Karachi blasts a prelude for
change
Situation in Karachi looked far from satisfactory after the
second blast on Tuesday; the first one was on Sunday. In fact three provincial
capitals, except Punjab came under attack starting Saturday. Whoever may claim
the responsibility of these attacks, one point is clear that certain groups are
not at all happy with MQM extending any support to Tahir ul Qadri. Imran Khan
has been talking about tsunami but Tahir seems to have created real tremors.
As the date for setting up a caretaker government is
reaching closer, it seems certain elements wants to create a situation so that
elections could be postponed for an indefinite period; on the pretext that
situation s not conducive for holding general elections is Pakistan. But a
question bothers even the political pundits; can Qadri become a serious threat
for other political parties, especially PPP, PML-N and PTI?
Most of the pundits didn't consider Qadri a threat till he
held his public meeting at Lahore that attracted a large number of people.
Those believing in conspiracy theories were quick to say that Qadri was being
supported by 'power brokers'. Even a defamation campaign started against him on
the social media. The harsher are comments becoming the greater is the feeling
that Qadri has attained a position to influence the next general election and
even formation of the interim set up.
Historically, Punjab is considered the stronghold of PML-N,
Sindh excluding Karachi and a few other major cities that of PPP and MQM having
strong position in urban areas of Sindh. In fact some political pundits say
that no party can form government at federal as well as provincial level
without the blessing of MQM. In such a scenario if MQM prefers Qadri over
other, the situation can get real precarious. Therefore, the power brokers just
don't approve MQM getting closer to Qadri.
The gravity of situation became event when President Asif
Ali Zardari called an emergency meeting of PPP high ups, including prime
minister at Karachi. The general expectation is that the ruling junta will try
to create an environment where January 14 onslaught to Islamabad could be
stopped. There is growing feeling that a massive movement against the current
regime is being initiated and if all other means fail, sabotage activities will
become more common. This can pave way for the dismissal of the present
government by the President and putting in place an interim government.
In such a scenario the general elections may be deferred and
an interim government, comprising of nominees of all the political parties will
be installed. A question is also being discussed, in case an interim political
set up is created, will President Asif Ali Zardari be able to retain his
commanding position.
There are two opinions: 1) President Zardari meeting the
fate like Farooq Leghari and Pervez Musharraf or 2) succeeding his commanding
position. In either case the interim prime minister has to be a man of
confidence of 'power brokers'. However, the only apprehension is who will be elected
the new president in case there is a search for an interim president also. One
of the probabilities is that Chairman Senate will take over the charge as
President but no one can really forecast the composition of interim set
up.
Editorial published in
The Financial Daily
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