Showing posts with label likely rate cut. Show all posts
Showing posts with label likely rate cut. Show all posts

Friday, 13 June 2025

PSX benchmark index closes positive despite geopolitical tension

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued its bullish momentum during first half of the week. The announcement of Federal Budget was well-received by investors and perceived as broadly positive across most sectors. Optimism was further supported by expectations of a potential rate cut in the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting scheduled for Jun 16, 2025. The market reached a new all-time high on Wednesday, closing at 124,353 points. However, this momentum waned towards the end of the week due to rising geopolitical tensions following Israel's attack on Iran. Still the benchmark Index closed the week at 122,144 points, up 0.4%WoW.

The daily average traded volume increased by 37.3%WoW to 907 million shares, up from 660 million shares in the earlier week.

Workers’ remittances were reported at US$3.7 billion for the month of May 20225.

Auto sales for May 2025 rose to 16,941 units, up 19%YoY, driven by higher Passenger Cars and LCVs sales.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) increased by US$167 million, ending the week at US$11.7 billion as of Jun 06, 2025.

PKR depreciated by 0.28%WoW against the greenback.

Major news flow during the week included: 1) Federal Budget FY26 targets 4.2% real GDP growth, 2) current account deficit projects US$2.1 billion, 3) carbon levy imposed on POL products, 4) tax rate cuts for salaried class, and 5) Pakistan secures US$700 million loan for Reko Diq project.

Woollen, Textile Spinning, Textile Weaving, Glass & Ceramics and Modarabas were amongst the top performing sectors, while Refinery, Vanaspati & Allied Industries, Technologies & Communication, Transport, and Cable & Electrical Goods were the laggards.

Major selling was recorded by Foreigners with a net sell of US$7.4 million, Banks/ DFI absorbed most of the selling with a net buy of US$8.0 million.

Top performing scrips of the week were: PKGP, BNWM, GHGL, KTML, and MLCF, while top laggards included: POML, FCEPL, KEL, CNERGY, and HUMNL.

According to Pakistan’s largest brokerage house, AKD Securities, the market is expected to remain positive in the coming weeks, with federal budget being broadly positive or neutral across most sectors, along with room for rate cut during CY25.

The benchmark index is anticipated to sustain its upward trajectory, primarily driven by strong earnings in Fertilizers, sustained ROEs in Banks, and improving cash flows of E&Ps and OMCs, benefiting from falling interest rates and economic stability.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, PSO, FFC, ENGROH, MEBL, MCB, HBL, LUCK, FCCL, INDU, and SYS.