Trump's turnabout on Wednesday, which came less than 24
hours after steep new tariffs kicked in on most trading partners, followed the
most intense episode of financial market volatility since the early days of the
COVID-19 pandemic.
The upheaval erased trillions of dollars from stock markets
and led to an unsettling surge
in US government bond yields that appeared to catch Trump's attention.
"I thought that people were jumping a little bit out of
line, they were getting yippy, you know," Trump told reporters after the
announcement, referring to jitters sportspeople sometimes get.
US stock indexes shot higher on the news, with the
benchmark S&P 500, opens new tab index closing 9.5% higher, and the
relief continued into Asian trading on Thursday with Japan's Nikkei index surging 8%.
European futures also pointed to big gains, but there were
already signs the rally may be short-lived with US stock futures trading
lower. Oil prices also fell around 1%, extending a grim spell fuelled
by fears that the trade tensions could push the global economy towards
recession
Since returning to the White House in January, Trump has
repeatedly threatened an array of punitive measures on trading partners, only
to revoke some of them at the last minute. The on-again, off-again approach has
baffled world leaders and spooked business executives.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent asserted that the
pullback had been the plan all along to bring countries to the bargaining
table. Trump, though, later indicated that the near-panic in markets that had
unfolded since his April 02 announcements had factored in to his thinking.
Despite insisting for days that his policies would never
change, he told reporters on Wednesday، "You have to be flexible."
But he kept the pressure on China, the world's second
economy and second biggest provider of US imports. Trump immediately hiked the
tariff on Chinese imports to 125% from the 104% level that kicked in on
Wednesday.
Chinese companies that sell products on Amazon are
preparing to hike prices for the US or quit that market due to the
"unprecedented blow" from the tariffs, the head of China's largest
e-commerce association said.
Beijing may again respond in kind after slapping 84% tariffs
on US imports on Wednesday to match Trump's earlier tariff salvo. It has
repeatedly vowed to "fight to the end" in the escalating trade war
between the world's top two economies.
"The US and China are currently in a powerplay game of
brinkmanship," said ING global head of markets Chris Turner.
Beijing said it had held talks with the European
Union and Malaysia on strengthening trade in response to the tensions, although
Australia said it had rebuffed an offer from China, its top trading
partner, to work together to counter the tariffs.
"We are not going to be holding hands with China in
respect of any contest that is going on in the world," Deputy Prime
Minister Richard Marles told Sky News.
Hopes of state support helped prop up Chinese stocks on
Thursday, even as its yuan currency fell to its weakest level since the global
financial crisis.
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