With
the IMO 2020 regulation restricting bunker fuel to 0.5% Sulphur content from January
01, 2020 market observers had been expecting HSFO to become marginalized and
potentially difficult to purchase in many ports.
However,
scrubbers have proved to be an economical option with owners benefiting from
high price spreads between HSFO and very low Sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and
marine gas oil (MGO).
A presentation by Minerva Bunkering CEO, Tyler Baron at
the Fujairah Bunkering and Fuel Oil Forum (Fujcon 2023) showed that in
2022 HSFO accounted for 26% of the 230 million metric ton global marine fuel
market in 2022. The largest share of the market was taken by VLSFO with
62%, while the MGO sales accounted for 11%, and other fuels 1%.
Looking at top bunkering locations, 28% of bunker sales in
Singapore were HSFO, some 31% in Amsterdam – Rotterdam – Antwerp (ARA), and 35%
in the US Gulf Coast.
Scrubbers allowing the continued use of HSFO have proved
popular with owners of larger tonnage according to DNV as of 2023 there are
5,006 vessels fitted with exhaust gas cleaning system, or due to be this year.
Higher oil prices since the Russian invasion of Ukraine have
driven price spreads between high and very low Sulphur fuel oil giving
significant savings to scrubber-fitted vessel burning HFSO.
At
present the price difference in Singapore is US$142 per ton, VLSFO priced at US$558.50
per ton and IFO380 at US$446.50 per ton, according to Ship & Bunker.
In
Rotterdam the price spread is US$148 per ton, and Houston there is a US$190.50
per ton difference.
As the first scrubbers designed with carbon capture and
storage (CCS) capability starting to be fitted the HFSO could remain in demand
for many years to come.