The trend is illustrated by the Hong Kong-flagged VLCC Cospearl
Lake, which recently reached Dalian, China, carrying about two million barrels
of crude loaded through an STS transfer in the Gulf of Oman rather than
directly from a Persian Gulf terminal. Such operations allow exporters and
buyers to keep oil moving while reducing exposure to the increasingly risky and
costly Hormuz transit.
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has emerged as a key player
in this shuttle trade. Regional exporters are using tankers to transport crude
through the Strait and transfer it to waiting vessels outside the Gulf. This
complements conventional voyages by tankers that continue directly to their
destinations.
The Mombasa B provides an important example. The VLCC,
chartered by UAE's ADNOC from Sinokor Maritime, entered the Persian Gulf in
April and subsequently began shuttling between Gulf loading terminals and the
Gulf of Oman. Since June, many of its voyages through Hormuz have been
conducted as “dark transits,” with AIS signals switched off.
The risks, however, remain substantial. On July 13, Iranian
forces targeted the Mombasa B with cruise missiles while it was transiting the
waterway. One Indian crew member was killed and eight others injured. Although
the tanker suffered material damage, it remained operational and subsequently
resumed Hormuz crossings. The vessel has since been placed on Iran's list of
“non-compliant” ships.
The UAE is nevertheless expanding its capacity. In August,
ADNOC Logistics & Services announced the acquisition of six additional
VLCCs. Other regional exporters, including Kuwait, are also using tankers in
shuttle operations. Some ADNOC vessels have reportedly carried Iraqi Basrah
crude, indicating that the system is evolving into a wider regional network
rather than serving only UAE exports.
Kpler data shows that Persian Gulf crude and condensate
loadings reached about 5.8 million barrels per day in August, including Gulf of
Oman STS transfers, and have risen toward 8 million bpd in September. Iraq has
also reportedly offered buyers the option of collecting crude through STS
transfers outside Hormuz.
Yet shuttle tankers remain a wartime workaround rather than
a replacement for normal trade routes. They require additional vessels,
increase costs and operational complexity, and remain vulnerable to attack.
With Iranian oil exports reportedly falling sharply and tensions continuing
around the Omani corridor, Tehran may have greater incentive to disrupt these
alternative supply chains.
The emerging shuttle trade therefore demonstrates the
adaptability of the global oil market—but also highlights how deeply the Iran
war has altered the economics, logistics and security of energy transportation
through the Gulf.

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