Friday, 21 November 2025
Indian Search for an Afghanistan Corridor—Bypassing Pakistan
Trump-Mamdani Meeting: An Unexpected but Constructive Moment
Trump, who had previously characterized Mamdani in stark
ideological terms, repeatedly stepped in to shield the mayor-elect from
adversarial questions. The president even joked about photo angles and urged
reporters to acknowledge areas of agreement. Mamdani, for his part, maintained
his positions while stressing that ideological differences should not impede
work on the city’s urgent economic challenges.
For the 34-year-old mayor-elect, the meeting was politically
advantageous. He demonstrated a willingness to engage constructively with the
president without compromising on principle. Trump’s warm remarks — including
saying he would feel comfortable living in New York under Mamdani — undercut
months of attempts by critics to paint the mayor-elect as a radical threat. The
optics alone blunted a central Republican attack line heading into the
midterms.
Trump also gained from the interaction. By surprising
observers with an affable, conciliatory tone, he created a media moment that
highlighted his ability to find common ground across ideological lines. His
focus on affordability resonated with voters who have long cited economic
pressures as their top concern, and he capitalized on the contrast between
expectations of conflict and the reality of cooperation.
The sharpest blow fell on GOP strategists and media voices
who had sought to build a sustained anti-Mamdani narrative. Trump’s own
comments deflated that effort in minutes, raising questions about the future
viability of that messaging. Meanwhile, Mamdani’s media critics found their
lines of attack weakened as Trump dismissed hostile framing during the press
exchange.
Beyond the political theater, the meeting holds meaningful
implications for New York. Trump’s earlier signals about potentially
withholding federal funds now seem remote, and the prospects for coordination
on affordability have improved. If both leaders maintain this pragmatic tone,
New York City stands to benefit from a rare moment of cooperation at the
highest levels.
In a polarized era, the encounter offered a refreshing
reminder that dialogue — even between unlikely partners — can still yield
positive outcomes for all involved.
PSX benchmark index closes the week almost flat
Market participation strengthened by 35.7%WoW with average
daily traded volume rising to 1.3 billion shares, as compared to 0.9 billion
shares in the prior week.
On the macroeconomic front, current account reported a
deficit of US$112 million during October 2025, as compared to a surplus of
US$296 million during the same period last year.
IT exports for the
month of October 2025 were reported at US$386 million, up 17%YoY, marking the
highest-ever monthly level.
Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)
held FX reserves increased by US$27 million to US$14.6 billion as of November
14, 2025.
AKD Securities foresees the momentum in the KSE-100 to
continue given successful IMF Executive Board approval of the IMF’s second
review, minimal flood impact and improved credit ratings by global agencies
amid falling fixed income yields.
Investors’ sentiments are expected to further improve on the
likelihood of foreign portfolio and direct investment flows, driven by improved
relations with the US and Saudi Arabia.
This outlook is supported by the lack of alternative
investment avenues and the attractive valuation of local equities, with the
KSE-100 index trading at a multiple of 7.6x offering a dividend yield of 6.8%.
The top picks of AKD Securities include MEBL, MCB, HBL,
OGDC, PPL, PSO, FFC, ENGROH, LUCK, DGKC, FCCL, and INDU.
Pakistan Governance Crisis: IMF Has Only Stated the Obvious
The IMF’s findings cut through the official narratives of
“reform”, “revival”, and “investment climate improvement”. At the heart of
Pakistan’s economic paralysis lies a state captured by networks of political,
bureaucratic, and business interests that thrive on informality and opacity.
The tax system remains deliberately complex to create rent-seeking
opportunities. SOEs continue bleeding because political appointees treat them
as fiefdoms. The judiciary — hobbled by colonial-era laws — cannot enforce contracts,
discouraging both investment and fair competition. And the powerful remain
insulated from accountability through special exemptions, selective
transparency, and politically driven discretion.
The IMF’s pointed reference to the Special Investment
Facilitation Council is especially damning. By questioning its opaque
functioning and the immunity granted to its officials, the report exposes the
contradiction at the heart of Pakistan’s economic strategy: demanding investor
confidence while institutionalizing unaccountable power. If the government had
confidence in its own governance architecture, it would not have delayed
publication of the report for months.
The Fund’s proposed reform agenda — transparency,
parliamentary oversight of financial discretion, mandatory e-procurement,
restructuring of anti-corruption bodies, and removal of preferential treatment
— is basic housekeeping for any functioning state. Yet in Pakistan, these
measures appear radical only because they directly threaten entrenched
interests.
The tragedy is that Pakistan does not suffer from a lack of
diagnosis; it suffers from a lack of will. Every governance failure highlighted
in the GCDA has been documented for years, yet every government has chosen to
preserve privilege over reform. The IMF can nudge, advise, and pressure — but
it cannot manufacture political courage.
Pakistan’s elites may believe they can continue business as
usual. The economy says otherwise. Time for denial is over.
Thursday, 20 November 2025
Different Narratives on MBS Visit to the US
American media reporting on the visit was surprisingly
limited, and when it did appear, it was often filtered through familiar lenses.
One reason lies in the highly polarized nature of US media, where influential
lobbies and advocacy groups help shape editorial priorities.
Coverage of Middle Eastern leaders—especially from the
Muslim world—tends to be influenced by domestic political calculations and
long-standing geopolitical alliances. The result is not necessarily overt
hostility but selective emphasis. In the case of the Crown Prince, this has
meant that past allegations continue to overshadow the strategic dynamics of
the visit.
A second dimension is the recurring focus on old
controversies. Even as diplomatic relations between Washington and Riyadh have
evolved substantially, parts of the US press remain firmly tied to earlier
narratives.
Over the past several years, both countries have
recalibrated their relationship, recognizing shared interests in energy
stability, defence cooperation, and regional security. The Biden
administration’s strategic engagement with Riyadh—especially in the face of
global competition and shifting economic centers—underscores this
recalibration. Yet certain media outlets still prioritize revisiting past
accusations rather than analyzing the present-day stakes.
A third narrative thread centers on the Abraham Accords.
Much of the American media continues to portray Saudi Arabia as the “missing
link” in the normalization framework, framing Riyadh as hesitant or resistant.
However, such portrayals often overlook the Kingdom’s stated position -
normalization cannot move meaningfully forward without addressing Palestinian
rights and a credible path to peace. This is not a rejectionist stance but one
rooted in longstanding regional consensus. Oversimplifying it into reluctance
ignores the political and moral considerations shaping Saudi policy.
What the muted media response fails to capture is the
broader significance of the visit. The U.S. push for extensive Saudi
investment—at a time of domestic economic uncertainty—reflects both economic
urgency and geopolitical necessity. Saudi Arabia’s global profile is expanding,
backed by deep financial reserves, ambitious economic reforms, and growing ties
with China, South Asia, and emerging markets. For the U.S., maintaining strong
ties with the world’s largest energy exporter remains strategically vital. For
Saudi Arabia, diversifying partnerships does not mean distancing itself from
Washington; rather, it reflects a more assertive, multi-vector foreign policy.
Ultimately, the contrasting narratives surrounding the Crown
Prince’s visit say more about American media dynamics than about the visit
itself. The gap between U.S. foreign-policy priorities and media portrayals
highlights a persistent misalignment: domestic political framing often eclipses
strategic realities. In this instance, the real story lies not in how the visit
was covered—but in how much was left uncovered.
Wednesday, 19 November 2025
Two state solution requires a clear and serious path, says MBS
Speaking
at a joint press conference with US President Donald Trump at the White House,
the Crown Prince said Saudi Arabia seeks peace for Palestinians, Israelis, and
the wider region, noting that there is a lot of work underway with the United
States.
He praised President Trump’s efforts to advance peace and
underscored the vitality of the Saudi-US relationship, saying Riyadh will
continue to work closely with Washington.
He added that while some had attempted to undermine ties
between the two countries, Saudi Arabia remains committed to strengthening the
relationship.
The Crown Prince described the partnership as deep and
enduring saying. “We have worked together for many decades, and today marks a
historic day for the future of our relationship.”
He also emphasized the importance of investing with the
United States, calling it an important nation with a strong economy.
On economic cooperation, the Crown Prince announced that
Saudi investments in the United States will rise to nearly US$1 trillion,
saying the agreements signed on Tuesday represent the largest investment
expansion in the history of the bilateral relationship.
He noted the strong demand to support and empower key
sectors, adding that the Kingdom’s investments span multiple areas that connect
Saudi Arabia with the United States.
Addressing regional issues, the Crown Prince said it would
be positive for the region to reach a peace agreement with Iran.
He also highlighted the Kingdom’s long-term vision in
adopting advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence.
For his part, President Trump welcomed the Crown Prince,
describing him as a close friend and “an impressive man on every level” who
enjoys great respect at the White House.
Trump also praised Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King
Salman, saying he had told the monarch that your son is truly exceptional.
Trump thanked Saudi Arabia for investing US$600 billion in
the United States and expressed hope that the figure would reach US$1 trillion.
He said cooperation with the Kingdom would create new job
opportunities and described the Saudi-US alliance as great and strategic.
Trump also announced that the United States will sell F-35
fighter jets to Saudi Arabia, calling the Kingdom a strong and important ally.
He added that the Crown Prince had played a significant role
in strengthening ties with Syria and said he sees potential for a civilian
nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia.
“The relationship with Saudi Arabia is at its best,” Trump
said, adding, “I love the Kingdom, and they love America. Saudi Arabia is a
partner that believes in America’s success.”
Tuesday, 18 November 2025
No firm is immune if AI bubble bursts
Pichai said in an interview with the BBC published on
Tuesday that the current wave of AI investment was an "extraordinary
moment" but acknowledged "elements of irrationality" in the
market, echoing warnings of "irrational exuberance" during the dotcom
era.
There has also been much debate among analysts about whether
AI valuations are sustainable.
Asked about how Google would cope with a potential bursting
of a bubble, Pichai said he thought it could weather the storm but added,
"I think no company is going to be immune, including us."
Alphabet shares have surged about 46% this year, as investors
bet on its ability to compete with ChatGPT-maker OpenAI.
In the United States, concerns about lofty AI
valuations have begun to weigh on broader markets, while British
policymakers have also flagged bubble risks.
In September, Alphabet pledged 5 billion pounds
over two years for UK AI infrastructure and research, including a new data
centre and investment in DeepMind, its London-based AI lab.
Pichai also told the BBC in the interview conducted at
Google's California headquarters that Google would begin training models in
Britain, a move Prime Minister Keir Starmer hopes will bolster the country's
ambition to be the world's third AI "superpower" after the United
States and China.
Pichai also warned of the "immense" energy needs
of AI and said Alphabet's net-zero targets would be delayed as it scales up
computing power.






