Iran remains the most steadfast supporter of Hamas, but even
Tehran’s approach has shifted from enthusiasm to calculation. The Islamic
Republic continues to provide limited training, intelligence, and weapons
through its network that includes Hezbollah and the IRGC. Yet, Hamas no longer
occupies the central role it once did in Iran’s “Axis of Resistance.” Tehran’s
strategic priority today is containing Israel through Hezbollah in Lebanon and
maintaining deterrence in Syria and Iraq. In that equation, Hamas has become an
auxiliary, not a frontline force.
Qatar, long seen as Hamas’s financial lifeline, has also
recalibrated its policy. The unmonitored cash deliveries to Gaza that sustained
Hamas’s governance structure are now being rerouted through the United Nations
and humanitarian agencies. Doha seeks to retain its role as a mediator rather
than an outright patron. That shift leaves Hamas with a smaller and more
conditional stream of funds — insufficient to maintain administrative control
in a war-torn enclave.
Turkey’s support, meanwhile, has settled into the realm of
rhetoric. President Erdoğan continues to speak forcefully for Palestinian
rights, but Ankara avoids concrete steps that could jeopardize its economic and
diplomatic relations with the West. Turkey’s relationship with Hamas has become
largely symbolic — a political shield rather than a material one.
Across the Arab world, the mood has changed dramatically.
Egypt views Hamas as a destabilizing factor on its Sinai frontier; Jordan and
the Gulf monarchies see it as a residue of the Muslim Brotherhood; and Saudi
Arabia, pursuing strategic normalization with Israel, has little appetite for
association. The UAE, a key Arab power, treats Hamas as a security threat
rather than a liberation movement. This new regional consensus marks a profound
isolation for the group.
Yet, Hamas is not entirely defeated. It continues to command
thousands of fighters, retains limited weapons stockpiles, and still projects
control over parts of Gaza. More importantly, popular sympathy for the
Palestinian cause across the Muslim world remains deeply rooted. But sympathy
does not translate into resources. Without substantial state sponsorship, Hamas
is now sustained mainly by resilience, underground networks, and a sense of
defiance rather than structured external support.
In essence, Hamas stands at a crossroads. Its godfathers
have not fully abandoned it, but their backing has turned conditional and
cautious. The movement survives, but in a diminished, more isolated form —
powerful enough to persist, yet too constrained to dominate. The age of
ideological patronage is ending; what remains is a movement fighting for
relevance amid the ruins it once ruled.

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