Within a single week, Australia, Singapore, and
Canada—despite their geographic and cultural differences—held critical
elections. All three countries delivered remarkably similar outcomes: victories
for incumbent parties that campaigned on strong opposition to Trump’s tariff
threats and his transactional approach to global alliances.
Although foreign policy typically plays a minor role in
national elections, this time was different. Voters went beyond domestic issues
to send a clear message: they reject Trump's combative trade tactics and
support leaders who are willing to stand up to them.
The broader takeaway from these elections is the emergence
of a new political consensus among America's allies. Public opinion is
coalescing around leaders who oppose Trump’s “America First” doctrine, which
has disrupted global supply chains, strained diplomatic relationships, and
undermined decades of multilateral economic cooperation. This shift signifies
not just electoral continuity, but a popular mandate for resisting a zero-sum
approach to international relations.
In Japan, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s ruling Liberal
Democratic Party faces another electoral test this summer, with elections for
the less powerful—but still influential—upper house of the Diet. Ahead of this,
Japan is eager to secure a trade agreement with the US.
Tokyo is preparing for a third round of tariff negotiations
this month, though analysts remain skeptical about a breakthrough. Unlike Brirain,
which recently secured a limited deal, Japan faces steeper challenges. It
starts from a higher baseline tariff rate and must contend with the Trump
administration’s firm stance on automotive trade—one of Japan’s most vital
export sectors.
On the cybersecurity front, Sergiy Korsunsky, former
Ukrainian ambassador to Japan and now a senior adviser at Nihon Cyber Defence
Corporation, warns that excessive data accumulation poses serious risks in the
age of artificial intelligence.
Diplomatically, Julia Longbottom, the British Ambassador to
Japan, highlights recent British trade deals with India and the United States
as evidence of shared values with Japan—particularly a mutual commitment to
open and free trade.
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