The statement will clearly state a policy of cooperation to deter and respond to China's activities in the Indo-Pacific region.
The statement will also outline a policy of keeping Japan under the US nuclear umbrella, and the sharing of security strategies between the two countries. The partners will confirm the launch of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), led by US and clarify Washington's involvement in Asia.
This will be the first face-to-face meeting between Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and US President Joe Biden. The two leaders' expected reference to deterring China's hegemonic behavior reflects their concern that Russia's invasion of Ukraine has implications for Asia.
The US is deepening its military commitment to Europe to deal with Russia, and, for the time being, the US will be forced to conduct a three-front strategy -- in Europe, the Middle East and East Asia. Despite the challenges, the US will again stress both domestically and internationally that its top priority is China, which the US believes is its only strategic competitor.
The previous joint statement published last year and delivered by then-Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga and Biden spoke of the importance of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait for the first time in almost half a century. It also included the phrase ‘the importance of deterrence’ in the region.
This time they will strengthen the wording to include the statement that they will deter China's actions that undermine stability in the region, and if necessary, will cooperate to respond. The statement will also emphasize that they will not allow the status quo to be changed by force, and it will maintain the previous wording regarding the Taiwan Strait.
The two countries will maintain economic sanctions against Russia, which continues its aggression against Ukraine, and will condemn threats to use nuclear weapons. The statement will also again call for the complete denuclearization of North Korea.
The US will clarify its stance on protecting Japan under the nuclear umbrella. The US has been unable to dissuade Russia, which possesses nuclear weapons, from invading Ukraine, and concerns about the effectiveness of nuclear deterrence are spreading. Washington will reaffirm that if Japan is threatened with nuclear weapons, it is willing to defend Japan not only with conventional forces but also with nuclear weapons if necessary. This will be included in the joint statement.
The two countries will also confirm that they plan to share security goals and strategies, specifically, the National Security Strategy to be formulated by the end of the year. They will pledge to strengthen cooperation between the Japan Self-Defense Forces and the US military in areas such as troop operations, joint use of bases, and procurement of equipment, as they prepare for a possible emergency in Taiwan.
Prime Minister Kishida will also discuss with Biden the Japanese government's intended increase in defense spending, which had previously been limited to about 1% of gross domestic product, and its moves to develop a strike capability against enemy bases. That is, the ability to hit missile launch sites and other targets.
Regarding economic strategy, the US will establish a mechanism to deepen its involvement in Asia. The two countries will agree to hold the first economic version of a "2 plus 2" ministerial meeting, with the Japan-US ministerial talks serving as a command post, at an early date. They will also outline their basic policy of creating a stable supply chain for semiconductors among friendly countries and regions.
During his visit to Japan, President Biden will announce the launch of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, a new type of economic bloc, which more than 10 countries, including South Korea, Australia, the Philippines and Thailand are, expected to participate in. The US is deeply cautious about rejoining the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and will first use the IPEF as a forum to establish rules for digital trade and other areas.
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