In any direct confrontation between Washington and Tehran,
Gulf states risk becoming exposed to consequences of decisions they did not
make. When US forces strike Iranian targets, retaliation can extend to American
military facilities located in neighbouring Arab countries, placing their
territory, infrastructure, and economies at risk.
The economic impact is equally significant. Gulf economies
depend on uninterrupted energy exports, maritime trade, and investor
confidence. Any disruption in the Strait of Hormuz immediately affects national
revenues and global markets. Countries hosting foreign military bases therefore
face a difficult reality - they bear the costs of conflicts shaped by external
strategic calculations.
The original purpose of these bases was deterrence and
protection. Yet changing regional dynamics require a reassessment of whether
the existing security framework continues to serve Gulf interests. A military
presence designed to prevent instability may, under certain circumstances,
become a factor that increases the risk of escalation.
Though, a tough decision, it demands an immediate end to all
foreign military cooperation. The GCC states have to ensure that their
territories are not used for offensive operations that could invite retaliation
and undermine their economic security.
The Gulf region today is far different from the era when
external powers largely defined its security arrangements. GCC countries
possess greater economic influence, diplomatic capacity, and strategic
importance. This may be the time to explore a more balanced security
architecture based on regional stability, dialogue, and greater strategic
autonomy.
The Strait of Hormuz crisis has highlighted a broader
reality - lasting security cannot depend only on military deployments. It
requires reducing the risk of confrontation and ensuring that Gulf states are
not trapped between competing powers.
The question facing GCC countries is therefore not simply
who provides security, but whether the current model truly protects their
long-term interests.
