Showing posts with label declining T-Bills yields. Show all posts
Showing posts with label declining T-Bills yields. Show all posts

Friday, 11 July 2025

PSX benchmark index up 1.8%WoW

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued upward momentum during the week, driven by expectations of strong earnings. The benchmark Index was up 2,351 points or 1.8%WoW, closing the week at 134,300 points on Friday July 11, 2025.

Positive sentiments were reinforced by workers’ remittances rising to US$3.4 billion in June 2025, up 8%YoY, taking FY25 inflows to US$38.3 billion, up 27%YoY.

Foreign exchange reserves held by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) were reported at US$14.5 billion as of July 04, 2025. Despite that PKR witnesses slight depreciation.

However, market participation declined, with average daily traded volumes falling by 2.0%WoW to 948 million shares, down from 967 million shares in the earlier week.

The GoP raised PKR1.4 trillion from T-Bills auction.

Auto sales for June 2025 were recorded at 25,305 units, up 43%YoY, driven by higher Passenger Cars and LCVs sales, mainly due to pre buying ahead of the proposed GST hike on vehicles up to 850cc from 12.5% to 18%.

The government utilized a total of PKR1,045 billion, out of the budgeted allocation of PKR1,100 billion, for development projects during FY25.

Other major news flow during the week included: 1) Pakistan retires PKR500 billion SBP debt early, 2) GoP raises PKR208 billion from PIBs auction, 3) Textile exports rose by 7.22%YoY in FY25, 4) Pakistan and Russia discuss steel mill revival, and 5) Nepra announced negative FCA of PKR4.03/kwh for KE consumers.

Woollen, Jute, Textile spinning, Textile composite, and Modaraba, were amongst the top performing sectors, while ETFs, Technology & Communication, Close-end Mutual Funds, Oil & Gas Exploration, and Refinery were amongst the laggards.

Major buying of US$19.2 million and US$14.1 million was recorded by Mutual Funds and Individuals, respectively. Companies and Banks were the sellers during the week, with a net sell of US$8.9 million and US$8.7 million, respectively.

Top performing scrips of the week were: 1) BNWM, MEHT, GADT, KTML, and KOHC, while laggards included: PSEL, AIRLINK, PKGP, BAHL, and EFERT.

According to AKD Securities, PSX is likely to maintain a positive trend in the coming weeks, driven by the expectations of strong corporate earnings.

The index is anticipated to remain on upward trajectory, primarily driven by strong earnings in Fertilizers, sustained ROEs in Banks, and improving cash flows of E&Ps and OMCs, benefiting from falling interest rates and economic stability.

Top picks of the brokerage house include: OGDC, PPL, PSO, FFC, ENGROH, MCB, HBL, KOHC, FCCL, INDU, and SYS.