I wrote a blog as back as in August 2012 posing a question; will the US pull its troops out of Afghanistan after 2014? While the overwhelming perception was it will pull the troops out, my conclusion was contrary. This seems true as the US troops are still there, with 2015 approaching an end.
Even at that
time I had stated very clearly that the US attack was not to liberate
Afghanistan from the control of USSR or Taliban but to occupy it for economical
and political reasons. Neither presence of Taliban in Afghanistan not its involvement
in attack on the world trade center was known to all.
Now, I can
attribute occupation of Afghanistan to: 1) valuable metals in the country, 2) geopolitics
and top of all 3) the huge quantity of poppy produced in the country. Being the
super power the US keeps its troops in almost every region where it has some
stake. Afghanistan has an important place in the US foreign policy due to
common borders with Pakistan, Iran, China and proximity with many oil and gas
rich Central Asian countries.
After the Islamic
Revolution, Iran was projected as the biggest threat for the world, especially for
Arab monarchs and also to the US and its 53rd state, Israel. The US
also had plans to send its troops to Iran to takeover country’s nuclear assets.
It needs an outpost near Iran and Afghanistan is the ideal country. The
two countries share a long mountainous border, which is virtually impossible to
monitor and defend.
China is the
second most powerful superpower, which is likely to surpass the gross domestic
product of the US by 2020 and become world’s strongest economic superpower. The
US already has outposts in Taiwan and South Korea and Afghanistan provides
the third base in case any attack o China becomes the ultimate.
Taking Afghanistan
as hostage was part of the US foreign policy and military strategy. The USSR
believed that getting control over Afghanistan could give it a perfect foot
hold in South Asia and the Middle East. The US also believes the Afghanistan is
the gateway to central Asian countries.
Over the
years China remained focused on its economy. When Russia tried to stretch its muscles
sanctions were imposed on it. Now it is attacking ISIS bases in Syria and also
trying to establish friendly relations with Pakistan and other strategically important
countries
This does
not bode well for the US, still adamant at maintaining its hegemony in South
Asia and MENA. Therefore, probability of end to the US occupation of
Afghanistan is hoping against the hopes.
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