What the US has lost in the War with Iran?

Wars are not won solely on the battlefield. They are also judged by whether they achieve their political objectives, strengthen deterrence and reinforce international credibility. By these measures, the United States appears to have emerged from its confrontation with Iran having paid a price that extends well beyond military expenditure.

The first casualty has been credibility. Washington's messaging shifted repeatedly—from demands for Iran's unconditional surrender to calls for de-escalation and negotiations. Such abrupt changes inevitably raise questions among allies and adversaries alike about the consistency of American strategy. A superpower derives much of its influence from predictability; when its objectives appear to change with circumstances, its deterrent value is diminished.

The second loss is strategic. Modern warfare has demonstrated that overwhelming military superiority does not automatically translate into decisive political success. The US has consumed vast quantities of sophisticated and expensive munitions while confronting an adversary capable of sustaining prolonged resistance through indigenous capabilities and asymmetric tactics. Wars of attrition are rarely favourable to even the strongest military powers if political objectives remain elusive.

Perhaps the most significant consequence has been Iran's enhanced regional standing. Despite facing coordinated military pressure and unprecedented economic sanctions, Tehran has demonstrated resilience that has strengthened its image among supporters and compelled regional actors to reassess its military and political influence. Whether one agrees with Iran's policies or not, its ability to withstand sustained pressure has altered regional perceptions.

The conflict has also exposed shortcomings in the strategic calculations of both Washington and Tel Aviv. Military power can destroy infrastructure, but it cannot easily compel political capitulation. Calls for unconditional surrender proved unrealistic against a state that had prepared for prolonged confrontation. Instead of projecting overwhelming dominance, the campaign underscored the limits of military coercion against a determined regional power.

History offers a consistent lesson: every great power eventually reaches a point where reassessing objectives becomes wiser than escalating a costly conflict. Strategic withdrawal is not necessarily a sign of weakness; it can be an act of prudence when the costs of continuing outweigh the prospects of success. Persisting with a flawed strategy merely compounds political, military and economic losses.

The US still possesses unmatched global military and economic capabilities. However, the Iran conflict serves as a reminder that power alone does not guarantee victory. Credibility, coherent strategy and realistic political objectives remain indispensable. When these are absent, even the world's strongest nation risks emerging from war with diminished influence rather than enhanced authority.

Why US-Iran Ceasefire is a Dangerous Farce

The Islamabad talks are a masterclass in diplomatic theater, a performative exercise in negotiation that achieves nothing because Washington as well as Tehran desire peace on their terms. The temporary, Pakistan-mediated truce is not a stepping stone to a lasting ceasefire; it is a tactical breathing room used by two intransigent regimes to rearm, recalibrate, and prepare for the next, more violent escalation.

The primary catalyst for this endless delay is the delusion of total victory harbored by both sides. The Trump administration is treating these negotiations as a victory lap, operating under the flawed assumption that military strikes and severe economic pressure have brought Iran to the brink of collapse.

By demanding a "zero enrichment" standard, the total dismantling of Iran’s ballistic missile program, and the abandonment of its regional proxies, Washington is not offering a ceasefire. It is demanding unconditional capitulation from a sovereign state—a non-starter in the real world of geopolitics.

Tehran is equally detached from reality. While its domestic economy is in freefall and its infrastructure is heavily bruised, the Iranian regime remains obstinately defiant. By exploiting its geographic chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz—arbitrarily vetting ships and extorting "security fees"—Iran has weaponized global oil supply chains to hold Western economies hostage.

Tehran's insistence on immediate, permanent sanctions relief before making a single tangible concession on its nuclear program demonstrates a fundamental refusal to acknowledge its weakened position.

Compounding this gridlock is the duplicitous, bipolar messaging coming from both capitals. Washington arrogance—boasting that it is in "no hurry" while holding a gun to Iran's head—is met with Tehran’s stubborn pride, which views any compromise as a threat to regime survival.

The current truce is a diplomatic fiction. By demanding compromise on their maximalist demands, both the United States and Iran are guaranteeing that this pause in hostilities will inevitably fracture, dragging the region into an even deeper, catastrophic conflict.

Israel: Promise of Stability Remains Fragile

At 78, Israel remains a study in contrasts—secure yet unsettled, integrated yet isolated within its immediate neighborhood. Its relations with bordering states reveal a pattern shaped less by reconciliation and more by necessity.

With Egypt and Jordan, Israel has maintained durable—if cold—peace. The framework established after the Camp David Accords continues to hold, anchored in security coordination and shared concerns over militancy and border stability. These ties are transactional, not transformative, reflecting mutual restraint rather than genuine normalization.

On its northern front, the equation turns volatile. Lebanon remains locked in a cycle of tension with Israel, largely driven by the influence of Hezbollah. Deterrence has prevented full-scale war in recent years, but the absence of a political settlement ensures that the border remains one miscalculation away from escalation.

In Syria, hostility persists in a more fragmented form. Israel’s periodic strikes targeting Iranian-linked assets underscore a broader contest with Iran for regional influence. Syria’s internal disarray has limited direct confrontation but has also entrenched a shadow conflict that resists closure.

The most enduring and consequential relationship remains with Palestine. Here, there is neither peace nor stable deterrence—only recurring cycles of confrontation. The unresolved status of Palestinians continues to define Israel’s regional image and constrains its acceptance among Arab publics, regardless of evolving state-level ties.

At 78, Israel has achieved military superiority and economic resilience, yet its neighborhood tells a more restrained story. Peace exists, but without warmth. Conflict is contained, but not resolved.

The result is a strategic environment where coexistence is managed, not embraced—and where the promise of stability remains persistently fragile.

Saudi Arabia celebrates 93 years of progress and unity

Today, Saturday September 23, 2023, marks the 93rd National Day of Saudi Arabia, a day of pride and celebration for both its citizens and residents. Under the visionary leadership that prioritizes the well-being and prosperity of the people, this joyous occasion reflects upon the nation's remarkable journey toward a promising future.

The Saudi Press Agency (SPA) takes the world on a reflective journey through the life of a true statesman, King Abdulaziz bin Abdulrahman Al-Faisal Al Saud. On September 23, 1932, he achieved the monumental task of unifying the disparate tribes and scattered regions of the Arabian Peninsula, establishing the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. This Islamic state, with Riyadh as its capital, adopted the Holy Qur'an and the Prophet's Sunnah as its constitution.

King Abdulaziz's remarkable journey began in Riyadh in 1293 Hijri. At the tender age of seven, he began learning to read and write, and at ten, his father, Imam Abdulrahman Al-Faisal, gathered scholars and tutors to instill in him the fundamentals of Islam and equestrian skills. His upbringing was greatly influenced by his courageous father and wise mother, Princess Sarah Al-Sudairi. King Abdulaziz shared a close bond with his siblings, including his sister, Princess Noura.

Throughout his life, King Abdulaziz encountered numerous challenges that shaped his character and instilled in him qualities of patience, strength, and statesmanship. One of the most trying moments was his forced departure from Riyadh in 1308 Hijri when he and his family settled in various locations, including the Yabrin oasis, Bahrain, and Kuwait. Despite these hardships, his determination to reclaim Riyadh, a city with deep historical significance for his family, remained unwavering.

In his twenties, King Abdulaziz embarked on a journey back to Riyadh, leading an army. His arrival in Al-Shaqib district marked the beginning of a pivotal chapter. Following a brief but intense battle, he restored order, ushering in a period of political stability that laid the foundation for Riyadh's growth and prosperity.

In 1320 Hijri, the people and notables of Riyadh pledged allegiance to him as Emir of Najd and Imam of its people. This victory brought much-needed stability after years of turmoil, setting the stage for Riyadh's transformation.

King Abdulaziz's tireless efforts to unite the nation, restore security, and combat the chaos of the Arabian Peninsula culminated in him becoming the revered leader of a newly constructed nation, securing a respected place for it on the world stage.

On September 23, 1932, King Abdulaziz issued a royal decree, renaming the state from the Kingdom of Hejaz and Najd and its annexes as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

With the nation-building process well underway, King Abdulaziz turned his attention to expanding the Two Holy Mosques to serve pilgrims and establishing schools, hospitals, villages, and irrigation systems to support agriculture. These ambitious endeavors required substantial funding.

In the fall of 1933, oil exploration efforts began, initially yielding no results. However, persistence paid off when oil was discovered 5,000 feet underground in the "Ain Jet" area in 1939. This discovery marked a turning point, opening the doors to major state projects.

King Abdulaziz's interest extended beyond domestic affairs; he maintained diplomatic relations with countries worldwide, prioritizing the Kingdom's independence, while fostering relations irrespective of religious, cultural, or civilizational differences. His approach garnered admiration from world leaders and media alike.

In Muharram 1373 Hijri, King Abdulaziz fell seriously ill in Taif, and he passed away on November 9, 1953. He was laid to rest in Al-Oud Cemetery, Riyadh.

As he built his nation, King Abdulaziz's commitment to education was unwavering. He avidly read Arabic books on various sciences, printing and distributing them freely. He sought the counsel of his citizens, guided by Islamic principles, fostering cooperation between the ruler and the governed.

King Abdulaziz's righteous approach, continued by his sons, laid the groundwork for the Kingdom's remarkable development, characterized by collaboration between the leadership and the people.

In a historic gathering on Muharram 25, 1355 Hijri, King Abdulaziz emphasized his desire for close ties with the people, stating, "My door is always open to anyone who wants to talk."

Under his leadership, Saudi Arabia forged strong relationships with Arab and Muslim nations and engaged the international community with transparency and pragmatism.

King Abdulaziz's legacy was the culmination of a rich history. The First Saudi State, founded by Imam Mohammed bin Saud in 1139 Hijri, laid the foundation for the nation's development. The Second Saudi State, initiated by Turki bin Abdullah bin Mohammed bin Saud, continued this legacy for approximately 68 years.

However, the true turning point came on the fifth day of Shawwal, 1319 Hijri, when King Abdulaziz reclaimed Riyadh with valor, establishing a state grounded in the principles of the Holy Qur'an and Prophet Mohammad's Sunnah.

Subsequent leaders, including King Saud, King Faisal, King Khalid, King Fahd, and King Abdullah, each contributed to the nation's progress and development, with a focus on education, healthcare, industry, and economic growth.

Today, under the wise leadership of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman, Saudi Arabia continues its journey of growth, development, and global influence. The Kingdom boasts a strong economy that ranks among the world's top 20.

As Saudis celebrate the National Day, it is a reflection on the nation's remarkable accomplishments, secure in the knowledge that its legacy of progress and unity will continue to thrive under the leadership of King Salman. Saudi Arabia stands as a testament to what can be achieved with vision, determination, and the unwavering commitment to the welfare of its people.