The world’s two most populous nations are intense
rivals competing for influence across South Asia, and fought a
deadly border clash in 2020.
India is also part of the Quad security alliance with the
United States, Australia and Japan, which is seen as a counter to China.
Caught in global trade and geopolitical turbulence triggered
by US President Donald Trump’s tariff war, the countries have moved
to mend ties.
During talks on
Monday with Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, India’s foreign minister, Wang said the
two countries should “view each other as partners and opportunities, rather
than adversaries or threats”.
He pointed to the resumption of “dialogue at all levels” and
“maintenance of peace and tranquility in border areas” as evidence that
bilateral ties were on a “positive trend of returning to the main path of
cooperation”.
Wang is also expected to meet Prime Minister Narendra Modi
during his three-day visit.
According to Indian media, Modi might visit China
this month, which would be his first trip since 2018.
Relations have improved since October, when Modi and Chinese
President Xi Jinping met for the first time in five years in Russia.
Chinese and Indian officials have said in recent weeks that
the two countries were discussing the resumption of border trade, which
has been halted since 2020.
Its resumption would be symbolically significant, and
follows discussions to resume direct flights and issue tourist visas.
At this juncture it is necessary to examine the factors
responsible for the confrontation between China and India.
Point blank it could be said that the omnipresent
confrontation is rooted in a mix of historical, geopolitical, economic, and
strategic factors.
While both the countries are major Asian powers and share a
long border, their relations have been tense for decades. The reasons include:
Border
Disputes
The 3,488 kilometers (2,167 miles) boundary between China
and India is not formally demarcated. Two main disputed Areas are: 1) Aksai
Chin (controlled by China, claimed by India) and 2) Arunachal Pradesh
(controlled by India, claimed by China as “South Tibet”). Repeated standoffs
(Doklam 2017, Galwan 2020) occur due to patrol overlaps and differing
perceptions of the Line of Actual Control (LAC).
Historical
Legacy
The 1962 Sino-Indian War left a deep scar. China defeated
India and occupied Aksai Chin. India still feels betrayed, as relations before
1962 were publicly friendly under “Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai” (India-China
brotherhood).
Strategic
Rivalry in Asia
Both nations see themselves as dominant Asian powers. China
views India’s rise and its closeness with the US, Japan, and Australia (Quad
alliance) as a counterbalance to Beijing.
Similarly, India sees China’s moves in the Indian Ocean
(ports in Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and Myanmar) as strategic encirclement, often
called the “String of Pearls.”
China–Pakistan
Nexus
China is Pakistan’s closest ally, providing military,
economic, and diplomatic support. The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
passes through Gilgit-Baltistan, a territory claimed by India. This deepens
India’s suspicion that China aims to strategically contain it.
Tibet
and the Dalai Lama
India hosts the Dalai Lama and the Tibetan
government-in-exile in Dharamshala. China sees this as interference in its internal
affairs and a threat to its sovereignty over Tibet.
Economic
Competition
India sees Chinese dominance in trade and technology as a
threat. After the 2020 border clashes, India banned over 200 Chinese apps and
tightened FDI rules from China.
Both China and India compete for influence in South Asia,
Africa, and global institutions.
Military
Build-up
Both nations are rapidly modernizing and militarizing their
borders. China has built extensive infrastructure (roads, rail, and airstrips)
along the LAC. India is catching up with new highways, forward bases, and troop
deployments.
Nationalism
and Domestic Politics
In both countries, leaders use nationalist rhetoric to
project strength. In India, strong responses to China are politically popular. In
China, the Communist Party portrays territorial claims as non-negotiable to
maintain legitimacy.
Geopolitics
China is wary of India’s growing ties with the US
(Indo-Pacific strategy, defense pacts). India distrusts China’s closeness with
Russia and Pakistan. Both are competing in international organizations (UN,
BRICS, SCO, and G20).
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