Showing posts with label stagnant growth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stagnant growth. Show all posts

Saturday, 13 September 2025

Japan juggling crises on all fronts

Japan is juggling crises on all fronts: a political vacuum after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's resignation, bond yields at 1999 highs, inflation outpacing wages, a shrinking population, and stagnant growth. All this as Tokyo strains under a shaky trade deal with Washington while looking nervously over at China's repetitive threats to seize Taiwan.

Three op-eds this week look closely at the nation's issues, and the steps the government could take to improve matters.

First, William Pesek focuses on the soaring government bond yields in a country with a debt-to-gross domestic product ratio of around 260%. While acknowledging yields are rising globally, he is worried that the political winds in Tokyo are blowing toward budget-busting tax cuts or extra government spending.

"On any list of economies testing fiscal fate, Japan deserves a place at the very top as it flirts with ill-timed fiscal loosening. As the so-called bond vigilantes pounce from New York to Paris to London, Tokyo must be extremely careful," Pesek writes.

"To escape 1999, Japan needs bold steps to revive its animal spirits, not a fresh debt surge that triggers the next bond crisis."

Next up, Krishna Srinivasan, director of the Asia and Pacific Department at the International Monetary Fund, says that it is imperative that market confidence in Japan is anchored by sound and credible macroeconomic policies.

Perhaps aimed at whoever becomes the next prime minister, Srinivasan argues that any fiscal support should be targeted, with the aim of helping the most vulnerable segments of the population, and, more importantly, temporary, until inflation eases.

"Generalized subsidies and tax cuts do not fit these principles as they benefit the rich and poor alike, are difficult to roll back, and will constrain resources that will be needed to respond to the mounting costs of natural disaster and aging. They could also add to inflationary pressures," he writes.

Finally, a Nikkei editorial says that Japan risks losing its international standing should it return to the kind of rapid turnover of prime ministers it has seen in the past, and calls for a "steadfast leader."

"The Ishiba administration should not be remembered in the future as a prelude to an age of political confusion in Japan. The country has entered an era forested with many parties in the political mix, but no mechanism for forging agreements between them is in sight," the editorial board writes.

"Ruling and opposition parties must understand that Japan is standing at a key juncture -- whether the nation can rebuild its democracy or not depends on them."

Courtesy: Nikkei Asia