Friday, 8 August 2025

PSX benchmark index up 3.08%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) sustained its bullish momentum throughout the week on anticipation of strong earnings during the ongoing results season. The benchmark index touched its all-time high closing at 145,647 points on Thursday, but closed the week at 145,383 points, up 4,348 points, up 3.08%WoW, with meager decline in the last trading session.

Market participation improved with average daily traded volume increasing by 16.3%WoW to 653 million shares, up from 561 million shares a week ago.

Trade deficit for the month of July 2025 rose to US$2.8 billion, up 44%YoY.

Workers’ remittances for July 2025 also rose to US$3.2 billion, up 7%YoY.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) decreased by US$72 million to US$14.2 billion as of August 01, 2025.

Key sectoral developments included robust 30%YoY growth in cement dispatches for July 2025, while OMC offtakes reached 1.2 million tons, up 2% YoY.

On the international front, the Trump administration imposed an additional 25% tariff on India, raising reciprocal tariffs to 50%.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan gets 19% tariff after US drives a hard bargain, 2) SBP enhances housing finance limit for microfinance borrowers to PKR5 million, 3) ExxonMobil likely to come back for offshore venture, 4) Pakistan set to initiate dialogue with Qatar on LNG supplies, and 5) Budget deficit drops to 5.4% in FY25 from 6.8% for the same period last year.

Woollen, Jute, insurance, Tobacco, and Food & Personal Care were amongst the top performing sectors, while Synthetic & Rayon, Close-end Mutual Funds, Chemical, Sugar & Allied Industries, and Textile Weaving were amongst the laggards.

Major selling was recorded by Banks/ DFI with a net sell of US$18.8 million. On the other hand, Mutual Funds absorbed most of the selling with a net buy of US$22.9 million.

Top performing scrips the week were: AGL, NESTLE, UNITY, HBL, and BNWM, while the laggards included: GADT, PKGP, FABL, LCI, and IBFL.

According to AKD Securities, the market is expected to remain positive in the coming weeks, with further developments over circular debt expected to drive the market along with upcoming corporate results remaining in the limelight.

The benchmark index is anticipated to sustain its upward trajectory, with a target of 165,215 points by end December 2025, primarily driven by strong earnings in Fertilizers, sustained ROEs in Banks, and improving cash flows of E&Ps and OMCs, benefiting from falling interest rates and economic stability.

The top picks of the brokerage house include OGDC, PPL, PSO, FFC, ENGROH, MCB, FCCL, KOHC, INDU, and SYS.

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