Friday 8 January 2016

Saudi-Iranian Standoff a threat to global peace


The recent standoff between Saudi Arabia and Iran is not something new but has deep roots spread over centuries and goes beyond dawn of Islam. In the recent past some of the quarters in the Kingdom have been saying, Iran is an enemy worse than Israel”.

Nathalie Goulet, Deputy Chairman of the Commission of Foreign Affairs and Defense Forces at the French Senate, recently said Saudi Arabia cannot bear Iran returning to international arena and it has planned the recent dispute as a scheme to hamper Iran’s growing international relations.

He says it is a war of economy and seeking the upper hand behind a mask of religion. Behind the religious differences and generations-old grudges that Saudi Arabia and Iran hold against each other, there lies a sense of arrogant rivalry and an economic war as well.

He is of the view that Persian Gulf littoral countries, not least of all Saudi Arabia, never accepted the Iran nuclear deal, regarding which they still preserve their rage against the United States. He is of the view that the Wahhabi king has not only to fight the Islamic, but to prove that fighting the group is a real objective with Riyadh as well, even though the monarch has been accused of funding ISIS.

Therefore, besides several beheading punishments on the onset of the current Christian year, Saudi Arabia needed to make a coalition more powerful than 34 countries.

In this complex region nothings comes as coincidence. Saudi Arabia knew well that by executing a dissident Shiite sheikh, it would not only trigger anger and demonstrations on the streets of Tehran, but enrage regional Shiite minorities in Bahrain, Yemen and Lebanon as well.

This was a well-calculated move from Saudi Arabia to stimulate rival Iran. This comes amid Iran’s attempts to return to the scene of world politics as Tehran has turned into the unavoidable venue for politicians, tourists, and businessmen.

The revival and return of Iran to the international arena is unbearable for Saudi Arabia. Since Saudi Arabia is facing a historical budget deficit of US$87 billion, equal to 20 percent of its GDP, Iran in the near future will gain access to over $100 billion of its assets blocked around the world.

Saudi Arabia does with a very convoluted governmental system. Feeling secluded and abandoned by the US, Saudi Arabia feels downgraded by turning into the States’ second ally.

Therefore, Saudi Arabia is forced to prove that it really wants to fight terrorism. By executing a Shiite leader and enraging all Shiites, it showed it wants control over the Gulf, one that in the eye of Saudi Arabia cannot be a Persian gulf.

Although the US has also tried to give an impression that it disapproves action of the Saudi government, the strategies of Saudis are clear: to hamper the process of Iran’s return to the international arena step by step.

To achieve its ultimate objective Saudi Arabia intends not only to team up with Persian Gulf kingdoms, but is eyeing relations with Turkey and, in particular, Israel. As it goes, the enemy of enemy is a friend, seems to be true about governments as well.

A meager spark is needed for a highly militarized region to turn into a blazing furnace, either directly or via in-between agents which Iran cannot control.

It is feared that, like the days of the Iran-Iraq war, the West would support Iran’s rivals, at the top of which stands Israel. It seems that the worrying silence of ambassadors supports that view.

However, no one should forget that the world needs unity to fight the ISIS but one witnesses a pointless diplomatic pressure rising in Iran and Saudi Arabia. The entire balance and stability of this strategic region is at stake. It seems arms dealers are going to have bright days ahead.

All the nations have to curb the factors that can aggravate sectarian conflicts between the Shiite and Sunni. It is the harsh reality emerging right before all of us certainly to turn against us, with flares going beyond the current boundaries.



Tuesday 5 January 2016

Public offering by Hi-Tech Lubricants

Hi-Tech Lubricants Limited (HTLL) will become the first lubricant company to go public, by issuing 29 million shares at a floor price of PkR37/share through book building of 75% of the total issue size (6th and 7th January) and remaining 25% to offloaded through general public subscription (25-27 January 2016).
HTLL is expects to raise at least PkR1.07 billion from the listing which will be utilized in expanding its footprint in the lubricants market through forward (establishing retail network) and backward integration (construction of an additional filling line).
HTLL has an established presence in the automotive sector through its “ZIC” brand (14% market share in the passenger car sub-segment) contributing 56% to overall revenues becoming a key growth driver for the company.
Post IPO, the company plans to focus on diesel and motorcycle sub-segments of the automotive market (contributing 31% and 9% to revenues) through competitive pricing and cost efficiencies of bulk imports (utilizing the blending plant).
With an aggregate market share of 6% in lubricants, robust 5-year revenue CAGR of 20%, Gross Margin averaging 24% and Net Margin of 6%, HTLL’s fundamental outlook remains promising.
HTLL) is engaged in the import and distribution of petroleum products/lubricants under the brand name of “ZIC” in Pakistan. It imports lubricants from South Korea, which has the single largest Petrochemical Chemical Complex in the world.
HTLL has a network of more than 150 distribution channels across all major cities of Pakistan. The Company diversified from trading to manufacturing and established a state of the art blending plant at Lahore that became operational in 1QFY16.
HTLL plans to utilize IPO proceeds for funding its investment plan of PkR1.25 billion which envisages the development of a service delivery channels with 37 retail service outlets (9 owned and 29 rentals) and additional filling lines (expected to be streamed online by August this year at its Blending Plant (recently set up with a total investment of PkR776 million).
Analysts believe healthy demand exists for its products. However the company has been facing hurdles in meeting this demand due to shortage of product supply on account of 1) time lag in imports and 2) foreign market specified product sizes of finished products, rendering them ineffective for local market, especially for motorbike segment.
Additionally, HTLL’s newly setup Blending Facility is expected to provide rationalized cost benefits to the company as it is likely to now import in bulk as compared to sealed cartons. The new plant will also produce its own High Density Poly Ethylene bottle/Cap and filling lines for imported lubricants, further extending its cost-saving benefits.
The company has been able to keep costs of goods sold (COGS) at a steady 76% of total revenues, indicating preferred pricing from the supplier and ability to pass on the impact of changes in the PkR/US$ parity. As a result, gross margins have been maintained at a stable 25% during the last five years.
That said, administrative and distribution costs have increase by a 5-year CAGR of 26% as the company increased its footprint in the sector. As a result, bottom-line of the company has recorded a 5-year CAGR of 6.2% during FY10-FY15.