The military-industrial complex, Wall Street, media houses
and shipping companies operate in different sectors, yet conflicts can create
lucrative opportunities for all of them. Defence contractors may secure
additional orders, financial markets experience heightened trading activity,
media organizations attract larger audiences, and shipping companies charge
higher rates to reflect security risks. Oil producers and traders may also
benefit from rising prices, although others suffer substantial losses.
The US-Israel war on Iran, which began on February 28, 2026,
provides a compelling case for examining this hypothesis. Disruptions to energy
supplies and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have intensified volatility
in global oil markets. On October 26, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude
settled at US$101.76 per barrel, while Brent crude closed at US$115.81. The
resulting differential of approximately US$14 illustrates how geopolitical
disruptions can reshape commodity markets. However, price movements alone do
not establish manipulation or prove that commercial interests caused the
conflict.
The more consequential question is whether these
beneficiaries merely exploit wars or also influence decisions that prolong
them. Answering it requires examining corporate lobbying, political financing,
defence contracts, media ownership and the relationships between business
interests and policymakers. Profiting from a conflict is not, in itself,
evidence of having engineered it.
The human and economic costs of war are enormous. Ordinary
citizens face higher energy bills, inflation, disrupted trade and insecurity,
while particular companies may enjoy exceptional profits. These unequal
outcomes raise legitimate questions about accountability and the influence of
vested interests over public policy.
The Seven Sisters no longer exercise the same dominance they
once did, but the wider relationship between corporate power and geopolitical
conflict merits scrutiny. The essential question is not simply who profits from
war, but whether those profits influence decisions about when wars begin—and
when they end.
