China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Turkey
and Pakistan are some of the largest buyers of Brazilian cotton
The
South American country’s position as the world’s number one exporter is driven
by the record output, strong demand from Asian countries and a drop in US
production due to adverse weather.
“It happened a little earlier than we imagined,” Anea head
Miguel Faus told Reuters. “The main reason is that there was a failure in
the US crop, while the Brazilian production increased.”
Faus said Brazil’s exports could increase further next season,
as farmers begin to harvest a crop expected to hit a new record, and again in
2025-26. “I think that in the medium term, Brazil will consolidate itself in
this leadership position”, he said.
He
cited data from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), which this month
increased its forecast for Brazil’s cotton exports this year by 300,000 bales
to 12.4 million bales, while reducing the US forecast by 500,000 bales to 11.8
million bales.
According to a USDA report, the US had led global cotton
exports since the early 1990s.
Brazil
already surpassed the US in terms of production in 2023-24, ranking third in
the world behind China and India — positions that are expected to be maintained
in 2024-25.
Brazil has been more generally increasing its commodity
exports, including corn and coffee.
It has long been the world’s largest coffee producer and
exporter and Faus said it would still have more influence in that market than
in cotton.
“In the case of cotton, the forces are more balanced… But of
course, if Brazil’s production rises or falls, the market will be paying
attention,” he said.
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