We are of the opinion that China and Russia may be serious in
ending the US hegemony, but achieving
the target is highly unlikely
in the near term.
No one can deny that the United States still Holds a strong Position because of:
Military Presence
The US
maintains major military bases and alliances in the region (Saudi
Arabia, Israel, Qatar, and others).
Energy Security Ties
Despite
shifting energy priorities, US influence over global oil markets via
relationships with Gulf states remains strong.
Diplomatic Leverage
The US
plays a key role in peace negotiations, arms deals, and
counterterrorism
efforts.
Soft Power
US culture,
education, and tech continue to have significant appeal in parts of the
region.
Growing
Role of China and Russia
China
Economic Influence
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has
deepened economic ties, particularly through infrastructure
investment and oil imports from Gulf states and Iran.
Diplomacy
Recently
brokered the Saudi-Iran détente (2023), signaling growing diplomatic
credibility.
Non-Interference Model
Appeals to
regimes wary of Western pressure on human rights or democratization.
Russia
Military Intervention
Russia has
demonstrated staying power in Syria and maintains naval bases in the eastern
Mediterranean.
Arms Sales and Security Cooperation
Offers
military support without political conditions.
Energy Deals
Competes
with and collaborates on energy projects, particularly in gas.
Challenges to Ending US Hegemony
Use of
US dollar in international trade
The single largest point that gives the United States unequivocal
strength is use of Greenback in international trade and its absolute control over
payment and settlement system.
Lack of Unified Strategy
China and
Russia do not have a cohesive alliance or unified vision for the region.
Regional Dependence on US
Many MENA
states still rely on US military support and arms.
Distrust Toward Russia and China
Some
countries remain skeptical of long-term Chinese or Russian motives.
Way Forward
Though, China
and Russia are eroding US dominance through economic, diplomatic, and military inroads,
but the US retains deep-rooted strategic advantages. A complete end to US hegemony requires a far greater realignment of
regional security and political interests.
Unless China and Russia are able to come up with an
alternative currency and payment/ settlement system, they just can not cause
dent to the US hegemony in any significant manner.
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