1%QoQ.

On QoQ basis, gas production increased by 5% during the quarter due to sharp improvement in flows of Uch Field, rising to 35,013 mmcfd.

On 9MFY21 basis, gas production was down 3%YoY to 3,525 mmcfd due to decline in flows from Qadirpur, Kandkot, and KPD to the tune of 4% to 17%.

Iran drills 117 oil and gas wells in first 10 months of current calendar year

National Iranian Drilling Company (NIDC) has completed drilling of 117 oil and gas wells during the first nine months of the current Iranian calendar year. Managing Director of the company, Abdollah Mousavi said the drilled wells consisted of 27 development wells, one appraisal well, 85 workover wells and four exploratory wells.

The official stated that during this period, 18 wells were drilled 326 days earlier than the schedule and handed over to the applicant company for operation, adding that the early production of the wells, rig clearance, and cost reduction, which are resulted through cooperation between the experts of NIDC and the operating company, is economically viable significantly.

After the US re-imposed sanctions on Iran, indigenizing the know-how for the manufacturing of the parts and equipment applied in different industrial sectors is one of the major strategies that the Islamic Republic has been strongly following up to reach self-reliance and nullify the sanctions.

Oil, gas and petrochemical industries have achieved outstanding performances due to indigenizing of the knowledge for manufacturing many parts and equipment that were previously imported. Among different sectors of the mentioned industries, drilling could be mentioned as a prominent example in this regard.

NIDC managed to indigenize the knowledge for manufacturing 6,000 drilling equipment in collaboration with domestic manufacturers and engineers in the previous Iranian calendar year.

Before this success, the technology for manufacturing the mentioned equipment was in the possession of a handful of foreign companies.

The equipment indigenized by NIDC includes drilling mud pumps, blowout preventers, traction motors, draw-works, drilling fluid recycling systems, mission centrifugal pumps, top drives, and drilling rig slow circulation rate pressure systems.

The company has also managed to indigenize the know-how for manufacturing 242 parts highly-applied in the drilling industry during the first half of the current Iranian calendar year.

In order to indigenize the technology to manufacture these parts, NIDC inked six research deals with domestic universities and knowledge-based companies.

At the beginning of the current Iranian year, NIDC managing director had said that his company’s performance will be more outstanding in this year, which is named the year of surge in production.

The official’s saying has already come true, as his company managed to indigenize the know-how for manufacturing some significant parts, and also in completing the digging operations sooner than the schedule.

NIDC accounts for a major part of drilling exploration as well as appraisal/development wells in Iran. It holds 70 onshore and offshore drilling rigs as well as equipment and facilities for offering integrated technical and engineering services.

ODGC profit declines by 28.5 percent

Pakistan’s largest exploration and production enterprise, Oil & Gas Development Company (OGDC) has released its half yearly financial results for the period ended 31st December 2015. OGDC profit eroded by 28.5 per cent but the Board of Directors was generous enough in approving payment of second interim dividend of 12 percent, taking payment during first half to 27 percent.

OGDC has posted profit after tax of Rs34.206 billion (EPS: Rs7.95) during the period under review as compared to net profit of Rs47.828 billion (EPS: Rs11.12) for the corresponding period a year ago, down by 28.5 percent.

Net sales of OGDC plunged to Rs86.186 billion during July-December 2015 from Rs118.64 billion during the same period 2014, a decline of 27.35 percent.

OGDC has presence in the four provinces, largest portfolio of hydrocarbon reserves – 59 percent of oil and 36 percent of gas as at 30th June 2015.

OGDC’s average daily production is 40,028 barrel oil, 1,116mmcf gas, 312tons LPG and 28 tons Sulphur. It contributed 28 percent to total gas and 48 percent to crude oil production

OGDC to add LPG plant at Naspha field

Nashpa field of Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC) is located at District Karak of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. It is rich in hydrocarbons and capable of producing daily 1,032 barrel oil, around 125 mmcfd (million cubic feet gas per day) gas and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).

A 380 metric ton LPG plant  would also be installed in March this year. The LPG project will be completed in two years and local manpower will be hired for running the plan at the field located at District Karak of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. The field has been discovered recently having oil and gas.