Israel used all the four years of Trump’s presidency to
entrench its systems of occupation and apartheid. Now that Joe Biden has won
the US election, the assassination of Iran’s top nuclear scientist, likely by
Israel with the go-ahead from the US administration, is a desperate attempt to
use Trump’s last days in office to sabotage Biden’s chances of successful
diplomacy with Iran. Biden, Congress and the world community shouldn’t let
that happen.
On Friday, November 27, Iran’s top nuclear scientist, Mohsen
Fakhrizadeh, was assassinated in the Iranian city of Absard outside of Tehran.
The immediate speculation was that Israel had carried out the attack, perhaps
with the support of the Iranian groups.
In 2018, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
identified Fakhrizadeh as a target of his administration during a presentation
in which he claimed that Israel had obtained secret Iranian files that alleged
the country was not actually abiding by the Iran Nuclear Deal.
During 2010 and 2012, four Iranian nuclear scientists
were assassinated that included: Masoud Alimohammadi, Majid Shahriari,
Darioush Rezaeinejad and Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan. Though Israel never accepted
responsibility of these murders, reports suggested that Israel,
working with Iranian rebel groups, was behind the killings. The Israeli
government also never denied the allegations.
The assassination of Fakhrizadeh also follows reports that
the Israeli government recently instructed its senior military officials
to prepare for a possible US strike on Iran, likely referring to a
narrowly averted plan by President Trump to bomb Iran’s Natanz
nuclear site. Furthermore, there was a clandestine meeting between
Netanyahu and Saudi ruler Mohammed bin Salman.
Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear activities are
particularly annoying given that Israel, not Iran, is the only country in the
Middle East in possession of nuclear weapons, and Israel refuses to
sign the International Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.
Iran doesn’t have nuclear weapons and it has opened itself
up to the most intrusive international inspections ever implemented. Adding to
this absurd double standard is the intense pressure on Iran from the United States,
a nation that has more nuclear weapons than any country on earth.
Given the close relationship between Netanyahu and Trump,
and the seriousness of this attack, it is very likely that this assassination
was carried out with the green light from Trump himself. Trump has spent his
time in the White House destroying the progress the Obama administration made
in easing the conflict with Iran. He withdrew from the nuclear deal and imposed
an unending stream of crippling sanctions that have affected everything from
the price of food and housing, to Iran’s ability to obtain life-saving medicines
during the pandemic. He also blocked Iran from getting an IMF US$5
billion emergency loan to deal with the pandemic. In January, Trump brought the
US to the brink of war by assassinating Iranian General Qassem
Soleimani, and in an early November meeting with his top security
advisors, and right before the assassination of Fakhrizadeh, Trump
himself reportedly raised the possibility of a military strike against
Iran’s nuclear facilities.
After the news broke of the assassination, Trump expressed
implicit approval of the attack by re-tweeting Israeli journalist and
expert on the Israeli Mossad intelligence service, Yossi Melman, who described
the killing of Fahkrizadeh as a “major psychological and professional blow for
Iran.”
Iran has responded to these intense provocations with
extreme patience and reserve. The government was hoping for a change in the
White House and Biden’s victory signaled the possibility of both the US and
Iran going back into compliance with the nuclear deal. This recent
assassination has further strengthens the hands of Iranian hardliners who say
it was a mistake to negotiate with the United States and that Iran should just
leave the nuclear deal and build a nuclear weapon for its own defense.
Iranian-American analyst Negar Mortazavi lamented the
chilling effect the assassination will have on Iran’s political space. “The
atmosphere will be even more securitized, civil society and political opposition
will be pressured even more, and the anti-West discourse will be strengthened
in Iran’s upcoming presidential election,” she tweeted.
The hardliners already won the majority of seats in the February parliamentary
elections and are predicted to win the presidential elections
scheduled for June. So the window for negotiations is a narrow one of four
months immediately after Biden’s inauguration. What happens between now and
January 20 could derail negotiations before they even start.
Jamal Abdi, president of the National Iranian American
Council said that US and Israeli efforts to sabotage Iran’s nuclear
program have now morphed into Trump and Netanyahu sabotaging the next US
President. They are trying to provoke Iran to accelerate nuclear work—exactly what
they claim to oppose.
That is the reason US members of Congress, and
President-elect Joe Biden himself, must vigorously condemn this act and affirm
their commitment to the US rejoining the nuclear deal. When Israel assassinated
other nuclear scientists during the Obama administration, Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton denounced the murders, understanding that such illegal actions
made negotiations infinitely more difficult.
The European Union, as well as some important US
figures have already condemned the attack. Senator Chris Murphy pointed out the
risks involved in normalizing assassinations, how the killing will
make it harder to restart the Iran Nuclear agreement, and how the
assassination of General Soleimani backfired from a security
standpoint. Former Obama advisor Ben Rhodes tweeted that it was an
“outrageous action aimed at undermining diplomacy,” and former CIA head John
Brennan called the assassination “criminal” and “highly reckless,”
risking “lethal retaliation and a new round of regional conflict,” but rather
than putting the responsibility on the US and Israel to stop the provocations,
he called on Iran to “be wise” and “resist the urge to respond.”
Many on Twitter have raised the question of what
the world response would be if the roles were reversed and Iran assassinated an
Israeli nuclear scientist. Without a doubt, the US administration, whether
Democrat or Republican, would be outraged and supportive of a swift military
response. But if we want to avoid escalation, then we must hope that Iran will
not retaliate, at least not during Trump’s last days in office.
The only way to stop this crisis from spiraling out of
control is for the world community to condemn the act, and demand a UN
investigation and accountability for the perpetrators. The countries that
joined Iran and the United States in signing the 2015 nuclear agreement
—Russia, China, Germany, the UK and France—must not only oppose the
assassination but publicly recommit to upholding the nuclear deal.
President-elect Joe Biden must send a clear message to Israel that
under his administration, these illegal acts will have consequences. He must
also send a clear message to Iran that he intends to quickly re-enter the
nuclear deal, stop blocking Iran’s US$5 billion IMF loan request, and begin a
new era of diplomacy to dial back the intense conflict he inherited from
Trump’s recklessness.