National
Security Threat
Israel sees a nuclear-armed Iran as an existential threat.
Iran has a long history of hostile rhetoric against Israel, including
statements from some Iranian leaders calling for the end of the Israeli state.
A nuclear weapon in Iranian hands could shift the balance of power in the
region and severely limit Israel’s freedom to act militarily.
Regional
Power Balance
Israel is currently the only country in the Middle East
widely believed to possess nuclear weapons (though it has never confirmed this
officially). If Iran were to develop its own nuclear arsenal, it would
undermine Israel’s strategic military edge in the region and potentially spark
a regional arms race.
Deterrence
Concerns
Even if Iran doesn’t use a nuclear weapon, the mere possession
could embolden Iranian proxies like Hezbollah in Lebanon or militias in Syria
and Iraq. Israel worries that Iran’s nuclear capability could act as a
protective umbrella for more aggressive conventional or proxy actions.
Lack of
Trust in Diplomacy
Israel has been critical of the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA),
arguing that it does not permanently prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear
weapon and that Iran could "wait out" the deal and then resume
enrichment. They also believe Iran has cheated or could cheat on its
obligations.
Precedent
of Preemptive Strikes
Israel has a history of preemptively striking nuclear
programs in the region:
Iraq’s Osirak reactor in 1981
Syria’s Al-Kibar facility in 2007
These actions reflect a doctrine that Israel will not allow
hostile states to acquire nuclear weapons.
Killing
of Iranian nuclear scientists by Israel
The killing of Iranian nuclear scientists—widely attributed
to Israel—has been a significant and controversial element in the long-running
tensions between Iran and Israel, especially regarding Iran’s nuclear program.
Here's a breakdown of key events and context:
Overview
of the Killings
Since around 2010, several Iranian nuclear scientists have
been assassinated under mysterious or targeted circumstances. These attacks are
believed by many experts and intelligence sources to be part of an Israeli
covert campaign to slow or sabotage Iran’s nuclear program. Following is the
list of major Israeli attacks on Iranian facilities:
Masoud
Alimohammadi (Jan 2010)
Physics professor was killed in a bomb blast in Tehran. Iran
blamed the US and Israel, though there was little publicly available evidence.
Majid
Shahriari (Nov 2010)
Nuclear engineer was assassinated in a car bombing.
Simultaneously, another scientist, Fereydoon Abbasi, was
targeted but survived.
Dariush
Rezaeinejad (July 2011)
Shot by gunmen on a motorcycle outside his home.
Mostafa
Ahmadi Roshan (Jan 2012)
Deputy Director of the Natanz uranium enrichment facility
was killed in a magnetic bomb attack on his car.
Mohsen Fakhrizadeh
(Nov 2020)
Senior figure in Iran’s nuclear program, seen as the
“father” of Iran’s nuclear weapons project was killed in a highly sophisticated
ambush, allegedly involving remote-controlled weapons and possibly AI. Israel
was widely suspected; Netanyahu had named Fakhrizadeh in a 2018 speech as
central to Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
Israeli
Stance
Israel has not officially claimed responsibility for the
assassinations but has hinted at a policy of proactive defense against Iranian
nuclear capabilities. The Israeli intelligence agency Mossad is believed to be
behind the operations, according to various reports and leaked information.
Strategic
Purpose
Delay Nuclear Development:
Targeting key figures slows down Iran’s nuclear progress.
Deterrence:
Sends a message to Iran and other adversaries.
Psychological
Warfare:
Undermines morale and trust within Iran’s scientific and
intelligence community.
Iran’s
Response
Iran has blamed Israel and sometimes the US and vowed
revenge. It has strengthened security around its scientists and facilities.
Iran has continued pushing forward its nuclear program, including uranium
enrichment.
International
Reactions
The killings have drawn mixed international response. Some
Western countries condemned the assassinations as extrajudicial killings. Others
remained silent or vaguely supportive, seeing Iran’s nuclear ambitions as a
security threat.
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