Wednesday, 1 March 2023

Where is Pakistan heading? Revival or Devastation

In an attempt to get the IMF tranche of around US$1.2 billion released, the Government of Pakistan has imposed new taxes amounting to PKR170 billion, increased electricity and get tariffs and withdrawn certain subsidies. Added to this is persistent hike in interest rate as a measure to curb inflation. Today, the State Bank of Pakistan is scheduled to announce another hike of 200 bps on the recommendation of IMF. I am of the view that all these measures will fuel the inflation already hovering around 30% and further erode the competitiveness of Pakistani manufacturers and in no way help the country overcome Balance of payment crisis. This will necessitate Pakistan to negotiate yet another program with the lender of last resort on even more stringent conditions. I seek comments from my LinkedIn friends.

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