Both attacks targeted Hezbollah in at least three
strongholds—Beirut, the eastern Bekaa Valley and southern Lebanon. Some pagers
also detonated in neighboring Syria. In a speech on September 19,
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned that "retribution will
come."
The escalation was the single largest blow to the Lebanese
militia, which is Iran’s most important ally in the Middle East. It also signaled
Israel’s growing shift from the Gaza war in the south to the tense 49–mile
northern front with Hezbollah—and potentially a turning point for war in the
wider Middle East.
Shortly before the pagers exploded on September 17, Israel
announced that the Security Cabinet had decided to expand its military focus.
“The center of gravity is shifting northward, meaning that
we are increasingly diverting forces, resources, and energy towards the North,”
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said on September 18.
Military strikes along the northern border have intensified
since the outbreak of the Gaza War on October 07, 2023, as Hezbollah fired
rockets almost daily on northern Israel.
Some 70,000 fled Israeli towns, farms and kibbutzim with
long-term impact on the economy, schooling, and security. Israeli strikes on
southern Lebanon have led some 112,000 residents to flee villages, town and
farms.
The Israel operations seriously degraded Hezbollah’s ability
to communicate with its fighters as Israel mobilized forces closer to the
northern border. The pager attacks:
·
Injured almost 3,000 Lebanese
·
Killed at least 12, including two children
·
Injured Mojtaba Amani, Iran’s ambassador to
Lebanon, who reportedly lost one eye and injured the other
·
Overwhelmed Lebanese hospitals
Arab news outlets reported that the explosives were
pre-planted in the AR-924 pagers, which were produced in Hungary on a
license from Gold Apollo, a Taiwanese company. Hezbollah pledged retaliation
for the “sinful assault, both in ways that are expected and unexpected.”
The walkie-talkie attack the next day was smaller
in scale but a further humiliating blow to Hezbollah and, potentially, its
military capabilities. The walkie-talkie operation:
·
Injured at least 608
·
Killed at least 25
·
Sparked fires in Beirut’s southern suburbs as
well as the Bekaa Valley
·
Added to stress on Lebanese health facilities
The United States and the European Union expressed alarm
about the operations. In Cairo, Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned all
parties against actions that would intensify regional hostilities.
“We remain very clear about the importance of all parties
avoiding any steps that could further escalate the conflict that we’re trying
to resolve in Gaza to see it spread to other fronts. It’s clearly not in
the interest of anyone involved to see that happen,” he said at a joint press
conference with Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty. “It’s imperative that
all parties refrain from any actions that could escalate the conflict.”
European Union foreign policy chief Josep Borrell condemned the
operations for endangering Lebanon’s stability and increasing the risk of
regional escalation.
“Even if the attacks seem to have been targeted, they had
heavy, indiscriminate collateral damages among civilians, including children
among the victims,” he said in a statement after meeting with the Lebanese
foreign minister on Sept. 18, 2024. “I consider this situation extremely
worrying.”
In
contrast, President Masoud Pezeshkian condemned the use of pagers as tools for
“assassination and annihilation.” The attack “once again showed that western
nations and Americans fully support crime, killings, and blind assassinations
by the Zionist regime,” he said in a cabinet meeting on September 18,
according to the presidential website.
Israel has pledged to continue military operations
against Hezbollah, the most experienced and well-armed non-state actor in the
world, until it withdraws from the border and ends rocket and missile strikes.
Hezbollah, in turn, has vowed not to stop until the Gaza war
ends. Between October 2023 and mid-September 2024:
·
Hezbollah launched more than 8,000 rockets and
more than 450 drones at Israel.
·
Israel carried out more than 7,000 strikes in
Lebanon.
Both sides have suffered deaths and casualties. At least 25
Israeli civilians and 21 soldiers have been killed in Hezbollah attacks.
Israel had already been linked to the deaths of at
least 48 senior Hezbollah commanders and more than 430 operatives between October
08, 2023 and September 17, 2024.
Israel killed Fuad Shukr, one of Hezbollah’s most senior
commander and a close advisor to Nasrallah, on July 30. At least 137 civilians
in Lebanon have reportedly been killed in Israeli strikes.
Courtesy: United States Institute of Peace
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