The financial cost alone should prompt serious
reconsideration. According to the latest Pentagon estimate, the war has cost
American taxpayers approximately US$47.1 billion through October 16. This
figure does not include the full cost of repairing damaged US military installations
in the region. After spending this staggering amount, Washington has failed to
bring Iran to its knees. Instead, the conflict has raised questions about
American military deterrence and tarnished the country's international image.
Senator
Chris Murphy, after attending a classified briefing on possible renewed
military operations, described the administration's proposed plan as
"insane". He warned that another assault could trigger devastating
escalation, prolong the conflict and undermine America's commitment to the rule
of law. His concerns deserve attention, particularly given reports that Iranian
energy infrastructure, military installations and nuclear facilities feature
among potential targets.
Trump must understand that the longer this confrontation
continues, the greater the damage to American credibility. Further attacks may
not weaken Iran's resolve; they could reinforce its determination to resist
external pressure. Indeed, imprudent American policies risk turning Iran into
an even bigger strategic specter, while Arab allies increasingly question the
security guarantees offered by Washington.
The Gulf states have already experienced the consequences of
being drawn into a confrontation involving their territory and security
interests. Their growing uncertainty should not be mistaken for unconditional
support for another American military adventure.
Meanwhile, China and Russia are gradually expanding their
diplomatic and strategic engagement in the region. Every prolonged American
miscalculation creates additional space for these powers to challenge
Washington's traditional influence. The erosion of US hegemony in the Middle
East may therefore become an unintended consequence of its own policies.
The reported diplomatic outreach by Vice President JD Vance
offers an opportunity to reconsider the course of action. Washington should
pursue negotiations rather than another bombing campaign. Iran's Foreign
Minister Abbas Araghchi has also reiterated Tehran's willingness to pursue a
peaceful resolution, while insisting on its right to defend itself.
Trump should recognize that ending a war without achieving
every military objective is not necessarily defeat. Launching another military
offensive without a credible exit strategy could prove far costlier. It may
further weaken American credibility, undermine the confidence of Arab allies
and hasten the end of US hegemony in the Middle East.
