Showing posts with label Canadian supply concerns. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Canadian supply concerns. Show all posts

Tuesday, 3 June 2025

Oil prices slip on rising OPEC Plus output

Oil prices slipped in Asian trade on Wednesday on rising concerns of increasing OPEC Plus output and tariff tension that threatens the global economic outlook, though worries about Canadian supply provided a floor, reports Reuters

Brent crude futures dipped 0.4% to US$65.40 a barrel by 0318 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was also down 0.4% to US$63.16 a barrel.

Both benchmarks had climbed about 2% on Tuesday to a two-week high, driven by worries over supply disruption from Canadian wildfires and expectations that Iran would reject a US nuclear deal proposal key to easing sanctions on the major oil producer.

"Despite fears over Canadian supply and stalled Iran-US nuclear talks, oil markets are struggling to extend gains," said Tsuyoshi Ueno, senior economist at NLI Research Institute, adding that the OPEC Plus increases were capping the upside.

Ueno said hopes for progress in US-China trade talks were overshadowed by profit-taking, as investors stayed cautious over the broader economic fallout from tariffs.

US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are likely to speak this week, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Monday, days after Trump accused China of violating a deal to roll back tariffs and trade curbs.

On Tuesday, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) cut its global growth forecast as the fallout from Trump's trade war takes a bigger toll of the US economy.

"The current backwardation in the front of the crude oil futures curve is a result of low inventory balances observed since the beginning of the year," BofA analysts told clients in a note.

Some analysts expect the loss in Canadian supply to offset more than half the increases next month planned by OPEC Plus.

"Estimates suggest around 350,000 barrels per day have been affected and shut in," said SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye, referring to the impact of the wildfires.

"To put this in context, the disruption exceeds three-quarters of the volume OPEC Plus agreed to add to the market in July."