"Global unity can triumph over trade tyranny,"
declared an editorial in the state-run newspaper China Daily, noting Beijing's
collaborations with Japan, South Korea and other Asian economies. A separate
piece called for the European Union to work with it to "uphold free trade
and multilateralism".
Beijing "firmly opposes and will never accept such
hegemonic and bullying practices," foregin ministry spokesperson Lin Jian
told reporters on Wednesday.
The tariffs come at a difficult time for China's sluggish
economy: domestic consumption remains weak and exports are still a major driver
of growth.
The sweeping nature of Trump's tariffs has also left Chinese
businesses scrambling to adjust their supply chains — with most countries
affected, firms say it's hard to find a way out of this uncertainty.
The tariffs will shrink "already razor-thin profit
margins", said the owner of a Chinese business that handles cross-border
logistics for e-commerce, as well as air and sea freight.
"Higher tariffs raise costs for freight forwarders like
us, as well as for factories, companies, and sellers. It just means everyone
earns less."
Any tariff upwards of 35% will wipe out all the profits that
Chinese businesses make when exporting to the US or South East Asia, said Dan Wang
from the Eurasia Group consultancy.
"Growth is going to be much lower since exports
contributed to 20% to 50% of growth since the Covid pandemic," she added.
The
Chinese government has not announced retaliatory measures but Beijing is
reportedly considering banning Hollywood films and suspending fentanyl
cooperation with the US, according to Chinese blogger Liu Hong, who is a senior
editor at state-run Xinhua news.
But that would offer little comfort to firms like Fuling, a
firm that sells disposable tableware to US fast food restaurants like
McDonald's and Wendy's, said the additional tariffs will "significantly
impact" its business. It noted that nearly two-thirds of the company's
revenue in 2023 and the first half of last year came from the US.
To mitigate the impact of tariffs, Fuling, which is
headquartered in China's Zhejiang province, started a new factory in Indonesia
late last year.
But Trump's new tariffs have introduced more uncertainty for
Chinese exports from Indonesia are now subject to a 32% levy, the company said
in a corporate filing.
Indonesia was hit along with much of the world in President
Trump's announcement of expansive tariffs last week, which he claimed would
allow the US economy to flourish.
But economists have warned of a US and global recession. The
tariffs have also shaken global markets and drawn criticism from billionaire
CEOs, including Trump's ally Elon Musk.
Trump's import taxes include a 10% baseline tariff on almost
all foreign imports to the US, and higher custom tariffs for what he calls the
"worst offenders". These include Cambodia (49%), Vietnam (46%) and
Thailand (36%), developing economies that have benefited from strong exports.
After Beijing announced tit-for-tat tariffs, Trump raised
the levies on Chinese imports, more than doubling them to 104%.
Emo told the BBC he is holding out hope that China will be
able to negotiate away some of these taxes: "Only when a final decision is
made can we plan our next steps."
While China has left the door open for talks, Trump has not
spoken to Chinese leader Xi Jinping since returning to the White House.
Such broad, sweeping tariffs will cause more harm than good,
the American Chamber of Commerce in China said in a note to its member
companies on Wednesday.
"This level of upheaval is unprecedented, and it
remains unclear how the current measures will benefit consumers in either
nation or the broader economy," read the note signed by Chair Alvin Liu
and President Michael Hart.
Some analysts believe the levies will force China to
restructure its economy and rely heavily on domestic consumption, which it has
been struggling to boost.
Otherwise, the tariffs will not be sustainable for China in
the longer term, Tim Waterer from brokerage KCM Trade said.
"The tariffs are aimed at suppressing China," said
the manager of a Chinese freight company.
Wu Changchun added that many of the South East Asian
countries that have been hit with steep tariffs are "exactly where many
Chinese businesses have relocated", such as Vietnam and Cambodia.
The Tianjin-based company plans to negotiate with some of
its American clients to share the burden of the tariffs. "Every case is
different, but overall, the impact has been quite substantial," he said.
Wu, whose company operates mainly on shipping routes between
China and Cambodia, said he is already seeing a fall in freight volume.
Several construction projects in Cambodia have also come to
a halt after Trump's tariffs announcement, he said.
"If the tariffs were at 10% or 20%, businesses might
still be able to absorb the cost by optimizing supply chains, cutting margins
and sharing the burden. Trade could still go on... [But at 104%] that's no
longer something trade-offs can fix," said Wu, a general manager at
Maritima Maruba.
"That's full-on decoupling. Trade would basically come
to a standstill."
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