Thursday 19 May 2022

European Union needs €210 billion to free itself from Russian energy

According to the European Commission, the Union will have to invest an additional €210 billion (US$220 billion) to free itself from Russian energy imports by 2027. 

The extra investment comprises of €29 billion to adapt the power grid, €10 billion to ensure sufficient LNG and alternative pipeline gas imports, €2 billion for security of alternative oil supplies, €56 billion on energy efficiency and heat pumps, and an extra €113 billion on developing renewable energy sources, almost a quarter of which would be earmarked for key hydrogen infrastructure.

The commission suggests tackling existing bottlenecks at oil supply infrastructure in the region such as the Transalpine, Adria or SPSE pipelines. It also proposes targeted investment on upgrading refineries that are configured to run on Russian Urals crude. The commission made no direct reference to Hungary, which has said it cannot switch to solely using non-Russian crude without up to €750 million of investment in refinery upgrades and pipeline capacity expansion.

The investment recommendations presented on Wednesday complement previous proposals from the Commission aimed at cutting EU imports of Russian gas by two-thirds, or over 100 billion cubic meters per year, by the end of 2022. The EU is also trying to hammer out an agreement among member states to phase out Russian oil imports this year, although it faces pushback from Hungary among others.

The €210 billion of additional spending would be on top of investment required to implement the EU's climate and energy policies by 2030. The Commission’s latest recommendations together with the 2030 policies will allow the EU to save some €80 billion on gas imports, €12 billion on oil imports and €1.7 billion on coal imports.

EU officials confirmed that the proposed target for the share of renewables in the bloc's energy mix will increase to 45% by 2030, up from 40% previously. This would bring total renewable energy generation in the EU to 1,236GW by 2030, as compared to 511GW at present. The Commission points to solar panels as key to accelerating out of fossil fuel imports. It is eyeing 300GW of installed solar photovoltaics by 2028, double the present installations.

EU officials also confirmed a proposal for an EU-wide gas price cap. The cap would be a measure of "last resort" in the case of full disruption of Russian gas supplies, a senior official said, adding that it would be combined with curtailment of supply to industry and would require additional legislation.

"A price cap is an emergency measure," European Commission Executive Vice President Frans Timmermans told Argus. "It will be taken when there's massive disruption. But with one measure you can't make cheap out of expensive energy."

 

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