Thursday, 30 June 2022

Why Pakistan fails in boosting local production of crude oil and gas?

The report filed by Kazim Alam in Dawn should be an eye opener the policymakers and law enforcing agencies of Pakistan. The first and most important point is that production of oil and gas is constantly on the decline and E&P companies have not been able to increase production.

The second point is the real cause of concern, despite the fact that the country has a drilling success rate that’s notably higher than the international average (Every third drilling is successful in Pakistan as against one in five internationally; the average wells drilled in the country remains low.

Kazim has raised a pertinent point, whom to blame for the poor state of E&P in Pakistan: nature or bad governance? In my opinion the Government of Pakistan has to accept its inadequacy. It has failed in attracting foreign companies as well as providing security cover to the staff of E&P companies working in remote areas.

Since shifting blame to others is common the quote of an executive burst me into laughter. Citing the example of Kekra, a field located near Iran, he said the prospects seemed so good that E&P companies went all in, committing as much as US$140 million, or more than Rs28 billion at the current exchange rate. But they found nothing there. The supposedly huge reserves accumulated over hundreds of thousands of years had already slipped away in the intervening period.

The conclusion is that discoveries are small the efforts have to be accelerated by allocating more funds for drilling more wells. One of the most painful observations is that most of the E&P companies operating in public sector are made to pay huge dividend rather than spending money on drilling of new wells.

Some analysts say that in Pakistan people with vested interest often prevail over, they make big money in the purchase of crude oil as well as finished products. In case indigenous production of crude and POL increases, they will go bankrupt.

If any one does not agree with me should peep into the history. Excluding the output of OGDC, the share of all other companies is disappointingly low.
No ‘green’ refinery has been established after PARCO. Byco may be a good addition, but it is based on outdated technology. Other refineries have also failed major revamping and continue to produce low value added products.

To conclude it is sufficient to say only the Government of Pakistan can play a lead role by: 1) bringing in foreign E&Ps into the country, 2) offering new leases throughout Pakistan and 3) Encouraging OGDC to form new joint ventures.

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