"The reason the market gave back half of the gains and
is listless this morning, is because within the language of the joint
announcement there is a caveat that these cuts will be reviewed on a monthly
basis," said John Evans of oil broker PVM.
"This flexibility add-in allows for wiggle room, but
the market smells a taper," he said, citing conditions like anti-inflation
battles in the United States and other countries, whether crude prices near US$100
a barrel, or the effect on Saudi oil revenues.
Saudi Arabia and Russia on Tuesday extended their voluntary
oil cuts to the end of the year 2023. While Saudi Arabia relinquished one
million barrels per day (bpd), Russia agreed to cut 300,000 bpd. These are on
top of the April cut agreed by several OPEC Plus members till end 2024.
Both countries will review their decisions monthly to
consider deepening cuts or raising output depending on market conditions.
The rising oil prices could be restrained when crude demand
dips as US refineries enter their September-October maintenance period, said
Sugandha Sachdeva of Acme Investment Advisors.
Iranian crude supply rises could also hobble price gains.
"Iran is producing close to 3.1 million bpd and plans to pump around 3.4
million bpd," ING Economics analysts noted.
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